Strategy and Stats for 06/21/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 2:20 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with an exhilarating slate of 14 games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Fantasy enthusiasts should mark their calendars for the highlight of the day: a thrilling encounter at Coors Field where the Washington Nationals face off against the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 PM EST. Known for its hitter-friendly confines, Coors Field sets the stage for a potential offensive explosion, with the game’s Over/Under tantalizingly set at 11.0. This matchup not only offers a treasure trove of fantasy points but also serves as a critical pivot for those looking to dominate their leagues. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into today’s games, spotlighting top projected players at each position, and uncovering hidden gems that could turn the tide in your fantasy lineup.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Christian Walker ($5200), Diamondbacks – Projected 11.9 pts

Christian Walker has been on a notable upswing in his recent performances, making him a compelling pick for today’s DFS contests. Over the last ten games, Walker has averaged 11.2 DraftKings points per game, a significant improvement from his previous ten-game stretch of 6.67 points. This uptick is supported by a substantial increase in hits per game from 0.67 to 1.3 and home runs per game from 0.22 to 0.5. Despite a complete absence of walks recently, his total bases per game have surged from 1.67 to 2.9. Facing Taijuan Walker, who ranks #171 in hits allowed per game, Christian’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a solid core value play in today’s slate.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4500), Blue Jays – Projected 11.9 pts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s recent performance might raise concerns, as he’s seen a sharp decline in his output, averaging only 2.7 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a stark contrast to the 8.78 points from the previous set of ten games. His hits per game have decreased from 1.11 to 0.7, and he’s failed to hit any home runs or doubles in the recent stretch. However, facing Carlos Carrasco, who has a relatively high rank of #156 in hits allowed per game, might provide Guerrero a chance to bounce back. Despite the recent slump, his DFS value score is 2.6, indicating a strong value based on his potential for recovery and lower DraftKings salary.

Top 2B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Ketel Marte ($5400), Arizona Diamondbacks – Projected 14.3 pts

Ketel Marte’s recent performance suggests a steady climb in his fantasy output, with a 2.6 DFS value score, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games. Over his last ten games, Marte has shown a slight increase in DraftKings points per game, moving from 9.89 to 10.2, a 3.1% improvement. Although there’s been a decrease in hits and total bases, his runs per game have surged by 60.7%. Facing Taijuan Walker, who ranks #171 in hits allowed per game, Marte’s potential for scoring is promising, especially considering his reasonable DraftKings salary of $5400.

Brandon Lowe ($3600), Tampa Bay Rays – Projected 11.9 pts

Brandon Lowe offers an intriguing option as a budget pick with an 3.3 DFS value score, positioning him among the elite value players for today. Despite a recent dip in his performance metrics, including an 11% decrease in DraftKings points per game over the last ten games, Lowe’s potential remains high. His home run rate has impressively increased by 172.7%, and his singles have risen by 13.6%. With no specific pitcher matchup today and a low DraftKings salary of $3600, Lowe’s ability to exceed expectations and provide significant fantasy value is high.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Royce Lewis ($5800), Twins – Projected 12.1 pts

Royce Lewis of the Minnesota Twins has been showing promising signs of growth in his recent performances. Over his last ten games, Lewis has managed an average of 14.5 DraftKings points per game, a slight improvement over his previous ten-game stretch. His ability to consistently hit, evidenced by a 23.0% increase in hits per game, positions him as a solid pick in daily fantasy sports. Facing a weak Oakland pitching staff that ranks 192nd in hits allowed per game, Lewis’s matchup is favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $5800 and a projected point total of 12.1, he offers a 2.1 DFS value score, making him a core value play today.

Jose Ramirez ($6000), Indians – Projected 11.9 pts

Jose Ramirez of the Cleveland Indians, despite a recent dip in performance, remains a noteworthy DFS option. His last ten games have seen a decrease in productivity, with a 32.2% drop in DraftKings points per game compared to the ten games prior. However, Ramirez’s ability to contribute across multiple categories, including home runs and doubles, should not be overlooked. His salary stands at $6000 on DraftKings, with a projected point total of 11.9. Ramirez’s DFS value score is 2.0, categorizing him as a core value player for today’s games, especially considering there’s no specific opposing pitcher to challenge his batting skills.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Gunnar Henderson ($6100), Orioles – Projected 14.0 pts

Gunnar Henderson has been a beacon of consistency for the Orioles, especially in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Henderson has notched an impressive 14.0 DraftKings points per game, marking a significant improvement of 32.6% over his previous ten-game stretch. His ability to hit safely has surged by 44.1%, with an average of 1.6 hits per game. Despite a slight decrease in walks, his run production has soared, scoring runs at a rate 66.7% higher than before. Facing Luis Garcia, whose stats against hits are not available, Henderson’s recent uptick in performance and his 2.3 DFS value score make him a solid core value pick in today’s lineup.

Trea Turner ($5600), Phillies – Projected 13.8 pts

Trea Turner, on the other hand, presents a slightly different scenario. His recent form shows a dip in DraftKings points per game to 9.7, a 22.8% decrease from his earlier performances. Despite maintaining a relatively stable hit rate, his power numbers have declined, with no home runs in the last ten games and a significant drop in total bases. However, Turner’s ability to consistently get on base and his experience make him a noteworthy option. With a 2.5 DFS value score against Jordan Montgomery of the ARI, who ranks low in hits allowed per game, Turner is considered a strong value pick for today’s games.

Catcher Insights for Today’s DFS Slate

Danny Jansen ($4400), Toronto Blue Jays – Projected 12.3 pts

Danny Jansen’s recent performance metrics show a slight increase in his fantasy points production, moving from an average of 3.56 to 3.6 on DraftKings over the last ten games. This subtle improvement, coupled with his matchup against Carlos Carrasco, who ranks 156th in hits allowed per game, positions Jansen as a potentially underrated asset. His hits and runs have seen a dip, but his steady walk rate suggests he maintains decent plate discipline. With a DFS value score of 2.8, Jansen offers strong value at his current salary, making him a viable option for today’s games.

Will Smith ($5200), Los Angeles Dodgers – Projected 11.9 pts

Will Smith of the Dodgers presents an intriguing case. Despite a decrease in his performance metrics across the board — notably a 45.9% drop in hits per game and a significant reduction in doubles — Smith’s overall fantasy output remains robust at 6.5 points per game on DraftKings. Facing Patrick Sandoval, who is not particularly stingy with hits, Smith could capitalize and reverse his recent downtrend. However, his DFS value score of 2.3 places him just into the core value category, suggesting that while he has potential, his higher salary demands cautious optimism.

Top Outfielders to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Corbin Carroll ($4900), Diamondbacks – Projected 16.0 pts

Corbin Carroll has been on a notable upswing, delivering a robust average of 11.3 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant improvement from his previous set of games where he averaged 6.67 points. This 69.4% increase in performance is particularly impressive considering his matchups. Facing Taijuan Walker, who ranks 171st in hits allowed per game, Carroll’s potential for high fantasy output is further magnified. His recent stats show a promising uptick in doubles and total bases, with an increase of 263.6% and 124.7%, respectively. With a projected DFS value score of 3.3, Carroll stands out as an elite value pick for today’s games.

Tyler O’Neill ($5000), Red Sox – Projected 15.2 pts

Tyler O’Neill has been a consistent performer for the Red Sox, averaging 11.7 DraftKings points in his latest ten-game stretch, up 75.4% from his earlier performances. His matchup against Andrew Abbott, who is ranked 322nd for hits allowed per game, positions O’Neill favorably for continued success. Notably, O’Neill has shown a significant improvement in his hitting, with a 94% increase in hits per game and a solid 81.8% increase in home runs per game compared to his previous ten games. His total bases have also seen a substantial rise by 103%. With a DFS value score of 3.0, O’Neill is another elite value option, making him a compelling choice for today’s fantasy lineups.