Nationals vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some midday MLB action as the Washington Nationals try to steal a win at Truist Park against the Atlanta Braves! With the Nats trailing far behind in the National League stakes and the Braves swinging to close their gap, today’s showdown at 12:05PM EST is more than just a game—it’s a diamond duel under the sunny skies of Atlanta. The stakes are high with the Braves looking to build on their recent victory, while the Nationals are hungry for redemption after their last encounter. With a breezy 82-degree weather setting the stage and the odds tipping in favor of the Braves, fans are in for a thrilling clash. So, as the bases are loaded with excitement, let’s see if the Nationals can orchestrate a capital comeback or if the Braves will continue to chop down the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 25, 2024 12:05PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 44% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-110	-120	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-266	+70	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

123W-181L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

182W-119L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+4.0
05/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.0
05/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-6.0
05/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-6.0
05/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+1.0
05/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+1.0
05/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.0
05/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.0
06/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-1.0
06/06/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.0
06/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.0
06/07/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.0
06/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.0
06/08/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.0
06/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+5.0
06/09/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+5.0
08/23/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
08/23/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
08/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.0
08/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.0
03/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+1.0
03/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.0
10/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+11.0
10/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+11.0
04/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Push	-0.0
04/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Push	-0.0
04/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.0
04/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.0
06/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
06/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
06/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+2.0
06/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/11/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Push	-0.0
06/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Push	-0.0
09/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+5.0
09/21/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+5.0
09/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+7.0
09/22/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+7.0
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.0
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+5.0
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.0
09/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.0
09/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+8.0
09/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
09/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Push	-0.0

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

DJ Herz

ERA 4.154 | IP 60.7 | 2.0W-6.0L | KO 75.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	vsCOL	3-1L	5.7	6	3	7	Under
08-14-24	@BAL	1-4L	6.0	4	2	5	Under
08-08-24	vsSF	9-5L	2.7	4	2	4	Over
08-03-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	2	1	6	Over
07-28-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	3	2	8	Under
07-23-24	vsSD	4-0L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
07-07-24	vsSTL	8-3L	4.3	5	5	4	Over
07-02-24	vsNYM	7-2L	5.7	5	1	10	Over
06-26-24	@SD	5-8L	3.3	6	4	1	Over
06-21-24	@COL	11-5W	3.7	7	4	5	Over

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 2.052 | IP 109.7 | 7.0W-4.0L | KO 112.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	vsPHI	1-3W	5.0	5	1	10	Under
07-28-24	@NYM	9-2W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-22-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	7	4	5	Under
07-13-24	@SD	0-4L	6.0	11	3	2	Under
07-07-24	vsPHI	0-6W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-02-24	vsSF	5-3L	4.3	4	2	6	Under
06-26-24	@STL	6-2W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
06-19-24	vsDET	0-7W	5.0	7	0	6	Under
06-13-24	@BAL	6-3W	6.0	2	0	8	Over
06-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	6	2	7	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/26	vs ATL	2-4L	10	1	Under
08/25	vs ATL	2-3L	10	0	Under
08/24	@ COL	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/23	@ COL	6-1W	12	1	Under
08/22	@ COL	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/20	vs PHI	6-4W	11	3	Over
08/19	vs PHI	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/18	vs PHI	2-3L	11	0	Under
08/17	vs PHI	3-13L	8	2	Over
08/16	vs BAL	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs BAL	9-3W	14	0	Over
08/13	@ LAA	4-6L	9	1	Over
08/12	@ LAA	5-4W	9	1	Over
08/11	@ LAA	3-2W	7	0	Under
08/10	@ SF	5-9L	7	1	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/26	@ WAS	4-2W	11	2	Under
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/17	vs SF	0-6L	4	0	Under
08/16	vs SF	13-2W	11	4	Over
08/15	vs SF	4-3W	10	2	Under
08/14	vs SF	1-0W	4	0	Under
08/13	vs COL	8-9L	13	4	Over
08/12	vs COL	11-8W	11	4	Over
08/11	vs COL	5-6L	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.8	10.2	0.247	0.439	0.358	0.797	0.326	0.038
#2 James Wood	7.5	9.9	0.290	0.456	0.438	0.893	0.355	0.030
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.7	8.6	0.293	0.460	0.346	0.806	0.332	0.036
#4 Andres Chaparro	6.2	8.0	0.297	0.459	0.378	0.838	0.343	0.000
#5 Jose Tena	5.4	6.7	0.359	0.462	0.410	0.872	0.356	0.026
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.4	7.1	0.230	0.372	0.278	0.651	0.272	0.034
#7 Joey Gallo	5.1	6.8	0.168	0.316	0.335	0.652	0.269	0.032
#8 Drew Millas	5.0	6.2	0.167	0.300	0.233	0.533	0.225	0.033
#9 Jacob Young	4.8	6.1	0.253	0.324	0.343	0.668	0.278	0.005

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.5	12.1	0.248	0.363	0.314	0.677	0.281	0.023
#2 Jorge Soler	8.1	10.9	0.242	0.436	0.392	0.827	0.333	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.5	0.308	0.588	0.426	1.015	0.404	0.077
#4 Matt Olson	8.4	11.2	0.227	0.419	0.354	0.773	0.315	0.044
#5 Ramon Laureano	7.7	10.0	0.244	0.428	0.339	0.767	0.316	0.044
#6 Whit Merrifield	6.9	8.9	0.219	0.329	0.360	0.689	0.282	0.018
#7 Gio Urshela	5.6	7.2	0.251	0.343	0.317	0.660	0.274	0.016
#8 Sean Murphy	6.6	8.4	0.219	0.371	0.331	0.702	0.289	0.039
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.4	6.9	0.225	0.361	0.296	0.657	0.274	0.030

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Derek Law OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/18/24. Impact: 1.6

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.45 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 3.1
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2