Strategy and Stats for 07/06/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy slate is packed with action, featuring 15 games kicking off at 1:05 PM EST, but all eyes will be on the late-night clash at Coors Field where the Kansas City Royals face the Colorado Rockies at 9:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.5, fantasy managers can expect a scoring extravaganza, making players from this game particularly enticing for roster consideration. As we dive into the top projected players at each position, keep an eye on the hitters taking advantage of the altitude in Denver, alongside standout pitchers and batters from the day’s earlier games. This comprehensive breakdown will guide you through optimizing your lineups to maximize points across today’s exciting matchups.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

None ($5000), Royals – Projected 14.2 pts

The recent surge from None has been nothing short of impressive, making him a noteworthy pick for today’s games. Over the last ten games, his performance has skyrocketed with a 139.1% increase in DraftKings points per game compared to the previous ten. This uptick is supported by a significant boost in total bases per game, up 228.4%. Facing Austin Gomber, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, None’s matchup looks favorable. His projected DFS value score of 2.8 indicates strong value at a $5000 salary on DraftKings.

Pete Alonso ($5700), Mets – Projected 12.8 pts

Pete Alonso, a consistent performer for the Mets, faces a less favorable recent performance dip, with a -10.0% change in DraftKings points per game. Despite this, Alonso’s ability to contribute across multiple categories, including home runs and total bases, keeps him relevant. His matchup against Bailey Falter, who has a high rank for hits allowed, might allow him to capitalize and improve his stats. However, with a DFS value score of 2.2, Alonso presents core value, potentially rewarding but with some risks given his recent downturn and a higher salary of $5700.

Analyzing Top Second Basemen for Today’s DFS Slate

Maikel Garcia ($5300), Royals – Projected 13.8 pts

Despite Kansas City’s low ranking in generating fantasy points, Maikel Garcia shows a promising uptick in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Garcia has significantly improved, averaging 6.5 DraftKings points compared to just 3.0 in the previous ten, marking a 116.7% increase. His matchup against Austin Gomber, who is notably generous in allowing hits, positions Garcia to potentially exceed expectations. With a DFS Value Score of 2.6, he offers strong value at his current salary, making him a savvy pick for today’s games.

Jonathan India ($4100), Reds – Projected 12.4 pts

Jonathan India has been a standout at second base, particularly in his recent stretch where he’s averaged 12.2 DraftKings points per game—up from 7.11 in his earlier games. This improvement of 71.6% in fantasy scoring is bolstered by his consistent hitting and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Facing Alex Faedo, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, India is poised to exploit this matchup. With a DFS Value Score of 3.0, he is an elite value pick for today’s slate, offering high upside for a relatively low cost.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Matt Chapman ($4800), Giants – Projected 13.2 pts

Matt Chapman has shown a significant upturn in his performance metrics over the last ten games, making him a compelling pick for today’s DFS lineup. With an average of 11.4 DraftKings points recently, up from 5.89 in the previous ten games, Chapman’s form is on the rise. His total bases per game have more than doubled, and his ability to convert at-bats into valuable fantasy points has seen a notable improvement. Facing a pitcher from Cleveland who ranks #139 in hits allowed per game, Chapman’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score of 2.8 indicates strong value at a DraftKings salary of $4800, suggesting he could be a key player in generating high returns in today’s games.

Jose Ramirez ($6300), Indians – Projected 11.9 pts

Jose Ramirez, despite a slight dip in his recent performance metrics, remains a solid DFS option. Over the last ten games, Ramirez has averaged 9.2 DraftKings points, slightly down from 9.67 in the earlier set of games. However, his consistency in hitting home runs and his ability to secure total bases (a 52.8% increase) should not be overlooked. Facing Kyle Harrison of the SF, who has a higher rank for hits allowed per game at #214, Ramirez might find more opportunities to exploit. Nevertheless, his current DFS value score of 1.9 reflects a less favorable value at his higher DraftKings salary of $6300, suggesting that he might not provide the best return on investment today compared to other options.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6500), Kansas City Royals – Projected 16.4 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has been on a tear lately, averaging 12.0 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant improvement from his previous ten-game average of 5.22 points. This surge in performance is highlighted by a 129.9% increase in DraftKings points and a remarkable 809.1% increase in runs per game. Facing Austin Gomber, who ranks 213th in hits allowed per game, Witt Jr. is poised to capitalize on this matchup. With a projected DFS value score of 2.5, Witt Jr. offers strong value at his current salary, making him a compelling pick for today’s games.

Elly De La Cruz ($6400), Cincinnati Reds – Projected 14.9 pts

Elly De La Cruz, while showing a slight dip in some hitting metrics compared to his previous ten games, still maintains a solid average of 12.5 DraftKings points in his last ten outings. His performance against pitchers like Alex Faedo, who ranks 441st in hits allowed per game, suggests potential for maintaining or even improving his scoring. Despite a slight decrease in singles and doubles, De La Cruz’s ability to hit triples and home runs can make up for these shortfalls. His DFS value score of 2.3 positions him as a core value pick, especially given his consistent scoring ability.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Freddy Fermin ($3800), Royals – Projected 13.2 pts

Freddy Fermin has shown a notable uptick in his performance, making him an intriguing option in today’s DFS lineup. Over his last 10 games, Fermin has averaged 8.1 DraftKings points, a significant improvement from his previous 10-game stretch where he averaged 5.22 points. This 55.2% increase in performance is particularly impressive considering his matchup against Austin Gomber of the Rockies, who has been generous in allowing hits. Fermin’s recent stats include an average of 1.1 hits and 0.2 home runs per game, with a total base average of 1.9. His DraftKings salary of $3800 paired with a projected point total of 13.2 translates to a DFS value score of 3.5, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s games.

Willson Contreras ($5300), Cardinals – Projected 12.7 pts

Willson Contreras, although experiencing a slight dip in his recent performance, remains a solid choice for DFS players. Contreras has averaged 7.8 DraftKings points in his last 10 games, down 13.3% from the previous set of 10 games. Despite this decline, his ability to consistently get on base and score runs makes him a valuable asset. Contreras is facing Mackenzie Gore of the Nationals today, another pitcher known for allowing a high number of hits. With a DraftKings salary of $5300 and a projected point total of 12.7, Contreras achieves a DFS value score of 2.4, making him a core value pick for those looking to balance cost with potential output.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jorge Soler ($4300), Giants – Projected 13.4 pts

Jorge Soler, playing for the San Francisco Giants, has shown a notable uptick in his performance, making him a compelling pick for today’s DFS contests. Over the last ten games, Soler has averaged 7.7 DraftKings points, a slight dip from his previous average of 11.0 points. However, his matchup against the Cleveland pitching, which ranks 139th in hits allowed per game, positions him for potential success. Soler’s ability to maintain consistent hitting with an average of 1.0 hits per game, coupled with his recent performance, gives him a DFS value score of 3.1, categorizing him as an elite value pick with a promising upside for today’s slate.

Aaron Judge ($6800), Yankees – Projected 13.3 pts

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees stands out as a robust selection for DFS players today. With an impressive average of 13.0 DraftKings points over his last ten games, Judge has shown a significant improvement from his previous 10-game stretch where he averaged 9.44 points. His ability to consistently hit, evidenced by a 57.3% increase in hits per game, makes him a formidable opponent against Josh Winckowski of Boston, who has a high rate of hits allowed per game. Despite his higher salary, Judge’s performance metrics and a DFS value score of 2.0 make him a core value player in today’s fantasy lineup.