Strategy and Stats for 05/03/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock ticks towards 2:20 PM EST, the excitement builds with today’s expansive MLB slate featuring 15 gripping games, but all eyes are particularly on the marquee matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium, starting at 10:10 PM EST. With a hefty Over/Under of 9.0, this game promises a plethora of scoring opportunities, making it a fantasy goldmine. Fantasy managers should look out for top-tier players poised to dominate their positions; from power hitters to strikeout kings, this day offers a buffet of choices that could make or break your fantasy lineup. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into each game, providing you with the insights needed to navigate today’s fantasy landscape and optimize your picks.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5000), Blue Jays – Projected 14.2 pts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is poised to make a significant impact in today’s game against the Nationals. Despite a recent dip in his performance metrics, with a decrease in DraftKings points per game from 7.67 to 4.7, Guerrero’s matchup against Patrick Corbin, who ranks second in hits allowed per game, positions him for a potential rebound. Corbin’s vulnerability could be the perfect catalyst for Guerrero to improve on his 2.8 DFS value score, making him a strong value pick at his current salary.

Matt Olson ($5700), Braves – Projected 13.5 pts

Matt Olson, facing an unspecified pitcher from the Dodgers, presents a more challenging scenario. His recent performance shows a significant decline, with his DraftKings points dropping by 44.1% to 3.6 per game. Despite this, Olson’s ability to turn around his performance should not be underestimated, especially considering his power-hitting capabilities. However, with a DFS value score of 2.4, he remains a core value pick. His potential for improvement makes him a risky but possibly rewarding option for today’s slate.

In-Depth Analysis of Top Second Basemen for Today’s DFS Slate

Ozzie Albies ($5400), Braves – Projected 13.2 pts

Ozzie Albies has shown a slight dip in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 9.3 DraftKings points compared to 12.67 in the previous set, marking a -26.6% change. Despite this, his consistent hitting with an average of 1.4 hits per game and an uptick in singles and doubles suggests potential for recovery. His matchup against the Dodgers, who rank 15th in hits allowed per game, could be favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $5400 and a DFS value score of 2.4, Albies offers core value for today’s fantasy lineup.

Marcus Semien ($5500), Rangers – Projected 12.3 pts

Marcus Semien’s recent performance has seen a significant decline, with his DraftKings points per game halving from 11.0 to 5.4, a -50.9% decrease. His hitting metrics have also suffered, particularly in doubles and home runs, which have seen reductions of -69.7%. However, facing Brady Singer of the KC, who ranks 24th in hits allowed, might offer Semien a chance to improve his stats. His current DraftKings salary is $5500, with a DFS value score of 2.2, positioning him as a core option, albeit with some risk.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Rafael Devers ($5100), Boston Red Sox – Projected 13.5 pts

Rafael Devers has been on a notable upswing in his recent performances, making him a compelling pick for today’s fantasy lineup. Over his last 10 games, Devers has significantly improved, pushing his DraftKings points per game up to 9.5 from a previous 5.56, marking a 70.9% increase. His consistency at the plate is evident with a 150.0% increase in hits per game and a staggering 203.0% rise in singles per game. Facing Chris Paddack of the Twins, who ranks third in hits allowed per game, Devers’ matchup is favorable, enhancing his appeal. With a DFS value score of 2.6, Devers stands out as a strong value pick in today’s slate.

Austin Riley ($5500), Atlanta Braves – Projected 12.3 pts

Austin Riley, on the other hand, presents a more challenging case. His recent form shows a downturn, with his DraftKings points per game dropping by 40.8% to 5.0. This decline is mirrored across several key performance metrics, including a -42.6% in hits per game and a -55.0% in total bases per game. Despite the slump, Riley’s matchup against the Dodgers, who are mid-pack in hits allowed per game, might not offer much of a rebound opportunity. His DFS value score of 2.2 positions him as a core value player, suggesting that while he has potential, there are risks involved in rostering him for today’s games.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s DFS Lineup

Bo Bichette ($4700), Toronto Blue Jays – Projected 13.8 pts

Bo Bichette’s recent performance may not mirror his explosive potential, but a closer look at the numbers and matchup suggests a rebound could be imminent. Over the last ten games, Bichette has seen a significant dip in production, averaging only 3.5 DraftKings points per game—a stark contrast to his previous average of 8.44. Despite this, his upcoming game against Patrick Corbin, who ranks second in hits allowed per game, positions Bichette for a potential surge. With a DraftKings salary of $4700 and a DFS value score of 2.9, Bichette stands out as a strong value pick who could capitalize on Corbin’s vulnerability.

Corey Seager ($5700), Texas Rangers – Projected 13.2 pts

Corey Seager’s recent stats might raise some eyebrows among fantasy players, with a decrease in his performance metrics across the board. His last ten games have yielded an average of only 3.2 DraftKings points, down from 4.89. Despite this slump, Seager’s matchup against Brady Singer of the Kansas City Royals—who is ranked 24th in hits allowed per game—offers a glimmer of hope for a turnaround. With a DraftKings salary set at $5700 and a DFS value score of 2.3, Seager is positioned as a core value pick. His potential in today’s game hinges on exploiting Singer’s weaknesses, making him a risky but potentially rewarding option for DFS players.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s MLB DFS Slate

Willson Contreras ($5300), Cardinals – Projected 13.8 pts

Willson Contreras has been navigating a bit of a slump recently, with a decrease in his hitting metrics over the last ten games. His DraftKings points per game dropped by 13.7% to 7.0, and his hits per game saw a significant reduction of 47.4%. Despite this, Contreras is facing Brad Keller, who ranks 30th in hits allowed per game, presenting a favorable matchup for Contreras to potentially bounce back. His projected DFS value score of 2.6 indicates strong value at his current salary, making him a viable option for today’s games.

William Contreras ($9400), Brewers – Projected 13.8 pts

William Contreras, on the other hand, has maintained a relatively higher performance level, averaging 9.6 DraftKings points per game in his last ten outings. However, his performance has seen a downturn compared to the previous ten games, with a notable 23.6% drop in DraftKings points. Despite his higher salary, the matchup against Hayden Wesneski, who ranks 26th in hits allowed per game, might not be enough to justify his high cost. His DFS value score of 1.5 suggests that his current price may not offer the best value in today’s slate.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6400), Braves – Projected 15.6 pts

Ronald Acuna Jr. has been a beacon of consistency for the Braves, though his recent performances show a slight dip in production. Over the last ten games, Acuna has averaged 7.8 DraftKings points per game, a significant drop from his previous 13.33 points. Despite this, his projected points for today’s game stand at a promising 15.6. Facing a middle-of-the-pack LAD pitching staff, Acuna’s matchup holds potential, especially considering his ability to generate runs and get on base. His DFS value score of 2.4 positions him as a core value pick, making him a viable option for today’s fantasy lineups.

George Springer ($4500), Blue Jays – Projected 14.5 pts

George Springer’s recent form shows a decline, with a 33.2% decrease in DraftKings points over the last ten games compared to the ten before that. However, today’s matchup against Patrick Corbin of the Nationals, who ranks second in hits allowed per game, presents a favorable situation. Springer’s ability to capitalize on Corbin’s vulnerability could be key. His average of 4.6 DraftKings points recently does not reflect his potential in such a matchup. With a projected 14.5 points and a DFS value score of 3.2, Springer emerges as an elite value pick for today’s games, offering significant upside at a modest salary.