Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end of tonight’s MLB showdown as the Washington Nationals swim into LoanDepot Park to face off against the Miami Marlins. With the first pitch slated for 06:40 PM EST, the atmosphere is buzzing! The Nationals, trailing by 19.5 games in the National League, are looking to reel in some wins, while the Marlins, 29.5 games back, hope to make a splash after their recent victory over San Francisco. The stakes are high with the over/under tantalizingly set at 8.5, and the betting lines almost neck and neck. Under the overcast Miami skies, with a gentle breeze and high humidity, tonight’s game promises to be as steamy as the weather. As the Nationals try to shake off a brutal loss and the Marlins aim to ride their winning wave, we’re all set for a clash that’s sure to make waves in the standings. So, who will sail to victory and who will be left floundering in the wake?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 03, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ESE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

124W-181L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

143W-164L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
04/26/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
04/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+6.5
04/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
04/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+12.5
04/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+12.5
04/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+0.5
04/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+0.5
06/15/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
06/15/24	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-4.5
06/16/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
06/16/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.5
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.5
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.498 | IP 147.3 | 4.0W-12.0L | KO 113.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	vsNYY	2-4W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
08-22-24	vsCOL	3-8W	6.0	4	1	8	Over
08-16-24	@PHI	2-3L	4.3	7	2	2	Under
08-10-24	vsLAA	4-5W	4.0	8	4	2	Over
08-05-24	vsSF	4-1L	6.0	7	4	6	Under
07-30-24	@ARI	0-17L	3.0	13	11	3	Over
07-25-24	vsSD	3-0L	7.0	4	3	7	Under
07-19-24	vsCIN	5-8W	6.0	3	1	6	Over
07-10-24	@NYM	2-6L	5.0	8	4	5	Under
07-05-24	vsSTL	7-6L	5.0	6	3	3	Over

Max Meyer

ERA 5.61 | IP 51.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 41.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-28-24	@COL	2-8L	5.0	5	5	6	Over
08-23-24	vsCHC	6-3L	6.0	6	3	2	Over
08-17-24	@NYM	0-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Under
08-11-24	vsSD	6-7W	6.3	7	4	4	Over
08-06-24	vsCIN	8-2L	4.0	8	6	2	Over
08-01-24	@ATL	2-4L	5.0	7	4	7	Under
07-27-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	4	3	3	Over
04-13-24	vsATL	1-5W	6.0	6	1	7	Under
04-07-24	@STL	10-3W	6.0	3	1	3	Over
04-01-24	vsLAA	7-4L	5.0	2	2	4	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	@ CHC	1-14L	5	0	Over
09/02	@ CHC	2-5L	10	1	Under
09/01	@ CHC	6-7L	8	1	Over
08/30	@ NYY	5-2W	10	1	Under
08/29	@ NYY	4-2W	7	2	Under
08/28	@ NYY	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/27	vs ATL	5-1W	8	0	Under
08/26	vs ATL	2-4L	10	1	Under
08/25	vs ATL	2-3L	10	0	Under
08/24	@ COL	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/23	@ COL	6-1W	12	1	Under
08/22	@ COL	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/20	vs PHI	6-4W	11	3	Over
08/19	vs PHI	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/18	vs PHI	2-3L	11	0	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over
08/30	vs COL	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/29	vs COL	9-8W	12	2	Over
08/28	vs COL	2-3L	9	0	Under
08/27	@ CHC	7-2W	11	2	Over
08/26	@ CHC	2-14L	4	2	Over
08/25	@ CHC	3-6L	8	0	Over
08/23	@ ARI	7-10L	14	2	Over
08/22	@ ARI	1-3L	7	0	Under
08/21	@ ARI	6-9L	12	1	Over
08/20	vs NYM	3-2W	8	0	Under
08/19	vs NYM	0-4L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	7.9	10.2	0.240	0.560	0.280	0.840	0.348	0.080
#2 James Wood	8.6	11.3	0.273	0.418	0.428	0.845	0.337	0.026
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	8.5	10.8	0.290	0.452	0.346	0.798	0.328	0.035
#4 Keibert Ruiz	7.7	10.0	0.219	0.352	0.264	0.616	0.259	0.032
#5 Andres Chaparro	6.9	9.0	0.250	0.467	0.333	0.800	0.328	0.033
#6 Jose Tena	6.9	8.7	0.318	0.439	0.364	0.803	0.331	0.030
#7 CJ Abrams	7.7	10.0	0.244	0.427	0.352	0.778	0.319	0.037
#8 Joey Gallo	6.2	8.3	0.170	0.315	0.345	0.661	0.272	0.030
#9 Jacob Young	5.3	6.8	0.259	0.342	0.349	0.691	0.287	0.008

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Connor Norby	8.7	11.4	0.263	0.537	0.325	0.863	0.354	0.062
#2 Jake Burger	8.7	11.4	0.245	0.462	0.330	0.792	0.325	0.058
#3 Jonah Bride	6.5	8.6	0.245	0.403	0.403	0.806	0.325	0.036
#4 Derek Hill	7.8	10.2	0.238	0.427	0.273	0.699	0.291	0.049
#5 Otto Lopez	7.4	9.4	0.244	0.328	0.309	0.637	0.266	0.010
#6 Jesus Sanchez	6.4	8.4	0.242	0.422	0.326	0.748	0.308	0.042
#7 David Hensley	6.5	8.3	0.263	0.368	0.342	0.711	0.293	0.026
#8 Cristian Pache	5.9	7.7	0.200	0.281	0.311	0.593	0.247	0.007
#9 Nick Fortes	5.5	7.0	0.219	0.293	0.256	0.550	0.233	0.012

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Joan Adon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.9

Marlins Notable Injuries

Xavier Edwards OUT (SS): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.432 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.0
Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Anthony Bender OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4