Strategy and Stats for 07/30/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy slate is brimming with excitement as we gear up for 15 games kicking off at 1:10 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball action. Fantasy enthusiasts should particularly note the high-stakes battle at Fenway Park where the Seattle Mariners face the Boston Red Sox at 7:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 9.5, this game is anticipated to be a treasure trove of points, making it a focal point for those looking to maximize their fantasy lineups. As we dive deeper into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, who are poised to turn in some game-changing performances. Stay tuned as we break down each game, providing you with the insights needed to dominate your daily fantasy sports contests.

Top First Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Bryce Harper ($5800), Phillies – Projected 13.0 pts

Despite the Philadelphia Phillies ranking low at #29 in MLB for generating fantasy points, Bryce Harper remains a noteworthy pick for today’s games. Over his last ten games, Harper has seen a significant dip in performance compared to the previous ten, with a decrease in DraftKings points per game from 13.33 to 7.0, and a similar trend in FanDuel points. His hits per game have fallen sharply from 1.67 to 0.6. However, facing Gerrit Cole, who ranks #177.0 in hits allowed per game, might provide Harper with a chance to improve his recent stats. With a DraftKings salary of $5800 and a projected point total of 13.0, Harper’s DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

None ($4700), Royals – Projected 12.3 pts

Playing for the Kansas City Royals, who are ranked #148 in generating fantasy points, “None” has shown a positive trend in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, there’s been an improvement across several metrics compared to the previous set of ten games. DraftKings points per game have increased from 6.33 to 7.1, and hits per game have risen from 1.11 to 1.5. This player is facing an unnamed pitcher from the CWS who ranks #181.0 for hits allowed per game, suggesting potential for maintaining or even improving these numbers. With a DraftKings salary of $4700 and a projected point total of 12.3, “None” achieves a DFS value score of 2.6, making him a strong value pick for today’s games.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Second Base Spotlight

Ketel Marte ($5500), Arizona Diamondbacks – Projected 14.4 pts

Ketel Marte’s recent performance has shown a significant uptick, making him a noteworthy option for today’s DFS slate. Over his last ten games, Marte has averaged 13.2 DraftKings points per game, a 69.7% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His matchup against Patrick Corbin, who ranks #168 in hits allowed per game, positions Marte for potential success. Corbin’s vulnerability could be a key factor, especially considering Marte’s recent surge in home runs per game, which has increased by an impressive 354.5%. With a DFS Value Score of 2.6, Marte stands out as a strong value pick at second base.

Jose Altuve ($5400), Houston Astros – Projected 13.2 pts

Jose Altuve, on the other hand, presents a more complex case for today’s DFS lineups. His recent performances have seen a decline, with a -25.4% drop in DraftKings points per game over his last ten outings compared to the previous set. Altuve’s matchup against Bailey Falter might seem favorable given Falter’s ranking of #405 in hits allowed per game, yet Altuve’s recent stats do not fully capitalize on this. Notably, his home runs per game have decreased by 100.0%, and his runs per game have also seen a significant decrease of -40.3%. With a DFS Value Score of 2.4, Altuve is positioned as a core value player, which suggests he might still hold some potential but comes with risks.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Ramirez ($10000), Cleveland – Projected 13.0 pts

Despite Cleveland’s low ranking in generating fantasy points, Jose Ramirez remains a pivotal player in daily fantasy sports. Over the last ten games, Ramirez has shown a significant improvement in his performance, with his DraftKings points per game increasing by 45.1% to 10.0, and FanDuel points by 53.3% to 13.0. His total bases per game have seen a notable rise of 59.7%, indicating his potential for high-scoring plays. However, with a DFS value score of 1.3, his high salary might not translate into the best value today, especially against a Detroit team that has been relatively generous in allowing hits.

Royce Lewis ($5200), Minnesota – Projected 12.6 pts

Royce Lewis presents an intriguing case for today’s DFS lineup. The Minnesota Twins rank well in generating fantasy points, and Lewis himself has a more favorable matchup against Sean Manaea of the NYM, who has a higher rate of hits allowed per game. Despite a recent downturn in his last ten games, where his DraftKings points dropped by 69.8% to 4.8, his projected points sit at a promising 12.6. This gives him a DFS value score of 2.4, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s games. His significantly lower salary compared to Ramirez makes Lewis an attractive option for those looking to maximize value.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6400), Royals – Projected 16.3 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has been a beacon of consistency for Kansas City, showcasing a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games. With an average of 16.4 DraftKings points per game recently, Witt Jr. is a compelling pick against the CWS, a team that ranks poorly in limiting hits. His recent stats reveal improvements across the board, with hits per game jumping by 21.7% and singles per game increasing by 26.1%. Despite a slight decrease in home runs, his overall contribution in terms of total bases and runs has been solid. His DFS value score stands at 2.5, marking him as a strong value play in today’s slate.

Corey Seager ($9400), Rangers – Projected 14.2 pts

Corey Seager, on the other hand, presents a more challenging case. His recent performance has seen a significant downturn, with a -38.9% drop in DraftKings points per game compared to the previous ten-game stretch. His hitting metrics have also suffered, with notable declines in doubles and home runs, which are down by -54.5% and -69.7%, respectively. Despite facing Lance Lynn of STL, who has a high rate of hits allowed, Seager’s current form and high salary contribute to a DFS value score of 1.5, categorizing him as a risky play with bad value.

Catcher Insights for Today’s MLB Slate

Gabriel Moreno ($3400), Diamondbacks – Projected 12.9 pts

Gabriel Moreno, the young catcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, shows a promising uptick in daily fantasy sports (DFS) value. Despite Arizona’s low rank (#283) in generating fantasy points, Moreno’s recent performance against pitchers like Patrick Corbin of the Nationals—who ranks #168 in hits allowed per game—suggests potential. Over the last ten games, Moreno averaged 6.9 DraftKings points, a dip from his previous 10.67 points. However, his projected points now stand at 12.9, giving him a DFS value score of 3.8, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate. His ability to capitalize on matchups against high-hit pitchers could be key.

Cal Raleigh ($4600), Mariners – Projected 12.5 pts

Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners is another intriguing option at catcher. Facing James Paxton of the Boston Red Sox, who has a high rank of #364 for hits allowed per game, Raleigh’s prospects look decent. His performance has seen a decline in the last ten games, averaging 8.6 DraftKings points compared to 15.33 in the earlier set of games. Despite this downturn, Raleigh’s projected points are set at 12.5, with a DFS value score of 2.7, making him a strong value play. His ability to turn around and leverage his hitting against weaker pitchers could be crucial for DFS rosters.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Juan Soto ($6100), Yankees – Projected 15.3 pts

Juan Soto has been on a remarkable run, averaging 16.3 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant improvement from his previous ten-game stretch where he averaged 9.22 points. This uptick is highlighted by a 76.8% increase in fantasy points, along with substantial boosts in hits per game (62.2%) and total bases per game (95.0%). Facing Aaron Nola, who ranks #466 in hits allowed per game, Soto’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.5, making him a strong value pick for today’s slate.

Aaron Judge ($6500), Yankees – Projected 14.8 pts

Aaron Judge has also seen a dramatic improvement in his performance, with his DraftKings points per game jumping from 5.33 to 15.3 in his last ten games. This represents an impressive 187.1% increase. His power hitting remains a key asset, as evidenced by a 354.5% increase in home runs per game. Judge’s ability to capitalize on Nola’s vulnerability to giving up hits could be crucial. Despite his higher salary, his DFS value score is 2.3, positioning him as a core value in today’s lineup.