Strategy and Stats for 07/19/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy landscape is set for an electrifying start with 14 games on the docket, kicking off at 2:20 PM EST. Fantasy enthusiasts should particularly note the high-stakes battle at Coors Field, where the San Francisco Giants clash with the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.0, this game promises to be a treasure trove for hitters, making it a pivotal focus for those looking to maximize their fantasy scores. As we delve deeper into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the top projected players across each position, whose performances could make or break your fantasy lineup. Stay tuned as we break down the key statistics and player matchups that will help guide your selections in today’s exciting MLB game slate.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Bryce Harper ($5700), Phillies – Projected 13.9 pts

Bryce Harper has been a beacon of consistency for the Phillies, especially in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Harper has seen a significant uptick in his fantasy output, averaging 14.9 DraftKings points per game, a 41.1% increase from the previous set of ten games. His ability to hit doubles and home runs has notably improved, with increases of 81.8% in both categories. Despite Philadelphia’s middle-of-the-pack rank in generating fantasy points, Harper’s individual prowess, marked by a DFS value score of 2.4, makes him a core value pick for today’s games.

LaMonte Wade Jr ($4500), Giants – Projected 13.1 pts

LaMonte Wade Jr presents a contrasting scenario. His recent performances have shown a decline, with a -21.8% drop in DraftKings points per game compared to his previous ten games. His hitting metrics have also suffered, particularly with a -50.8% decrease in hits per game. However, facing Cal Quantrill, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, might offer Wade an opportunity to bounce back. With a DFS value score of 2.9, Wade is considered a strong value pick, potentially benefiting from a favorable matchup against a weaker pitcher.

Analyzing Top Second Basemen for Today’s DFS Slate

Jonathan India ($4400), Reds – Projected 12.9 pts

Jonathan India’s recent performance shows a notable dip compared to his previous games, with a decrease in most statistical categories. Over the last ten games, his DraftKings points per game fell by 38.3% to 8.5, and his hits per game halved from 2.0 to 1.0. Despite this slump, India’s matchup against Patrick Corbin, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, positions him for potential recovery. Corbin’s vulnerability could be the catalyst India needs to bounce back. With a DraftKings salary of $4400 and a projected point total of 12.9, India holds a 2.9 DFS value score, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Ketel Marte ($9400), Diamondbacks – Projected 12.3 pts

Ketel Marte’s performance has been more stable, showing only slight declines across the board. His DraftKings points per game have decreased by just 5.7% to 8.9. However, his high salary of $9400 combined with a modest decrease in productivity, especially in power metrics like doubles and home runs, presents a challenge for DFS players. Facing Justin Steele, who has a high rank for limiting hits, might not provide the rebound opportunity Marte needs. With a projected point total of 12.3 and a DFS value score of 1.3, Marte’s current form and matchup do not justify his high cost, marking him as a risky play.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Matt Chapman ($5000), Giants – Projected 12.9 pts

Matt Chapman’s recent performance has shown a dip compared to his previous 10 games, with a significant -33.0% decrease in DraftKings points per game and a -39.8% drop in hits per game. However, facing Cal Quantrill, who ranks #286 in hits allowed per game, Chapman has a favorable matchup that could see him improve on his 2.6 DFS value score. His ability to capitalize on Quantrill’s vulnerabilities could make him a strong value pick in today’s slate.

Jose Ramirez ($6100), Indians – Projected 12.0 pts

Jose Ramirez is currently experiencing a slump, with a -45.7% decrease in his DraftKings points per game and a stark -100.0% drop in home runs per game from his previous 10-game stretch. Despite this, Ramirez is set to face Matt Waldron, who has a poor record of #371 in hits allowed per game. Given his high salary and recent performance, Ramirez holds a 2.0 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value play who might just turn around his recent form against a weaker pitcher.

Analyzing Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s MLB DFS Slate

Elly De La Cruz ($5800), Reds – Projected 15.2 pts

Elly De La Cruz of the Cincinnati Reds shows a mixed bag of recent performances but holds a promising outlook for today’s matchup. Over his last ten games, De La Cruz has seen a slight downturn in his fantasy output, averaging 10.1 points on DraftKings, a drop of 26.7% compared to his previous ten games. His hitting metrics have also seen a decline, with his hits per game falling by over 40%. However, facing Patrick Corbin, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, could be a turning point. De La Cruz’s ability to capitalize on weaker pitching, combined with his increased walk rate, suggests potential for rebound. With a DraftKings salary of $5800 and a projected point total of 15.2, he offers a 2.6 DFS value score, positioning him as a strong value play in today’s slate.

Trea Turner ($6000), Phillies – Projected 14.6 pts

Trea Turner of the Philadelphia Phillies is on an upward trajectory, making him a compelling choice for DFS players. Turner has significantly improved his performance in the last ten games, scoring an average of 14.0 DraftKings points, an impressive 88.2% increase from his earlier games. His total bases jumped by nearly 80%, and his runs scored improved by over 28%, highlighting his potential for high fantasy scoring. Although his doubles and walk rates have decreased, his consistent home run hitting and overall hit rate provide solid grounding. With a DraftKings salary set at $6000 and a projected point total of 14.6, Turner’s DFS value score is a 2.4, marking him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Top Catchers to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Tyler Stephenson ($3800), Reds – Projected 12.9 pts

Tyler Stephenson has shown a remarkable uptick in his performance, making him a tantalizing option for today’s DFS lineups. Over his last 10 games, Stephenson has averaged 10.7 DraftKings points, a significant improvement from his previous 10-game stretch where he averaged only 4.0 points. This 167.5% increase in fantasy output is particularly impressive considering his modest DraftKings salary of $3800. Facing Patrick Corbin, who ranks #118 in hits allowed per game, Stephenson’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at an elite 3.4, indicating strong potential for high returns on investment today.

Will Smith ($5600), Dodgers – Projected 12.8 pts

Will Smith of the Dodgers presents a strong case for inclusion in DFS rosters, especially given his recent form. In his last 10 outings, Smith has managed an average of 11.6 DraftKings points, a robust increase of 174.9% from his earlier performances. His ability to consistently hit and score runs has been evident, with a dramatic increase in total bases per game from 0.78 to 2.6. Despite a higher DraftKings salary of $5600, Smith’s matchup against Nick Pivetta—who ranks #375 in hits allowed per game—positions him well to exploit. His DFS value score is a strong 2.3, making him a valuable asset for today’s games.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jorge Soler ($5000), Giants – Projected 13.9 pts

Jorge Soler has shown a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, making him a player to watch in today’s DFS contests. With an average of 8.4 DraftKings points per game recently, up from 6.44 in the previous set of ten games, Soler is trending in the right direction. His ability to capitalize on doubles has increased dramatically, with a 127.3% improvement, and his walks have surged by an impressive 354.5%. Facing Cal Quantrill, who has been generous in allowing hits, Soler’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.8, positioning him as a strong value pick at a $5000 salary.

Aaron Judge ($6400), Yankees – Projected 13.7 pts

Despite a recent dip in performance, Aaron Judge remains a powerhouse in the Yankees’ lineup. Over the last ten games, his average DraftKings points have dropped to 7.1 from a previous 13.89, reflecting a decrease in nearly every statistical category. However, his ability to draw walks has improved, showing a 104.5% increase. Facing Zach Eflin, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Judge has a chance to bounce back. His current DFS value score is 2.1, marking him as a core value player. Given Judge’s potential for explosive performances, he could be a pivotal part of a winning DFS strategy today.