Nationals vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of titans—or at least a clash of the middle of the pack—as the Washington Nationals roll into the Big Apple to square off against the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field tonight at 7:10 PM EST. With the Nationals trying to find their groove 17 games back and the Mets swinging at a slightly closer 13 games behind in the National League standings, both teams are itching for a win to boost their mid-season morale. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under of 9, promising some heavy bat action under the sunny skies and gentle breezes forecasted for game time. Coming off a recent head-to-head where the Mets nabbed a victory, the Nationals are hungry for redemption. So, as the sun sets over Queens and the first pitch flies, let’s see if the Mets can ‘cap’italize at home or if the Nationals will ‘wash’ away the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 10, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 84.0° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+160	-195	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+160	-195	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

117W-169L

38.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

162W-122L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+6.0
06/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+6.0
06/04/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Push	-0.0
06/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
06/05/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+1.0
06/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+1.0
07/01/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+7.0
07/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.0
07/02/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
07/02/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Push	-0.0
07/03/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.0
07/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+3.0
07/04/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-8.0
07/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-8.0
07/09/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+3.0
07/09/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+3.0
04/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-4.0
04/25/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
04/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-4.0
04/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.0
04/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+8.0
04/27/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+8.0
05/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-4.0
05/12/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-4.0
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.0
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.0
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+1.0
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.0
05/15/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+4.0
05/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+4.0
07/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-6.0
07/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.0
07/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-3.0
07/28/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-3.0
07/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+8.0
07/29/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+8.0
07/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.0
07/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
09/05/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+7.0
09/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.0
09/06/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.0
09/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.0

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.49 | IP 100.0 | 1.0W-8.0L | KO 68.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	vsSTL	7-6L	5.0	6	3	3	Over
06-30-24	@TB	0-5L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
06-24-24	@SD	6-7L	7.0	5	3	5	Over
06-19-24	vsARI	1-3W	5.0	3	1	7	Under
06-13-24	@DET	2-7L	5.3	4	1	4	Under
06-05-24	vsNYM	9-1L	5.3	7	6	3	Over
05-31-24	@CLE	1-7L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
05-26-24	vsSEA	9-5L	6.0	4	4	4	Over
05-21-24	vsMIN	10-0L	6.0	9	8	3	Over
05-15-24	@CWS	0-2L	5.7	6	2	0	Under

Luis Severino

ERA 4.094 | IP 103.3 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	@PIT	2-14L	6.0	9	7	3	Over
06-30-24	vsHOU	10-5L	7.0	8	4	3	Over
06-23-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
06-18-24	@TEX	7-6W	6.3	8	6	1	Over
06-13-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	7	1	2	Under
06-05-24	@WAS	9-1W	8.0	7	1	4	Over
05-31-24	vsARI	9-10W	5.3	6	5	4	Over
05-25-24	vsSF	7-2L	7.0	2	1	6	Under
05-18-24	@MIA	9-10L	6.7	6	5	3	Over
05-12-24	vsATL	3-4W	5.0	4	2	4	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Under
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under
07/01	vs TB	7-1W	13	1	Under
06/30	vs TB	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over
06/27	vs SD	7-9L	9	1	Over
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Under
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Under
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.3	10.8	0.276	0.495	0.393	0.889	0.359	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	7.5	9.8	0.242	0.401	0.337	0.738	0.303	0.032
#3 James Wood	7.6	10.1	0.273	0.394	0.455	0.848	0.336	0.030
#4 Jesse Winker	7.6	10.1	0.270	0.438	0.459	0.897	0.354	0.036
#5 Keibert Ruiz	7.1	9.2	0.224	0.338	0.278	0.616	0.259	0.025
#6 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.7	8.5	0.277	0.435	0.325	0.760	0.315	0.034
#7 Juan Yepez	6.1	7.8	0.300	0.450	0.400	0.850	0.346	0.000
#8 Trey Lipscomb	4.4	5.5	0.227	0.258	0.326	0.583	0.245	0.008
#9 Jacob Young	4.5	5.7	0.259	0.322	0.349	0.671	0.279	0.004

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	10.0	13.1	0.253	0.455	0.357	0.812	0.332	0.044
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.7	11.8	0.252	0.459	0.434	0.893	0.354	0.047
#3 J.D. Martinez	9.5	12.6	0.260	0.463	0.392	0.855	0.344	0.044
#4 Pete Alonso	9.1	12.1	0.237	0.454	0.358	0.812	0.330	0.052
#5 Francisco Alvarez	8.1	10.7	0.298	0.489	0.405	0.893	0.360	0.031
#6 Mark Vientos	8.6	11.3	0.293	0.543	0.372	0.915	0.371	0.067
#7 Tyrone Taylor	7.6	9.9	0.220	0.384	0.282	0.667	0.278	0.028
#8 Jose Iglesias	7.5	9.7	0.328	0.463	0.388	0.851	0.350	0.015
#9 Harrison Bader	7.0	9.1	0.275	0.409	0.344	0.753	0.311	0.024

Nationals Notable Injuries

Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0