Nationals vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some action as the evenly matched Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox square off in a mid-season showdown at the iconic Fenway Park. With both teams hovering around the .500 mark and itching to climb their respective conference ladders, today’s 01:35 PM first pitch promises all the thrills of a seesaw battle. The stakes? Just a few crucial spots in the standings and bragging rights, with the Sox looking to double down on yesterday’s victory and the Nats hungry for revenge in this rubber match. While the betting lines tilt in favor of the hometown Red Sox, the over/under teases a potentially snug scoreline, spiced up by Fenway’s partly cloudy skies and a brisk southeastern breeze. So, as we gear up for this clash, remember: in the heart of Boston, it’s time to see if the Nationals can ‘cap’italize or if the Red Sox will continue to ‘sock’ it to ’em!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 12, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-17	+20	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

107W-152L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

135W-121L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-2.5
05/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
05/11/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
05/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.5
08/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+0.5
08/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
08/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
08/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Under	-0.5
08/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.5
08/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 3.441 | IP 34.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	vsTOR	8-11W	3.0	6	6	4	Over
04-30-24	@TEX	1-7L	5.0	5	2	7	Over
04-25-24	vsLAD	2-1L	6.0	7	1	4	Under
04-19-24	vsHOU	5-3L	4.0	7	3	4	Over
04-13-24	@OAK	3-1W	5.0	4	0	11	Under
04-07-24	vsPHI	2-3W	5.7	5	2	6	Under
04-01-24	vsPIT	8-4L	5.3	5	3	6	Over
09-08-23	vsLAD	8-5L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
08-29-23	@TOR	5-4W	5.0	6	1	2	Over
08-23-23	@NYY	1-9L	4.0	4	6	4	Over

Brayan Bello

ERA 3.038 | IP 26.7 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	@PIT	8-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Over
04-14-24	vsLAA	4-5W	5.3	6	2	8	Over
04-09-24	vsBAL	7-1L	5.3	4	3	3	Over
04-02-24	@OAK	5-4W	5.0	5	4	6	Over
03-28-24	@SEA	6-4W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
09-27-23	vsTB	5-0L	6.0	9	5	3	Under
09-20-23	@TEX	5-15L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
09-15-23	@TOR	0-3L	6.0	4	3	10	Under
09-10-23	vsBAL	3-7W	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-04-23	@TB	7-3W	6.0	5	3	7	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	vs BOS	2-4L	4	2	Under
05/12	vs BOS	5-1W	8	0	Under
05/10	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/09	@ BAL	3-0W	6	0	Under
05/07	@ TOR	11-8W	11	3	Over
05/06	@ TOR	3-6L	6	0	Over
05/05	@ TOR	9-3W	12	1	Over
05/04	vs TEX	0-6L	4	0	Under
05/03	vs TEX	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs TEX	1-7L	3	0	Over
05/01	vs MIA	7-2W	7	1	Over
04/30	vs MIA	12-9W	14	2	Over
04/29	vs MIA	11-4W	11	3	Over
04/28	vs MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	@ WAS	4-2W	6	1	Under
05/12	@ WAS	1-5L	9	0	Under
05/10	vs ATL	0-5L	7	0	Under
05/09	vs ATL	2-4L	8	0	Under
05/07	vs MIN	9-2W	11	2	Over
05/06	vs MIN	1-3L	8	0	Under
05/05	vs MIN	2-5L	4	0	Under
05/04	@ SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
05/03	@ SF	6-2W	10	0	Over
05/02	@ SF	4-0W	11	0	Under
04/30	@ CHC	5-4W	9	0	Over
04/29	@ CHC	17-0W	21	2	Over
04/28	@ CHC	1-7L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs CLE	4-5L	10	0	Over
04/26	vs CLE	8-0W	16	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jacob Young	7.4	9.5	0.275	0.341	39.6%	73.6%	0.0%
#2 CJ Abrams	9.1	11.8	0.271	0.521	36.8%	88.9%	4.9%
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	8.1	10.3	0.307	0.474	38.6%	86.0%	2.6%
#4 Joey Meneses	6.9	9.0	0.22	0.273	32.6%	59.8%	0.8%
#5 Jesse Winker	6.9	9.2	0.238	0.392	42.3%	81.5%	3.1%
#6 Keibert Ruiz	7.2	9.1	0.145	0.217	20.5%	42.2%	2.4%
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.1	8.0	0.167	0.333	25.6%	58.9%	4.4%
#8 Trey Lipscomb	5.0	6.4	0.242	0.284	36.8%	65.3%	1.1%
#9 Victor Robles	4.9	6.4	0.25	0.25	75.0%	100.0%	0.0%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Romy Gonzalez	8.1	9.9	0.273	0.273	36.4%	63.6%	0.0%
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.1	10.8	0.341	0.585	58.5%	117.1%	2.4%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.0	0.271	0.579	44.9%	102.8%	8.4%
#4 Rafael Devers	8.0	10.5	0.288	0.481	48.1%	96.2%	3.8%
#5 Connor Wong	6.9	8.7	0.36	0.581	40.7%	98.8%	5.8%
#6 Garrett Cooper	7.2	9.3	0.217	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	1.7%
#7 Vaughn Grissom	6.1	8.2	0.12	0.16	12.0%	28.0%	0.0%
#8 Jarren Duran	6.7	8.6	0.265	0.414	37.0%	78.4%	0.6%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.4	7.1	0.211	0.361	25.6%	61.7%	2.3%