Nationals vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown at Petco Park tonight as the Washington Nationals, hovering just below the .500 mark, aim to steal a win from the slightly better-positioned San Diego Padres in a clash that promises more twists than a California coastline! With the first pitch at 09:40PM EST, both teams are looking to claw their way up the National League standings, with the Nationals itching to close a 13.5-game gap and the Padres not too far ahead. The stakes are as sunny as today’s weather in San Diego, but will the mild 70-degree breeze cool down the hot bats from last night’s nail-biter? With the over/under teasing at 7.5, tonight’s game could flip faster than a coin toss. After their last face-off where the Padres edged out a victory, the Nationals are hungry for a comeback. Will the Nationals capitalize or will the Padres continue to defend their turf? It’s time to find out if the Nationals can ‘capitol-ize’ or if the Padres will keep swinging their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 25, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 3.6 mph. Temperature is at 70.2° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-110	-110	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-212	+12	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

116W-164L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

151W-131L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+5.5
06/24/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+5.5
05/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.5
05/23/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.5
05/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+0.5
05/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+0.5
05/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+6.5
05/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+6.5
06/23/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+8.5
06/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+8.5
06/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.5
06/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.5
06/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+3.5
06/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+3.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 3.6 | IP 80.0 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-20-24	vsARI	5-2L	5.0	10	4	7	Under
06-14-24	vsMIA	1-8W	7.0	5	1	10	Over
06-08-24	vsATL	3-7W	5.0	6	2	7	Over
06-03-24	vsNYM	8-7L	4.3	7	6	2	Over
05-29-24	@ATL	7-2W	5.3	6	2	10	Over
05-24-24	vsSEA	1-6W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
05-18-24	@PHI	3-4L	6.3	3	2	3	Under
05-12-24	@BOS	2-3L	6.0	6	3	9	Under
05-05-24	vsTOR	8-11W	3.0	6	6	4	Over
04-30-24	@TEX	1-7L	5.0	5	2	7	Over

Adam Mazur

ERA 7.269 | IP 17.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-20-24	vsMIL	6-7W	4.7	5	3	3	Over
06-15-24	@NYM	1-5L	3.7	3	2	4	Under
06-09-24	vsARI	9-3L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
06-04-24	@LAA	2-4L	6.0	2	1	2	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over
06/25	vs COL	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/24	vs COL	7-8L	11	2	Over
06/23	vs COL	11-5W	19	2	Over
06/22	@ ARI	2-5L	4	2	Under
06/21	@ ARI	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/20	@ ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/18	@ MIA	3-1W	9	2	Under
06/17	@ MIA	4-0W	9	2	Under
06/16	@ MIA	8-1W	13	1	Over
06/15	vs DET	2-7L	5	0	Over
06/14	vs DET	7-5W	13	1	Over
06/13	vs DET	5-4W	5	0	Over
06/11	@ ATL	8-5W	7	1	Over
06/10	@ ATL	7-3W	12	1	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/26	@ WAS	7-6W	8	0	Over
06/25	@ MIL	2-6L	8	0	Over
06/24	@ MIL	6-4W	10	3	Over
06/23	@ MIL	9-5W	15	2	Over
06/22	@ MIL	7-6W	10	4	Over
06/21	vs PHI	5-2W	12	1	Under
06/20	vs PHI	3-4L	4	1	Under
06/19	vs PHI	2-9L	7	0	Over
06/18	vs NYM	6-11L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs NYM	1-5L	2	1	Under
06/16	vs NYM	1-2L	5	1	Under
06/14	@ OAK	5-4W	6	4	Over
06/13	@ OAK	4-3W	10	1	Under
06/12	@ OAK	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/11	@ ARI	3-9L	7	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	9.7	12.6	0.275	0.502	0.352	0.854	0.349	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	8.6	11.2	0.241	0.421	0.328	0.749	0.307	0.041
#3 Jesse Winker	7.7	10.1	0.269	0.413	0.467	0.880	0.348	0.033
#4 Joey Meneses	6.6	8.7	0.246	0.327	0.335	0.661	0.275	0.012
#5 Eddie Rosario	7.2	9.5	0.183	0.333	0.244	0.577	0.242	0.033
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.3	8.1	0.204	0.301	0.260	0.561	0.238	0.020
#7 Nick Senzel	6.2	8.2	0.218	0.385	0.374	0.760	0.307	0.039
#8 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.5	8.2	0.257	0.392	0.302	0.694	0.289	0.029
#9 Jacob Young	6.4	8.2	0.269	0.332	0.356	0.688	0.286	0.005

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.9	9.7	0.311	0.380	0.368	0.749	0.310	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.6	10.1	0.316	0.482	0.474	0.956	0.377	0.037
#3 Manny Machado	8.3	10.7	0.259	0.371	0.327	0.698	0.289	0.022
#4 Jake Cronenworth	7.6	10.0	0.259	0.447	0.355	0.802	0.328	0.041
#5 Donovan Solano	6.8	8.8	0.277	0.402	0.393	0.795	0.324	0.027
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.7	9.9	0.290	0.444	0.347	0.792	0.326	0.039
#7 Ha-Seong Kim	7.0	9.3	0.227	0.398	0.394	0.792	0.317	0.038
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.4	7.2	0.179	0.452	0.226	0.679	0.282	0.071

Nationals Notable Injuries

Trevor Williams OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 6.0
Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8

Padres Notable Injuries

Yu Darvish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 6.6
Joe Musgrove OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 6.7
Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
Luis Campusano OUT (C): Avg: 0.231 SLG:0.364 Last game: 06/22/24. Impact: 2.0