Nationals vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to throw your caps in the air as the Washington Nationals, with a less-than-stellar 42-52 record, gear up to clash with the mighty 54-40 Milwaukee Brewers at the iconic American Family Field tonight at 08:10 PM EST! It’s a showdown where standings and spirits could flip faster than a shortstop turns a double play. With the Brewers defending their top spot in the National League and the Nationals looking to claw back from a 19-game deficit, the stakes are high and the betting lines hotter. The over/under teeters at a tantalizing 8.0, setting the stage for an explosive battle. Both teams are itching to rebound from recent losses, under a partly cloudy sky with a gentle breeze perfect for flying balls and soaring hopes. So, as the Nationals try to brew up a storm against Milwaukee, let’s see if they can serve up an upset or if the Brewers will keep the taps flowing with victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 12, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 52% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+180	-220	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+230	-290	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+50	-70	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

117W-171L

30.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

166W-117L

69.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/31/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Push	-0.0
07/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Push	-0.0
08/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+2.0
08/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+2.0
08/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-3.0
08/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.0
09/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
09/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Push	-0.0
09/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+6.0
09/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+6.0
09/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.0
09/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-5.0

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Jackson Rutledge

ERA 9.0 | IP 1.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 1.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-14-24	@CWS	0-4L	1.0	2	1	1	Under
10-01-23	@ATL	10-9W	5.0	5	5	4	Over
09-24-23	vsATL	2-3W	5.0	3	1	4	Under
09-19-23	vsCWS	3-4W	6.3	6	2	2	Under
09-13-23	@PIT	6-7L	3.7	10	7	2	Over

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.949 | IP 98.0 | 6.0W-4.0L | KO 124.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-06-24	@LAD	3-5L	4.0	4	3	4	Push
06-30-24	vsCHC	1-7W	7.0	2	1	8	Push
06-24-24	vsTEX	3-6W	5.0	4	2	6	Over
06-19-24	@LAA	2-0W	6.0	3	0	8	Under
06-14-24	vsCIN	6-5L	5.3	10	6	6	Over
06-08-24	@DET	5-4W	3.3	4	4	3	Over
06-02-24	vsCWS	3-6W	5.0	4	3	7	Over
05-28-24	vsCHC	6-3L	5.7	3	1	11	Over
05-22-24	@MIA	0-1L	7.0	4	1	7	Under
05-17-24	@HOU	4-5L	5.0	8	5	6	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	vs NYM	0-7L	6	0	Under
07/12	vs NYM	2-6L	5	0	Push
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under
07/01	vs TB	7-1W	13	1	Push
06/30	vs TB	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
07/12	@ PIT	9-0W	14	2	Over
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs LAD	3-5L	5	2	Push
07/07	vs LAD	5-8L	4	1	Over
07/06	vs COL	3-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	vs COL	3-0W	9	1	Under
07/04	vs COL	4-3W	12	0	Under
07/03	vs COL	7-8L	14	1	Over
07/02	@ CHC	7-1W	10	2	Push
07/01	@ CHC	3-5L	11	0	Push
06/30	@ CHC	4-2W	5	1	Under
06/28	@ TEX	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/27	@ TEX	3-1W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.3	9.6	0.271	0.485	0.391	0.876	0.354	0.041
#2 James Wood	6.8	8.9	0.244	0.341	0.415	0.756	0.306	0.024
#3 Jesse Winker	6.9	9.1	0.264	0.427	0.455	0.882	0.349	0.035
#4 Keibert Ruiz	5.8	7.5	0.224	0.336	0.278	0.614	0.258	0.025
#5 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.3	8.0	0.277	0.433	0.323	0.757	0.313	0.033
#6 Lane Thomas	6.5	8.4	0.249	0.405	0.358	0.763	0.311	0.031
#7 Juan Yepez	5.7	7.3	0.308	0.462	0.462	0.923	0.367	0.000
#8 Ildemaro Vargas	4.6	5.9	0.251	0.341	0.341	0.683	0.283	0.006
#9 Jacob Young	4.5	5.7	0.252	0.313	0.344	0.656	0.274	0.004

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.8	9.9	0.281	0.398	0.379	0.777	0.317	0.018
#3 William Contreras	8.5	11.1	0.294	0.444	0.392	0.837	0.340	0.027
#3 Christian Yelich	9.4	12.1	0.329	0.525	0.471	0.996	0.392	0.043
#4 Willy Adames	8.4	11.2	0.237	0.413	0.369	0.782	0.317	0.039
#5 Sal Frelick	7.6	9.6	0.265	0.341	0.380	0.720	0.295	0.007
#6 Rhys Hoskins	7.4	10.0	0.214	0.415	0.359	0.774	0.314	0.056
#7 Garrett Mitchell	6.3	8.5	0.200	0.250	0.500	0.750	0.295	0.000
#8 Jackson Chourio	5.9	7.7	0.246	0.390	0.322	0.712	0.294	0.034
#9 Andruw Monasterio	4.9	6.4	0.192	0.256	0.308	0.564	0.237	0.013

Nationals Notable Injuries

Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8

Brewers Notable Injuries

Joey Ortiz OUT (3B): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.444 Last game: 07/03/24. Impact: 2.0
Gary Sanchez OUT (C): Avg: 0.218 SLG:0.401 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Jared Koenig OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 2.1
Oliver Dunn OUT (3B): Avg: 0.221 SLG:0.316 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.0
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9