Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready to dive into today’s splash at LoanDepot Park where the Washington Nationals, sporting a decent 11W-14L record, are set to clash with the struggling Miami Marlins, who are gasping at 6W-21L. The clock’s ticking down to a 04:10 PM EST showdown and the stakes are high with the Nationals looking to extend their lead and the Marlins desperate to turn the tide in the National League standings. With the betting world buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 4.0, and the air charged with a partly cloudy sky and breezy conditions, today’s game promises more twists than a high-speed slider. After their recent face-off where the Nationals took the win, the Marlins are hungry for revenge. Will the Nationals continue to sail smoothly, or will the Marlins make a splash and swim upstream in today’s game? Let’s find out if the Nationals can ‘capitolize’ or if the Marlins will finally ‘catch’ a break!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 21.7 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+114	-136	7.5	0.5/-0.5
Recent	+111	-133	7.5	0.5/-0.5
Difference	-3	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

102W-149L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

120W-132L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
04/26/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Push	-0.0
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+5.0
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+5.0
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+3.0
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+3.0
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+4.0
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+4.0
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+7.0
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.0
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+3.0
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+3.0
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.0
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.0
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.0
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+7.0
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+1.0
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+1.0
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.0
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+3.0
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+3.0
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+9.0
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+9.0
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+12.0
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+12.0
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+6.0
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+6.0

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Mitchell Parker

ERA 1.5 | IP 12.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsHOU	0-6W	7.0	3	0	8	Under
04-15-24	@LAD	6-4W	5.0	4	2	4	Over

Edward Cabrera

ERA 3.273 | IP 11.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	@CHC	6-3W	5.0	7	3	7	Over
04-15-24	vsSF	4-3L	6.0	5	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@PIT	4-3W	3.7	6	3	3	Under
09-24-23	vsMIL	1-6W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	5.3	4	1	4	Under
09-12-23	@MIL	1-3L	4.7	1	2	5	Under
09-06-23	vsLAD	4-11W	4.0	1	0	8	Over
07-31-23	vsPHI	4-2L	3.0	2	2	3	Under
07-25-23	@TB	1-4L	2.0	4	3	0	Under
07-18-23	@STL	2-5L	5.0	2	1	6	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	vs MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under
04/26	@ LAD	2-11L	3	1	Over
04/25	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/23	@ HOU	6-0W	11	1	Under
04/22	@ HOU	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/21	@ HOU	3-5L	8	1	Over
04/19	vs LAD	2-0W	4	1	Under
04/18	vs LAD	2-6L	6	1	Over
04/17	vs LAD	6-4W	8	2	Over
04/16	vs OAK	6-7L	12	1	Over
04/15	vs OAK	3-1W	10	0	Under
04/14	vs OAK	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/12	vs SF	1-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	vs SF	5-3W	8	1	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	@ WAS	1-3L	6	0	Under
04/26	vs ATL	3-4L	7	1	Under
04/25	vs ATL	0-5L	3	0	Under
04/24	vs ATL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/23	vs CHC	6-3W	11	1	Over
04/22	vs CHC	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/22	vs CHC	3-5L	8	1	Over
04/21	vs CHC	3-8L	6	1	Over
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	9.1	11.7	0.303	0.618	40.4%	102.2%	6.7%
#2 Jesse Winker	7.8	10.3	0.284	0.432	49.4%	92.6%	2.5%
#3 Joey Meneses	8.2	10.6	0.256	0.282	38.5%	66.7%	0.0%
#4 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.0	8.7	0.308	0.436	35.9%	79.5%	1.3%
#5 Keibert Ruiz	6.7	8.7	0.158	0.237	26.3%	50.0%	2.6%
#6 Eddie Rosario	6.1	8.0	0.1	0.183	15.0%	33.3%	1.7%
#7 Joey Gallo	5.7	7.9	0.122	0.311	35.1%	66.2%	4.1%
#8 Nick Senzel	6.5	8.4	0.2	0.44	28.0%	72.0%	8.0%
#9 Trey Lipscomb	5.7	7.2	0.228	0.281	31.6%	59.6%	1.8%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.8	9.6	0.291	0.355	38.2%	73.6%	0.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	6.9	8.9	0.255	0.427	30.0%	72.7%	4.5%
#3 Josh Bell	7.4	10.0	0.172	0.293	30.3%	59.6%	3.0%
#4 Avisail Garcia	7.6	9.3	0.229	0.375	25.0%	62.5%	4.2%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.3	9.5	0.227	0.34	35.1%	69.1%	2.1%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.4	7.7	0.23	0.253	27.6%	52.9%	0.0%
#7 Emmanuel Rivera	5.7	7.1	0.234	0.255	36.2%	61.7%	0.0%
#8 Otto Lopez	5.8	7.2	0.154	0.154	15.4%	30.8%	0.0%
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.0	6.4	0.0	0.0	3.8%	3.8%	0.0%