Nationals vs Rays Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Today’s showdown sends the Washington Nationals, hovering just below the .500 mark, into the dome of destiny at Tropicana Field to face the equally eager Tampa Bay Rays. With the first pitch slated for 04:10 PM EST, both teams are itching to climb their respective conference ladders, with the Nationals needing a boost from their 15-game lag and the Rays looking to cut down their 10.5-game deficit. The stakes are high, the betting lines are buzzing, and with an over/under of 7.5, it’s anyone’s game. Mother Nature is throwing her own curveball with a stormy mix of thunder and brisk winds, setting the stage for a clash that’s as unpredictable as it is thrilling. After their recent face-off where the Rays edged out the Nationals, today’s rematch promises revenge. So, will the Nationals ‘capitol-ize’ on their chance for redemption, or will the Rays shine through the storm?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 29, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Moderate or heavy rain with thunder with winds from the NW at 18.6 mph. Temperature is at 71.8° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+112	-134	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+114	-136	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

116W-167L

46.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

177W-111L

53.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-3.5
06/28/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-3.5
04/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+0.5
04/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
04/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	10	Over	+8.5
04/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+8.5
04/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+1.5
04/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 3.13 | IP 92.0 | 5.0W-6.0L | KO 81.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-23-24	@COL	2-1W	6.0	3	1	10	Under
06-18-24	vsARI	5-0L	5.0	8	4	2	Under
06-12-24	@DET	7-5W	6.0	6	1	5	Over
06-07-24	vsATL	1-2W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
06-02-24	@CLE	5-2W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-28-24	@ATL	0-2L	6.0	2	0	10	Under
05-22-24	vsMIN	3-2L	6.3	5	2	6	Under
05-17-24	@PHI	2-4L	5.0	5	4	2	Under
05-11-24	@BOS	2-4L	7.0	4	2	6	Under
05-04-24	vsTOR	6-3L	5.0	5	4	4	Over

Aaron Civale

ERA 5.201 | IP 81.3 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 82.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-23-24	@PIT	3-1W	5.0	3	1	3	Under
06-18-24	@MIN	6-7L	3.7	7	4	5	Over
06-12-24	vsCHC	4-3L	5.7	5	1	6	Under
06-07-24	vsBAL	6-3L	5.0	7	4	8	Over
05-31-24	@BAL	1-3L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-25-24	vsKC	7-4L	5.0	4	2	5	Over
05-19-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.3	6	5	3	Under
05-14-24	@BOS	4-5L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
05-08-24	vsCWS	4-1L	4.7	5	2	4	Under
05-03-24	vsNYM	8-10W	4.7	6	7	5	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/30	vs TB	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over
06/27	vs SD	7-9L	9	1	Over
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over
06/25	vs COL	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/24	vs COL	7-8L	11	2	Over
06/23	vs COL	11-5W	19	2	Over
06/22	@ ARI	2-5L	4	2	Under
06/21	@ ARI	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/20	@ ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/18	@ MIA	3-1W	9	2	Under
06/17	@ MIA	4-0W	9	2	Under
06/16	@ MIA	8-1W	13	1	Over
06/15	vs DET	2-7L	5	0	Over
06/14	vs DET	7-5W	13	1	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/30	@ WAS	3-1W	9	2	Under
06/28	@ SEA	2-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	@ SEA	11-3W	11	3	Over
06/26	@ SEA	4-3W	11	0	Under
06/25	vs PIT	3-1W	9	1	Under
06/24	vs PIT	3-4L	5	0	Under
06/23	vs PIT	10-3W	17	3	Over
06/22	vs MIN	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/21	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/20	vs MIN	6-7L	8	3	Over
06/18	vs ATL	8-6W	8	3	Over
06/17	vs ATL	2-9L	6	1	Over
06/16	vs ATL	3-7L	8	0	Over
06/15	@ CHC	3-2W	7	0	Under
06/14	@ CHC	3-4L	7	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.5	11.0	0.278	0.498	0.366	0.864	0.352	0.041
#2 Lane Thomas	7.6	9.9	0.238	0.422	0.330	0.752	0.308	0.039
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.3	9.3	0.257	0.389	0.300	0.689	0.287	0.027
#4 Joey Meneses	6.6	8.7	0.237	0.315	0.331	0.646	0.269	0.012
#5 Keibert Ruiz	6.8	8.8	0.197	0.291	0.256	0.547	0.232	0.020
#6 Harold Ramirez	6.7	8.3	0.273	0.314	0.297	0.610	0.257	0.006
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.2	8.2	0.183	0.329	0.242	0.571	0.240	0.032
#8 Nick Senzel	5.1	6.7	0.216	0.379	0.363	0.742	0.302	0.037
#9 Jacob Young	5.4	6.9	0.272	0.341	0.359	0.700	0.291	0.005

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.4	9.5	0.274	0.390	0.363	0.753	0.309	0.021
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.2	11.1	0.216	0.414	0.362	0.776	0.315	0.043
#3 Isaac Paredes	7.2	9.5	0.272	0.452	0.410	0.862	0.347	0.042
#4 Josh Lowe	7.6	10.0	0.234	0.439	0.336	0.776	0.317	0.047
#5 Randy Arozarena	6.8	9.1	0.190	0.343	0.354	0.697	0.286	0.036
#6 Richie Palacios	6.3	8.2	0.244	0.338	0.388	0.726	0.296	0.020
#7 Jose Siri	5.6	7.5	0.219	0.423	0.340	0.763	0.312	0.051
#8 Ben Rortvedt	5.3	7.0	0.274	0.390	0.425	0.815	0.328	0.021
#9 Taylor Walls	5.6	7.4	0.167	0.238	0.333	0.571	0.237	0.000

Nationals Notable Injuries

Trevor Williams OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 6.0
Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8