Strategy and Stats for 07/22/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clocks strike 1:05 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy slate kicks off with an exhilarating lineup of 13 games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Fantasy enthusiasts should particularly note the high-stakes battle at Coors Field, where the Boston Red Sox face the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.0, this game is expected to be a treasure trove of fantasy points, making it a critical focus for those looking to dominate their leagues. Top projected players are poised to make significant impacts across all positions, setting the stage for a day filled with pivotal plays and strategic fantasy selections. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into each matchup, providing you with the insights needed to craft your winning fantasy lineup.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Freddie Freeman ($5300), Dodgers – Projected 12.2 pts

Freddie Freeman has been a consistent performer for the Dodgers, averaging 9.5 DraftKings points over his last ten games. Despite a slight decrease in performance compared to his previous ten games, Freeman’s ability to generate hits and runs remains strong. Facing Blake Snell, who ranks #133 in hits allowed per game, Freeman’s matchup looks favorable. His recent stats show a solid hitting performance with an average of 0.9 hits per game and a notable increase in home runs and singles. With a DraftKings salary of $5300 and a projected point total of 12.2, Freeman holds a 2.3 DFS value score, making him a core value pick for today’s slate.

Pete Alonso ($5500), Mets – Projected 11.9 pts

Pete Alonso, on the other hand, has seen a significant drop in his performance, with a 54.5% decrease in DraftKings points per game over the last ten games compared to the previous set. His hitting metrics have also declined, with fewer doubles and home runs, contributing to a lower total base count. However, Alonso is up against Yonny Chirinos, who has a higher rate of hits allowed per game, ranking #75. This could present an opportunity for Alonso to bounce back. With a DraftKings salary of $5500 and a projected point total of 11.9, Alonso’s DFS value score is a 2.2, positioning him as another core value option despite recent struggles.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Altuve ($5400), Astros – Projected 13.1 pts

Despite a recent dip in performance, Jose Altuve remains a key player for DFS lineups today. Over his last 10 games, Altuve has averaged 6.9 DraftKings points, a noticeable decrease from his previous 10-game average of 11.67 points. His hits per game have also dropped from 1.56 to 1.1. However, facing Hogan Harris, who ranks #266 in hits allowed per game, Altuve has a favorable matchup that could see him bounce back. His current DFS value score is 2.4, positioning him as a core value pick with potential upside given his track record and matchup.

Marcus Semien ($4700), Rangers – Projected 12.5 pts

Marcus Semien has been on a remarkable upswing, making him an enticing pick for today’s games. His performance has surged dramatically with a 373.9% increase in DraftKings points per game over his last 10 games compared to the 10 games prior, now averaging 10.0 points. This spike is supported by significant improvements across all hitting metrics, including a 506.1% increase in total bases per game. Semien’s matchup against Erick Fedde, who ranks #359 in hits allowed per game, further enhances his appeal. With a DFS value score of 2.7, Semien stands out as a strong value pick today.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rafael Devers ($6300), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.8 pts

Rafael Devers has been a consistent performer for the Red Sox, and despite a slight downturn in his last 10 games, his potential remains high. Devers’ recent stats show a decrease in performance compared to his previous 10 games, with DraftKings points per game falling by 26.6% and a significant drop in walks per game by 55.2%. However, facing Austin Gomber of the Rockies, who ranks #187 in hits allowed per game, Devers has a favorable matchup that could see him bounce back. His projected DFS value score of 2.3 places him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Alex Bregman ($4200), Houston Astros – Projected 12.2 pts

Alex Bregman is showing signs of improvement, making him an intriguing pick at a lower salary. Over his last 10 games, Bregman has increased his DraftKings points per game by 58.7% compared to the previous 10 games, and his total bases per game have risen by 80%. Facing Hogan Harris of the Athletics, who ranks #266 in hits allowed per game, Bregman’s matchup could further enhance his upward trajectory. With a DFS value score of 2.9, Bregman offers strong value and could be a key player in today’s games.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Francisco Lindor ($5800), Mets – Projected 13.5 pts

Francisco Lindor has shown a steady performance in his recent games, averaging 11.4 points on DraftKings over his last ten games, an improvement from his previous set of games where he averaged 10.33 points. This uptick in performance, including a significant increase in walks per game from 0.22 to 1.0, suggests a growing consistency at the plate. Facing Yonny Chirinos, who ranks 75th in hits allowed per game, Lindor’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Corey Seager ($5000), Rangers – Projected 13.2 pts

Corey Seager’s recent performance trajectory is quite impressive, with a notable increase in DraftKings points per game from 8.44 to 10.2 in his last ten outings. This 20.9% increase is complemented by a significant rise in home runs per game, jumping from 0.11 to 0.3. Seager’s matchup against Erick Fedde, who is ranked 359th in hits allowed per game, could be seen as an advantageous one. With a DFS value score of 2.6, Seager stands out as a strong value option in today’s games, potentially offering high returns at a moderate cost.

Catcher Insights for Today’s DFS Slate

Connor Wong ($4400), Red Sox – Projected 12.1 pts

Connor Wong has shown fluctuating performance in his recent outings, with a notable dip in his last ten games compared to the previous set. His DraftKings points per game have decreased by 42.7%, and his hits per game have nearly halved. Despite this, Wong’s matchup against Austin Gomber, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, provides a potential rebound opportunity. His current DraftKings salary reflects a moderate risk but considering his 2.7 DFS value score, he holds strong value in today’s slate.

Cal Raleigh ($4600), Mariners – Projected 11.4 pts

Cal Raleigh, in contrast, has been on an upward trajectory, improving his performance across most metrics in his last ten games. His DraftKings points increased by 34.4%, and his total bases saw a significant jump of 61.7%. Facing Tyler Anderson, who has a higher rank for hits allowed, Raleigh’s potential to exploit this matchup is high. With a DraftKings salary of $4600 and a DFS value score of 2.5, Raleigh is poised as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Tyler O’Neill ($5700), Red Sox – Projected 15.6 pts

Tyler O’Neill has been on a notable upswing in his recent performances, making him a compelling choice in today’s DFS lineup. Over the last ten games, O’Neill has seen a significant improvement, averaging 9.2 DraftKings points, up from 6.22 in the previous set of ten games, marking a 47.9% increase. His matchup against Austin Gomber, who has been relatively generous with hits, further bolsters O’Neill’s potential for today. With a DraftKings salary of $5700 and a projected point total of 15.6, O’Neill offers a 2.7 DFS value score, positioning him as a strong value pick in the outfield.

Rob Refsnyder ($4400), Red Sox – Projected 14.3 pts

In contrast, Rob Refsnyder presents a more nuanced choice for DFS players today. Despite a recent dip in his performance metrics—averaging only 3.9 DraftKings points over the last ten games compared to 5.78 previously—Refsnyder’s lower salary and favorable matchup against Gomber could play to his advantage. Notably, his hits per game have decreased by 55.1%, which is concerning. However, his projected points stand at 14.3 with a DraftKings salary of $4400, translating to a 3.2 DFS value score. This positions Refsnyder as an elite value pick, potentially offering substantial upside for risk-tolerant DFS players.