Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024
Nationals
12W-14L
April 28, 2024
01:40PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Marlins
6W-22L
Get ready to dive into a sizzling showdown as the Washington Nationals, boasting a decent 12W-14L record, roll into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to face off against the struggling Miami Marlins, who are sitting deep in the tank with a 6W-22L. The stakes are heating up with the Nationals trying to claw back from a 7-game deficit and the Marlins swimming upstream, a whopping 14 games back in the National League. With the first pitch slated for 01:40 PM EST under partly cloudy skies, a breezy 77 degrees setting the stage, and the betting world buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, today’s game promises more flips and twists than a marlin fighting on the line. While the Nationals look to repeat their recent dominant 11-4 victory, the Marlins are itching to flip the script. So, as we gear up for today’s action, let’s see if the Nationals can continue to ‘capitol-ize’ or if the Marlins will finally ‘fish’ out a win from their hat!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 28, 2024 01:40PM EST
Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 66% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| WAS ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +123 | -147 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +119 | -142 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -4 | +5 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
45.7% Win Probability
54.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/26/24 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 04/27/24 | Washington Nationals WAS | 11 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 05/16/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 4 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 05/17/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 05/18/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 06/16/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 06/17/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | ||||
| 06/18/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | ||||
| 08/25/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 7 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 08/26/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/27/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/31/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | ||||
| 09/01/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 8 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 09/02/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 11 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 09/03/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 4 |
Nationals Vs Over/Under
Marlins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | vsLAD | 4-1L | 5.3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 04-16-24 | @LAD | 2-6L | 6.3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | Under |
| 04-10-24 | @SF | 1-7L | 5.7 | 11 | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04-05-24 | vsPHI | 4-0L | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | @CIN | 7-6W | 4.3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | @BAL | 1-5L | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 09-22-23 | vsATL | 9-6L | 4.3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | @MIL | 2-1W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 09-11-23 | @PIT | 6-2W | 6.7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 09-05-23 | vsNYM | 11-5L | 4.0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22-24 | @ATL | 0-3L | 5.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04-16-24 | vsSF | 3-6W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | Over |
| 04-10-24 | @NYY | 5-2W | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-04-24 | @STL | 5-8L | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsPIT | 9-3L | 4.0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @PIT | 0-3L | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 08-21-23 | @SD | 2-6L | 3.3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Under |
| 08-05-23 | @TEX | 8-9L | 3.7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 07-15-23 | @PHI | 4-9W | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 06-15-23 | @CLE | 8-6L | 1.7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Over |
Nationals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29 | vs MIA | 11-4W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs MIA | 3-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/27 | @ LAD | 1-2L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ LAD | 2-11L | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04/25 | @ LAD | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ HOU | 6-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ HOU | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ HOU | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/19 | vs LAD | 2-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs LAD | 2-6L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/17 | vs LAD | 6-4W | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs OAK | 6-7L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs OAK | 3-1W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs OAK | 1-2L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs SF | 1-7L | 4 | 1 | Under |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29 | @ WAS | 4-11L | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 04/28 | @ WAS | 1-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs ATL | 3-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs ATL | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/24 | vs ATL | 0-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs CHC | 6-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs CHC | 3-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ SF | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SF | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ SF | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ ATL | 7-9L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ ATL | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ ATL | 1-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Washington Nationals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
CJ Abrams
|
8.2 | 10.6 | 0.301 | 0.624 | 40.9% | 103.2% | 6.5% |
|
#2
Joey Meneses
|
8.3 | 10.6 | 0.253 | 0.277 | 37.3% | 65.1% | 0.0% |
|
#3
Jesse Winker
|
7.3 | 9.7 | 0.291 | 0.465 | 48.8% | 95.3% | 3.5% |
|
#4
Riley Adams
|
7.3 | 9.5 | 0.25 | 0.458 | 33.3% | 79.2% | 4.2% |
|
#5
Nick Senzel
|
7.1 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 26.7% | 76.7% | 10.0% |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.293 | 0.39 | 46.3% | 85.4% | 0.0% | |
| 6.0 | 7.6 | 0.262 | 0.328 | 36.1% | 68.9% | 1.6% | |
|
#9
Jacob Young
|
6.0 | 7.5 | 0.309 | 0.364 | 38.2% | 74.5% | 0.0% |
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
9.2 | 11.3 | 0.301 | 0.363 | 38.9% | 75.2% | 0.0% |
| 8.4 | 10.7 | 0.252 | 0.426 | 29.6% | 72.2% | 4.3% | |
|
#3
Josh Bell
|
8.2 | 11.0 | 0.183 | 0.298 | 30.8% | 60.6% | 2.9% |
| 7.8 | 10.1 | 0.232 | 0.343 | 36.4% | 70.7% | 2.0% | |
|
#5
Tim Anderson
|
7.6 | 9.2 | 0.222 | 0.244 | 27.8% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| 7.0 | 8.6 | 0.235 | 0.255 | 35.3% | 60.8% | 0.0% | |
|
#8
Vidal Brujan
|
5.3 | 6.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
6.2 | 8.0 | 0.122 | 0.163 | 18.4% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
Nationals Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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