Nationals vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field tonight as the Washington Nationals, looking to claw their way up from the depths of the National League standings, face off against the New York Mets, who are equally desperate to climb the ladder in their conference. With the first pitch set for 07:10 PM EST, the stage is set under a sunny sky with a gentle northern breeze, perfect baseball weather. Both teams are hungry for a win after taking a beating in their last outings, setting the stage for a battle that’s as tight as the betting lines suggest. So, as the Nationals try to ‘Capitol-ize’ and the Mets aim to ‘Met-ticulously’ pick apart their opponents, tonight’s game promises to be an explosive mix of strategy and raw power!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 09, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-138	8.5	0.5/-0.5
Recent	+115	-138	8.5	0.5/-0.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

117W-168L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

161W-122L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+10.5
06/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+10.5
06/04/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+4.5
06/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+4.5
06/05/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+5.5
06/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+5.5
07/01/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+11.5
07/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+11.5
07/02/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.5
07/02/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+4.5
07/03/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+7.5
07/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.5
07/04/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.5
07/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-3.5
04/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+0.5
04/25/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+0.5
04/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
04/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Over	+0.5
04/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+12.5
04/27/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+12.5
05/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+0.5
05/12/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+5.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+5.5
05/15/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+8.5
05/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.5
07/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
07/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
07/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+1.5
07/28/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+1.5
07/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+12.5
07/29/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+12.5
07/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.5
07/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+11.5
09/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+11.5
09/06/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
09/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 2.802 | IP 106.0 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 94.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	vsNYM	0-1W	8.0	1	0	8	Under
06-29-24	@TB	8-1W	6.0	1	1	5	Over
06-23-24	@COL	2-1W	6.0	3	1	10	Under
06-18-24	vsARI	5-0L	5.0	8	4	2	Under
06-12-24	@DET	7-5W	6.0	6	1	5	Over
06-07-24	vsATL	1-2W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
06-02-24	@CLE	5-2W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-28-24	@ATL	0-2L	6.0	2	0	10	Under
05-22-24	vsMIN	3-2L	6.3	5	2	6	Under
05-17-24	@PHI	2-4L	5.0	5	4	2	Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 4.216 | IP 89.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 66.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	@WAS	0-1L	7.0	4	0	1	Under
06-28-24	vsHOU	2-7W	4.0	6	2	7	Over
06-21-24	@CHC	11-1W	6.3	4	1	8	Over
06-15-24	vsSD	1-5W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@PHI	6-5W	3.7	6	3	1	Over
06-02-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	4	3	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	3-0L	6.0	8	3	3	Under
05-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	6.0	4	3	4	Over
05-16-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	4	2	4	Over
05-10-24	vsATL	4-2L	5.0	6	4	3	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under
07/01	vs TB	7-1W	13	1	Under
06/30	vs TB	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over
06/27	vs SD	7-9L	9	1	Over
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over
06/25	vs COL	2-1W	4	0	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Over
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.9	11.6	0.279	0.500	0.391	0.891	0.360	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	8.5	11.0	0.245	0.406	0.337	0.743	0.305	0.032
#3 Harold Ramirez	7.1	8.8	0.272	0.319	0.293	0.613	0.257	0.005
#4 Joey Meneses	7.3	9.6	0.231	0.306	0.324	0.630	0.263	0.011
#5 Keibert Ruiz	7.1	9.1	0.223	0.326	0.279	0.605	0.255	0.021
#6 James Wood	6.0	8.1	0.276	0.414	0.483	0.897	0.351	0.034
#7 Trey Lipscomb	6.1	7.7	0.231	0.262	0.331	0.592	0.248	0.008
#8 Ildemaro Vargas	5.8	7.4	0.247	0.321	0.333	0.654	0.272	0.000
#9 Jacob Young	6.0	7.6	0.262	0.325	0.349	0.675	0.281	0.004

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.5	11.2	0.248	0.444	0.350	0.793	0.325	0.041
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.0	10.8	0.252	0.454	0.438	0.891	0.353	0.045
#3 J.D. Martinez	7.5	9.9	0.259	0.464	0.388	0.853	0.344	0.045
#4 Pete Alonso	7.5	10.0	0.240	0.459	0.363	0.822	0.333	0.053
#5 Francisco Alvarez	7.0	9.2	0.299	0.496	0.409	0.906	0.365	0.031
#6 DJ Stewart	6.6	9.1	0.172	0.313	0.403	0.716	0.289	0.037
#7 Mark Vientos	6.0	7.9	0.300	0.556	0.381	0.938	0.380	0.069
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.7	7.3	0.214	0.307	0.293	0.600	0.252	0.018
#9 Harrison Bader	4.9	6.4	0.267	0.403	0.337	0.741	0.307	0.025

Nationals Notable Injuries

Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.3
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0