Nationals vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Today’s showdown at Fenway Park promises fireworks as the evenly matched Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox square off again, each looking to tip the scales in their favor. With both teams hovering near the .500 mark and itching to climb up their respective conference ladders, this 4:10 PM EST start could be the spark they need. The stakes are high, the bats are hot, and the odds-makers are buzzing with an 8.5 run line that’s got everyone talking. After their last encounter where the Nationals took a decisive victory, the Red Sox are hungry for redemption on their home turf, under a partly cloudy sky with a brisk wind that might just carry a few out of the park. So, as the Nationals try to ‘capitol-ize’ on their momentum, the Red Sox are gearing up to ‘sock’ it to ’em in a battle that’s more than just a game—it’s a major league statement.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 50.0° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+131	-157	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

107W-151L

43.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

134W-121L

56.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-2.5
05/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
08/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+0.5
08/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
08/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
08/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Under	-0.5
08/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.5
08/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 3.724 | IP 38.7 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 30.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	vsTOR	6-3L	5.0	5	4	4	Over
04-29-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.0	4	2	3	Over
04-24-24	vsLAD	11-2L	4.7	12	6	3	Over
04-17-24	@LAD	2-0W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
04-12-24	@OAK	1-2L	6.0	1	1	5	Under
04-06-24	vsPHI	5-2L	6.0	5	4	5	Under
03-31-24	@CIN	5-6L	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-21-23	vsATL	10-3L	2.7	7	5	1	Over
09-15-23	@MIL	3-5L	4.7	3	4	6	Under
09-09-23	vsLAD	6-7W	6.0	3	1	4	Over

Cooper Criswell

ERA 1.742 | IP 20.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	@MIN	9-2W	4.3	5	1	5	Over
04-30-24	vsSF	0-4W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
04-24-24	@CLE	8-0W	5.0	3	0	3	Under
04-18-24	vsCLE	5-4L	2.3	3	4	0	Over
04-13-24	vsLAA	2-7W	4.0	5	2	4	Over
09-30-23	@TOR	7-5L	3.0	4	4	3	Over
08-19-23	@LAA	18-4L	2.0	3	3	0	Over
08-10-23	@STL	5-2L	3.0	4	2	0	Under
07-15-23	@KC	4-2L	4.0	5	2	2	Under
06-07-23	@MIN	1-2W	3.3	1	0	4	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs BOS	5-1W	8	0	Under
05/10	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/09	@ BAL	3-0W	6	0	Under
05/07	@ TOR	11-8W	11	3	Over
05/06	@ TOR	3-6L	6	0	Over
05/05	@ TOR	9-3W	12	1	Over
05/04	vs TEX	0-6L	4	0	Under
05/03	vs TEX	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs TEX	1-7L	3	0	Under
05/01	vs MIA	7-2W	7	1	Over
04/30	vs MIA	12-9W	14	2	Over
04/29	vs MIA	11-4W	11	3	Over
04/28	vs MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under
04/26	@ LAD	2-11L	3	1	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ WAS	1-5L	9	0	Under
05/10	vs ATL	0-5L	7	0	Under
05/09	vs ATL	2-4L	8	0	Under
05/07	vs MIN	9-2W	11	2	Over
05/06	vs MIN	1-3L	8	0	Under
05/05	vs MIN	2-5L	4	0	Under
05/04	@ SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
05/03	@ SF	6-2W	10	0	Under
05/02	@ SF	4-0W	11	0	Under
04/30	@ CHC	5-4W	9	0	Over
04/29	@ CHC	17-0W	21	2	Over
04/28	@ CHC	1-7L	7	1	Under
04/27	vs CLE	4-5L	10	0	Over
04/26	vs CLE	8-0W	16	3	Under
04/25	vs CLE	1-4L	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jacob Young	8.4	10.8	0.287	0.356	41.4%	77.0%	0.0%
#2 CJ Abrams	9.0	11.7	0.264	0.521	36.4%	88.6%	5.0%
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.8	9.8	0.318	0.491	40.0%	89.1%	2.7%
#4 Nick Senzel	6.5	8.7	0.214	0.457	34.3%	80.0%	7.1%
#5 Jesse Winker	7.0	9.3	0.244	0.402	42.5%	82.7%	3.1%
#6 Joey Meneses	6.8	8.9	0.219	0.25	32.8%	57.8%	0.0%
#7 Keibert Ruiz	6.3	8.0	0.15	0.225	21.2%	43.8%	2.5%
#8 Eddie Rosario	5.9	7.8	0.159	0.295	23.9%	53.4%	3.4%
#9 Trey Lipscomb	5.8	7.4	0.25	0.293	38.0%	67.4%	1.1%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	9.4	12.0	0.264	0.409	37.1%	78.0%	0.6%
#2 Rafael Devers	10.7	14.1	0.28	0.47	48.0%	95.0%	4.0%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.8	11.7	0.279	0.596	45.2%	104.8%	8.7%
#4 Wilyer Abreu	8.6	11.3	0.283	0.455	44.4%	89.9%	2.0%
#5 Vaughn Grissom	7.1	9.5	0.143	0.19	14.3%	33.3%	0.0%
#6 Dominic Smith	7.2	9.3	0.19	0.238	23.8%	47.6%	0.0%
#7 Garrett Cooper	7.0	9.0	0.217	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	1.7%
#8 Reese McGuire	5.9	7.8	0.27	0.381	41.3%	79.4%	3.2%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.5	7.3	0.215	0.369	26.2%	63.1%	2.3%