Nationals vs Dodgers Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

It’s game time, folks! Tonight, under the misty skies of Dodger Stadium, the Washington Nationals, trying to claw their way up from a 6-9 hole, are set to clash with the high-flying Los Angeles Dodgers, who are sitting pretty at 11-7. The clock’s ticking down to a 10:10 PM EST showdown that promises more twists and turns than a Hollywood blockbuster. With the Nationals fighting to close a 3.5-game gap and the Dodgers looking to maintain their lead, the stakes are sky-high. Both teams are shaking off recent stumbles, and with the over/under teasing at 8.5, bettors are buzzing. So, as the cool, breezy 51.1° night sets in, who will steal the show? Will the Nationals capitalize, or will the Dodgers make them see stars? Let’s find out if it’s going to be a capital gain or if the stars will align in LA tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 10:10PM EST

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Weather: Mist with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 51.1° with 86% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	LAD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+280	-360	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+280	-360	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

99W-148L

26.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

171W-78L

73.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
05/29/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Under	-1.5
05/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+3.5
05/30/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	9	Over	+3.5
05/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+7.5
05/31/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Over	+7.5
09/08/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+4.5
09/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+4.5
09/10/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+1.5
09/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Trevor Williams

ERA 5.55 | IP 144.3 | 6.0W-10.0L | KO 111.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@OAK	6-7L	5.3	6	3	7	Over
04-08-24	@SF	8-1W	5.0	3	1	2	Over
04-03-24	vsPIT	3-5W	5.3	3	2	5	Under
09-29-23	@ATL	10-6W	3.3	7	2	4	Over
09-16-23	@MIL	5-9L	2.0	5	3	1	Over
09-10-23	vsLAD	7-3L	4.3	8	6	4	Over
09-02-23	vsMIA	11-5L	4.0	12	9	3	Over
08-27-23	@MIA	1-2L	7.0	5	2	5	Under
08-20-23	vsPHI	3-4W	6.0	2	0	4	Under
08-13-23	vsOAK	7-8W	4.3	6	5	4	Over

James Paxton

ERA 4.5 | IP 96.0 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 101.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@MIN	6-3W	7.0	3	0	14	Over
04-03-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.0	4	3	7	Over
03-28-24	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-27-23	@BOS	5-0L	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-23	@TOR	6-2L	5.3	3	4	7	Under
09-16-23	@BAL	0-8W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
09-11-23	@MIN	7-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
09-06-23	@BOS	1-3W	6.0	3	1	14	Under
09-01-23	@CLE	2-3W	7.0	7	3	6	Under
08-26-23	@NYY	0-3W	6.0	1	0	4	Under
04-14-24	vsSD	6-3L	5.0	3	3	1	Over
04-08-24	@MIN	4-2W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
04-01-24	vsSF	3-8W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
09-01-23	@KC	2-13W	1.3	5	6	0	Over
08-26-23	@LAD	5-8L	4.3	4	4	4	Over
08-21-23	@HOU	4-9W	4.0	9	7	4	Over
08-16-23	@WAS	2-6W	6.0	5	2	3	Under
08-10-23	@KC	0-2W	5.3	6	0	6	Under
08-04-23	@TOR	7-3L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
07-29-23	@SF	2-3W	5.0	8	1	5	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs OAK	6-7L	12	1	Over
04/15	vs OAK	3-1W	10	0	Under
04/14	vs OAK	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/12	vs SF	1-7L	4	1	Under
04/11	vs SF	5-3W	8	1	Under
04/10	vs SF	7-1W	10	1	Under
04/09	@ PHI	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/08	@ PHI	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/07	@ PHI	0-4L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ PIT	4-7L	8	1	Over
04/05	@ PIT	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/03	@ PIT	4-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs CIN	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/01	vs CIN	7-6W	11	1	Over
03/30	vs CIN	2-8L	6	1	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ SD	3-6L	6	1	Over
04/15	@ SD	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/14	@ SD	7-8L	7	4	Over
04/12	vs MIN	2-3L	9	1	Under
04/11	vs MIN	6-3W	9	2	Over
04/10	vs MIN	4-2W	10	2	Under
04/09	vs CHC	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/08	vs CHC	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Over
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/03	@ SF	8-3W	9	1	Over
04/02	@ STL	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/01	@ STL	5-6L	14	1	Over
03/31	@ STL	6-3W	7	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.1	9.2	0.242	0.41	32.3%	73.3%	3.2%
#2 Lane Thomas	8.2	10.7	0.268	0.47	34.3%	81.4%	4.5%
#3 Joey Gallo	6.0	8.2	0.176	0.441	35.5%	79.6%	7.5%
#4 Joey Meneses	7.8	10.2	0.275	0.396	34.4%	74.0%	2.0%
#5 Jesse Winker	6.3	8.6	0.196	0.245	37.4%	62.0%	0.6%
#6 Riley Adams	6.7	8.6	0.273	0.476	36.4%	83.9%	2.8%
#6 Eddie Rosario	5.9	7.7	0.255	0.451	32.9%	78.1%	4.4%
#7 Ildemaro Vargas	6.1	7.9	0.252	0.363	32.8%	69.1%	1.5%
#8 Luis Garcia Jr.	5.1	6.4	0.264	0.384	32.5%	70.9%	2.0%
#9 Jacob Young	5.4	6.8	0.252	0.336	35.5%	69.2%	0.0%

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	11.1	14.8	0.307	0.579	48.5%	106.3%	6.7%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	11.5	15.8	0.304	0.654	49.3%	114.7%	8.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	10.2	13.4	0.333	0.568	47.1%	103.9%	4.6%
#4 Will Smith	8.4	11.3	0.261	0.438	42.9%	86.6%	4.1%
#5 Max Muncy	8.8	12.2	0.212	0.475	40.0%	87.6%	7.5%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.4	10.9	0.257	0.434	33.0%	76.4%	4.2%
#7 Kike Hernandez	6.3	8.3	0.238	0.359	31.7%	67.6%	2.4%
#7 James Outman	7.3	9.7	0.248	0.437	41.4%	85.1%	4.8%
#8 Chris Taylor	6.6	8.8	0.237	0.42	37.0%	79.0%	4.4%
#9 Gavin Lux	nan	8.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#9 Miguel Rojas	5.9	7.6	0.236	0.325	31.7%	64.2%	1.3%