Nationals vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the action as the Washington Nationals, with a record just shy of the .500 mark, storm into the dome of Tropicana Field to clash with the equally poised Tampa Bay Rays tonight at 06:50PM EST. It’s a mid-season showdown that’s got everyone buzzing, especially with both teams looking to climb up from their spots in the conference standings. With the Nationals trying to shake off a recent tumble against the Padres and the Rays reeling from their scuffle with the Mariners, this game is set up to be a real nail-biter. The stakes are high, the bats are ready, and with clear skies and a gentle breeze setting the stage, who wouldn’t bet on this matchup? As the over/under teeters at a tantalizing 7.5, it’s time to see if the Nationals can ‘capital-ize’ or if the Rays will ‘shine’ through in this epic battle of wills.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 28, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Clear with winds from the SE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 77.2° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+129	-154	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

116W-166L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

176W-111L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+0.5
04/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
04/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	10	Over	+8.5
04/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+8.5
04/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+1.5
04/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Mitchell Parker

ERA 3.299 | IP 73.7 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	@COL	7-8L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
06-16-24	vsMIA	1-3W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-11-24	@DET	5-4W	4.7	4	4	1	Over
06-06-24	vsATL	5-2L	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-01-24	@CLE	2-3L	5.7	4	3	5	Under
05-27-24	@ATL	8-4W	6.3	5	3	6	Over
05-20-24	vsMIN	3-12W	6.0	7	3	7	Over
05-14-24	@CWS	0-4L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
05-08-24	vsBAL	7-6L	5.7	5	2	3	Over
05-02-24	@TEX	0-6L	5.3	6	3	5	Under

Zach Eflin

ERA 4.205 | IP 81.3 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	@PIT	3-4L	7.0	5	4	6	Under
06-16-24	@ATL	8-6W	5.7	7	4	7	Over
06-11-24	vsCHC	2-5W	5.7	7	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@MIA	5-3W	4.0	3	2	3	Over
05-18-24	@TOR	5-4W	6.0	9	4	3	Over
05-13-24	@BOS	5-3W	5.0	6	3	2	Over
05-07-24	vsCWS	1-5W	7.0	6	1	3	Under
05-01-24	@MIL	1-7L	5.7	6	3	6	Over
04-26-24	@CWS	4-9L	6.0	9	5	4	Over
04-20-24	@NYY	2-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over
06/27	vs SD	7-9L	9	1	Over
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over
06/25	vs COL	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/24	vs COL	7-8L	11	2	Over
06/23	vs COL	11-5W	19	2	Over
06/22	@ ARI	2-5L	4	2	Under
06/21	@ ARI	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/20	@ ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/18	@ MIA	3-1W	9	2	Under
06/17	@ MIA	4-0W	9	2	Under
06/16	@ MIA	8-1W	13	1	Over
06/15	vs DET	2-7L	5	0	Over
06/14	vs DET	7-5W	13	1	Over
06/13	vs DET	5-4W	5	0	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	@ SEA	2-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	@ SEA	11-3W	11	3	Over
06/26	@ SEA	4-3W	11	0	Under
06/25	vs PIT	3-1W	9	1	Under
06/24	vs PIT	3-4L	5	0	Under
06/23	vs PIT	10-3W	17	3	Over
06/22	vs MIN	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/21	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/20	vs MIN	6-7L	8	3	Over
06/18	vs ATL	8-6W	8	3	Over
06/17	vs ATL	2-9L	6	1	Over
06/16	vs ATL	3-7L	8	0	Over
06/15	@ CHC	3-2W	7	0	Under
06/14	@ CHC	3-4L	7	2	Under
06/13	@ CHC	5-2W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.7	10.0	0.280	0.502	0.362	0.863	0.352	0.041
#2 Lane Thomas	7.8	10.2	0.243	0.431	0.337	0.767	0.313	0.040
#3 Jesse Winker	5.7	7.5	0.265	0.418	0.458	0.876	0.346	0.036
#4 Joey Meneses	6.1	8.0	0.240	0.319	0.331	0.650	0.270	0.012
#5 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.3	8.0	0.257	0.391	0.300	0.692	0.288	0.028
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.3	6.9	0.200	0.295	0.255	0.550	0.233	0.020
#7 Eddie Rosario	5.1	6.7	0.181	0.330	0.242	0.572	0.240	0.033
#8 Nick Senzel	4.6	6.1	0.220	0.387	0.371	0.758	0.307	0.038
#9 Jacob Young	4.8	6.2	0.266	0.327	0.355	0.682	0.284	0.005

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.8	10.0	0.275	0.392	0.364	0.756	0.310	0.022
#2 Randy Arozarena	8.3	11.1	0.189	0.344	0.356	0.700	0.287	0.037
#3 Amed Rosario	7.6	9.4	0.296	0.408	0.333	0.742	0.307	0.009
#4 Isaac Paredes	7.0	9.2	0.272	0.455	0.412	0.867	0.349	0.043
#5 Jose Siri	6.6	8.8	0.212	0.392	0.330	0.722	0.297	0.042
#6 Jonny DeLuca	6.4	8.5	0.151	0.252	0.269	0.521	0.221	0.017
#7 Jose Caballero	6.7	8.5	0.243	0.352	0.335	0.687	0.285	0.017
#8 Taylor Walls	5.7	7.5	0.175	0.250	0.325	0.575	0.239	0.000
#9 Alex Jackson	4.3	5.9	0.077	0.154	0.169	0.323	0.143	0.015

Nationals Notable Injuries

Trevor Williams OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 6.0
Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8

Rays Notable Injuries

Brandon Lowe OUT (2B): Avg: 0.217 SLG:0.417 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.3
Richard Lovelady OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 0.7