Strategy and Stats for 06/13/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

As the clock strikes 1:05 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with an exhilarating slate of 11 games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Among these, the spotlight shines brightly on the New York Yankees as they gear up to face the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a lofty 10.5, fantasy managers can anticipate a flurry of runs, making it a crucial battleground for those looking to capitalize on potential high scorers. Today’s lineup is studded with top-tier talent across all positions, setting the stage for a detailed breakdown of optimal picks and sleeper alerts. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each matchup, helping you craft a winning strategy in your daily fantasy contests.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Pete Alonso ($5100), Mets – Projected 12.6 pts

Pete Alonso of the Mets has shown a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 9.2 DraftKings points per game, a significant improvement from his previous set of games where he averaged 6.44. This surge is highlighted by a 263.6% increase in doubles per game and a 51.5% increase in walks per game, indicating a more disciplined approach at the plate. With a DraftKings salary of $5100 and a projected point total of 12.6, Alonso offers 2.5 DFS value, positioning him as a strong value pick in today’s slate. His recent performance trend, coupled with his ability to generate total bases and runs, makes him a compelling choice for DFS players looking to capitalize on players with upward momentum.

Bryce Harper ($5900), Phillies – Projected 11.9 pts

Bryce Harper, playing at 1B for the Phillies, continues to be a consistent performer in daily fantasy sports. Over the last ten games, Harper has averaged 9.7 DraftKings points, slightly down from his previous average of 9.78. Despite a minor dip in home runs per game, Harper has improved his singles rate by 81.8% and walks by 60.7%, showcasing his ability to get on base. Facing Tanner Houck of the Red Sox, who has a high rate of hits allowed, Harper could potentially exploit this matchup. However, with a DraftKings salary of $5900 and a projected point total of 11.9, his DFS value score is 2.0, making him a core value pick for today. Harper’s consistent hitting and ability to draw walks make him a solid, albeit not spectacular, option for today’s games.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Second Base Standouts

Ketel Marte ($5100), Arizona Diamondbacks – Projected 13.6 pts

Ketel Marte’s recent surge in performance makes him a compelling choice for today’s DFS lineup. Over the last ten games, Marte has significantly increased his output, averaging 13.4 DraftKings points per game, a sharp rise from his previous average of 4.44 points. This improvement is reflected across multiple metrics, with notable increases in hits, home runs, and walks, suggesting a robust uptick in his on-base and slugging percentages. Facing Griffin Canning, who ranks #152 in hits allowed per game, Marte’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score of 2.7 underscores his strong potential to outperform his $5100 salary.

Ozzie Albies ($5600), Atlanta Braves – Projected 11.6 pts

In contrast, Ozzie Albies has experienced a downturn in his recent performances. His last ten games have seen a decrease in nearly every statistical category compared to the previous ten-game stretch, with his DraftKings points per game dropping to 5.4 from 8.33. This decline is particularly evident in his batting average and on-base percentage, highlighted by a significant reduction in singles and walks. Despite facing Cole Irvin, who also has a high number of hits allowed per game, Albies’ current form presents a risk. His DFS value score of 2.1 places him in the core value range, suggesting he might not fully leverage his $5600 salary in today’s game.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB DFS Slate

Royce Lewis ($6000), Twins – Projected 12.4 pts

Royce Lewis has been a consistent performer for the Twins, averaging 11.3 DraftKings points over his last ten games. With Minnesota ranked #3 in generating fantasy points, Lewis’s matchup against Luis Medina, who ranks #386 in hits allowed per game, positions him as a favorable play. His recent performance shows a significant improvement in hits and total bases, with a 34.8% increase in hits per game and a 53.4% increase in total bases per game compared to his previous ten games. Despite a slight decrease in walks, his power metrics, including home runs per game, have seen a notable rise. With a 2.1 DFS Value Score, Lewis stands out as a core value pick in today’s slate.

Christopher Morel ($8600), Cubs – Projected 11.5 pts

Christopher Morel’s recent surge is noteworthy, with a 104% increase in DraftKings points per game over his last ten outings compared to the previous set. His performance metrics have skyrocketed, particularly in hits and runs scored, where he’s seen increases of 172.7% and 309.1%, respectively. This explosive output makes him a potential game-changer despite the Cubs’ lower overall ranking (#188) in fantasy point generation. However, his high DraftKings salary of $8600 paired with a 1.3 DFS Value Score suggests that Morel might not provide the best value today, given the cost-to-point expectation.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Mookie Betts ($6100), Dodgers – Projected 15.0 pts

Mookie Betts, traditionally known for his outfield prowess, steps in at shortstop bringing a compelling mix of consistency and upside. Over the last ten games, Betts has seen a significant uptick in his performance, averaging 9.2 DraftKings points per game, a 37.9% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His matchup against Michael Lorenzen, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, positions Betts for potential high returns. Despite a slight decline in hits and singles, his increased walk rate and run production highlight his ability to contribute across multiple categories. With a 2.5 DFS value score, Betts represents a strong value at his current salary, making him a top consideration for today’s games.

Anthony Volpe ($4800), Yankees – Projected 13.7 pts

Anthony Volpe enters today’s game as a promising young talent at shortstop for the Yankees. Although his recent performance shows a 19.9% drop in DraftKings points per game compared to the previous ten games, Volpe’s ability to hit triples and score runs remains intact. Facing Alec Marsh, who has a high rate of hits allowed per game, could provide Volpe with opportunities to capitalize and rebound in his performance. Despite some setbacks in his hitting metrics, his current DraftKings salary and a 2.9 DFS value score make him an attractive option for those looking to find value at the SS position without breaking the bank.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Catcher Insights

Salvador Perez ($5100), Royals – Projected 11.4 pts

Salvador Perez, the stalwart catcher for the Kansas City Royals, has shown a dip in his recent performance, averaging 4.4 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a -30.5% decline from his previous ten-game stretch. Despite this, Perez is facing Nestor Cortes of the Yankees, who has been generous in allowing hits, ranking #219 with 8.26 hits allowed per game. This matchup could be a turning point for Perez to rebound. His DraftKings salary stands at $5100 with a DFS value score of 2.2, positioning him as a core value play in today’s slate. His ability to capitalize on Cortes’ vulnerability could be key for fantasy managers looking for a potentially undervalued player who could exceed expectations.

Ryan Jeffers ($4500), Twins – Projected 10.8 pts

Ryan Jeffers of the Minnesota Twins presents an intriguing option at catcher, especially considering his upward trend in performance. Over his last ten games, Jeffers has averaged 5.5 DraftKings points, marking a significant 49.9% improvement from his earlier games. Facing Luis Medina of the Athletics, who ranks #386 with 6.1 hits allowed per game, Jeffers could continue his positive trajectory. With a DraftKings salary of $4500 and a DFS value score of 2.4, he offers core value with potential for strong returns. His recent surge in total bases and runs scored suggests a rising potential that savvy DFS players should not overlook.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Aaron Judge ($6700), Yankees – Projected 16.1 pts

Aaron Judge has been a powerhouse in recent games, averaging 19.2 DraftKings points over his last ten outings, a significant increase from his previous ten-game average of 12.67 points. His hitting has improved notably, with a 70% increase in hits per game in the recent stretch. Despite a slight decrease in home runs per game, his overall performance metrics, including a 49.3% increase in walks and a 30% increase in runs, make him a formidable choice for today’s lineup. Judge is facing Alec Marsh, who ranks #242 in hits allowed per game, suggesting a favorable matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $6700 and a projected point total of 16.1, Judge offers a 2.4 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Juan Soto ($6200), Yankees – Projected 15.2 pts

Juan Soto, another strong contender from the Yankees, shows a consistent improvement in his performance, with a slight uptick in DraftKings points from 11.78 to 12.6 in his last ten games. Although his hits slightly decreased, Soto’s walks have more than doubled, increasing by 132.1%, which boosts his on-base percentage and scoring potential. His runs per game have also seen a significant rise of 68.5%. Facing the same pitcher as Judge, Soto is likely to exploit Marsh’s vulnerability in allowing hits. With a DraftKings salary of $6200 and a projected point total of 15.2, Soto is marked with a 2.5 DFS value score, making him a strong value pick for today’s fantasy lineups.