Strategy and Stats for 07/02/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

As the clock strikes 6:40 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with a thrilling 15-game slate that promises fireworks and fierce competition. Fantasy aficionados should particularly mark their calendars for the highlight matchup where the Milwaukee Brewers clash with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field at 8:40 PM EST. Known for its hitter-friendly confines, Coors Field sets the stage for a potential scoring extravaganza, underscored by an Over/Under of 11.5. This game not only beckons with high fantasy scores but also serves as a critical pivot for those looking to dominate their leagues. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each game, dissecting top player projections and strategic plays that could make or break your fantasy outcomes tonight.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rhys Hoskins ($4600), Brewers – Projected 12.4 pts

Rhys Hoskins has shown a significant uptick in performance, making him a noteworthy pick for today’s games. Over the last ten games, Hoskins has averaged 7.0 DraftKings points, a stark improvement from his previous 2.89 points. His matchup against Ryan Feltner, who has been generous in allowing hits, further bolsters his potential. With a 2.7 DFS value score, Hoskins offers strong value at a moderate salary, making him an attractive option for those looking to capitalize on a favorable pitching matchup.

Jake Bauers ($4500), Brewers – Projected 12.4 pts

Jake Bauers, while not as explosive as Hoskins, presents a consistent option at first base. His performance has been stable, with a slight increase in DraftKings points from 5.41 to 5.5 over the last ten games. Bauers faces the same pitcher as Hoskins, which could mean potential for hits given Feltner’s track record. With a 2.8 DFS value score, Bauers is positioned as a strong value pick, especially for DFS players looking for steady, reliable point accumulation at a reasonable cost.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Brice Turang ($5600), Brewers – Projected 14.1 pts

Brice Turang has been on a notable upswing for the Milwaukee Brewers, making him a compelling pick in today’s DFS lineup. Over his last ten games, Turang has averaged 10.4 DraftKings points, a significant improvement from his previous stretch where he averaged only 6.0 points. This surge is highlighted by a 195.5% increase in hits per game and a robust 203.0% rise in singles per game. Despite a slight decrease in walks and runs, his overall performance against Ryan Feltner—who ranks #121 in hits allowed per game—positions him well for continued success. With a DraftKings salary of $5600 and a projected point total of 14.1, Turang offers 2.5 DFS value, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Brandon Lowe ($3800), Rays – Projected 13.2 pts

Brandon Lowe of the Tampa Bay Rays presents an exceptional value in today’s DFS contests. Despite a slight dip in his last ten games, averaging 8.4 DraftKings points compared to 9.22 in the previous ten, Lowe shows potential for a rebound. Notably, his home run rate has improved by 36.4%, and his runs scored have increased by 25.0%. Facing Brady Singer, who has a high rank of #371 for hits allowed per game, Lowe’s matchup looks favorable. With a lower DraftKings salary of $3800 and a projected point total of 13.2, his DFS value score is 3.5, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Ryan McMahon ($5200), Rockies – Projected 12.2 pts

Ryan McMahon has been a steady presence at the hot corner for the Rockies, averaging 8.4 DraftKings points over his last ten games. Despite a slight dip in performance compared to his previous ten-game stretch, McMahon’s ability to maintain consistent hit and walk rates positions him as a reliable option. Facing Dallas Keuchel, who ranks 20th in hits allowed per game, McMahon’s matchup could favor his hitting style, especially given Keuchel’s ERA trends. With a DraftKings salary of $5200 and a projected point total of 12.2, McMahon’s DFS value score stands at 2.3, categorizing him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Christopher Morel ($4400), Cubs – Projected 11.7 pts

Christopher Morel, the young third baseman for the Cubs, shows promising signs of growth in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Morel has improved significantly, posting a 27.2% increase in DraftKings points compared to his previous ten games. His ability to contribute across multiple categories, including a notable increase in total bases and walks, makes him an intriguing DFS option. Facing Michael Mercado, who has an unusually low rank for hits allowed per game, Morel might find opportunities to exploit. With a salary of $4400 and a projected point total of 11.7, Morel’s DFS value score is 2.7, making him a strong value play in today’s lineup.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Willy Adames ($5500), Brewers – Projected 14 pts

Willy Adames, despite Milwaukee’s low rank in fantasy point generation, shows a promising matchup against Ryan Feltner of the Rockies. Adames’ recent performance has seen a dip with an average of 4.1 DraftKings points over the last ten games, a significant decrease from his previous 10.56 points. However, his ability to capitalize on singles has improved remarkably. Facing Feltner, who ranks #121 in hits allowed per game, Adames has a decent chance to exploit this matchup. His projected DFS value score stands at 2.5, categorizing him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6400), Royals – Projected 14 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. of the Royals comes at a higher price but maintains a steadier performance with an average of 6.3 DraftKings points in his last ten games, despite a 26.4% drop from his earlier form. Witt’s versatility is evident with his ability to hit triples and consistently score runs, showing a 51.5% increase in runs per game recently. Facing Zack Littell, who is not particularly stringent in hit prevention, Witt could leverage this to improve his stats further. His DFS value score is 2.2, making him a core value player who could potentially outperform his recent stats.

Top Catchers to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Willson Contreras ($4900), Cardinals – Projected 14.9 pts

Willson Contreras has shown fluctuating performance in his recent games with the St. Louis Cardinals, averaging 6.2 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant drop from 9.89 in the previous set. Despite this downturn, his projected points for the upcoming game stand at an impressive 14.9. This projection, coupled with his current salary, positions him at a DFS value score of 3.0, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate. His ability to bounce back against a non-specific opponent could be pivotal for fantasy managers looking for a high-upside play.

William Contreras ($6200), Brewers – Projected 14.9 pts

Playing for the Milwaukee Brewers, William Contreras has maintained a more consistent performance, with a slight decrease in his DraftKings points per game from 6.89 to 6.7 in his last ten outings. Facing Ryan Feltner of Colorado, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Contreras has a favorable matchup that could exploit these weaknesses. Despite his higher salary, his projected points mirror those of Willson at 14.9. However, his DFS value score stands at 2.4, making him a core value player in today’s games. His steady performance and potential for capitalizing on a weaker pitcher make him a solid choice for DFS lineups.

Top Outfielders to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Christian Yelich ($6300), Brewers – Projected 15.0 pts

Christian Yelich, the Brewers’ key outfielder, shows a promising setup against Ryan Feltner of the Rockies, who has been generous in allowing hits. Over his last ten games, Yelich has maintained a steady performance with an average of 10.1 DraftKings points per game, slightly down by 2.2% from his previous ten games. Despite a slight decrease in some metrics like home runs and walks, Yelich has improved in singles and runs scored, indicating potential for high-value plays. His matchup and recent uptick in hits suggest a favorable day, with a DFS value score of 2.4, marking him as a core value pick for today’s fantasy lineups.

Aaron Judge ($6600), Yankees – Projected 14.3 pts

Aaron Judge of the Yankees comes into today’s game as a formidable opponent against Graham Ashcraft of the Reds. Judge has been slightly more effective in his recent stretch, scoring 14.6 DraftKings points on average per game, a 2.7% increase over his previous performance. Notably, his singles have seen a significant rise of 60.7%. However, there’s a noticeable drop in doubles and a slight decrease in home runs and runs scored. Despite these fluctuations, Judge’s ability to contribute across multiple categories keeps him relevant in DFS. His DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as another core value player who could potentially outperform expectations.