Strategy and Stats for 09/02/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy lineup is brimming with potential as 11 games kick off starting at 2:10 PM EST, setting the stage for an exhilarating day of baseball. Among the highlights, all eyes will be on the Houston Astros as they clash with the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a lofty 9.5, this game promises a flurry of scoring opportunities, making it a goldmine for fantasy players. As we delve deeper into today’s matchups, we’ll uncover the top projected players at each position, spotlighting those poised to dominate the diamond. From power hitters to ace pitchers, get ready to explore the key players who can turn the tide in your fantasy lineup.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Freddie Freeman ($5200), Dodgers – Projected 12.2 pts

Freddie Freeman, the stalwart first baseman for the Dodgers, has shown a slight dip in his recent performance, averaging 6.6 DraftKings points over his last 10 games, a decline of 23.9% from his previous 10-game stretch. Despite this, his matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez, who ranks #208 in hits allowed per game, positions him for a potential bounce-back. Freeman’s ability to capitalize on Rodriguez’s vulnerability could be key. His projected DFS value score stands at 2.3, marking him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Triston Casas ($4800), Red Sox – Projected 11.5 pts

Triston Casas of the Red Sox, while also experiencing a downturn in his recent outings with a 39.6% decrease in DraftKings points per game, faces a favorable opponent in Luis Severino, who ranks #263 in hits allowed per game. Casas’ recent stats might concern some, but his potential for improvement against a weaker pitcher makes him an intriguing option. His DFS value score is 2.4, categorizing him as another core value player in today’s fantasy lineup.

Top Second Basemen in Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Altuve ($5100), Astros – Projected 13.3 pts

Jose Altuve continues to be a pivotal player for the Astros, despite Houston’s low ranking in generating fantasy points. Over his last ten games, Altuve has maintained a steady performance with an average of 8.8 DraftKings points per game. Although there’s a slight decrease in his performance compared to the previous ten games, his consistency is notable with a 2.6 DFS value score. Facing the CIN, who rank #79 in hits allowed, Altuve’s potential for hits and scoring runs could be significant, making him a strong value play in today’s DFS lineup.

Gleyber Torres ($4200), Yankees – Projected 11.2 pts

Gleyber Torres of the Yankees shows a remarkable improvement in his recent performances, with a significant jump in his DraftKings points per game from 5.22 to 8.7. This increase is supported by a 41.0% rise in hits per game and a 102.2% increase in total bases, highlighting his current form. Facing the TEX who are more generous in allowing hits, Torres’ matchup is favorable. With a DFS value score of 2.7, Torres stands out as a strong value pick for today’s games, especially considering his lower salary and upward trending performance.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Jazz Chisholm Jr. ($5200), Yankees – Projected 12.1 pts

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has shown a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, making him a player to watch in today’s DFS lineup. With an average of 10.5 DraftKings points in his recent outings, Chisholm’s performance has been climbing, especially highlighted by a 30.0% increase in hits per game and a significant 42.9% rise in singles per game. Facing the Texas Rangers, who rank 22nd in hits allowed per game, Chisholm’s matchup is favorable, suggesting potential for high fantasy output. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Alex Bregman ($4900), Astros – Projected 12.1 pts

Alex Bregman, on the other hand, has experienced a dip in his recent performance, with a significant -56.2% drop in DraftKings points per game compared to his previous ten-game stretch. Despite this, his upcoming game against the Cincinnati Reds, who are ranked 79th in hits allowed per game, might offer him a chance to bounce back. Bregman’s current form includes a -54.5% decrease in home runs per game and a -69.7% reduction in doubles per game, which are concerning. However, his DFS value score of 2.5 still categorizes him as a strong value pick, suggesting that he might be worth considering for those looking for potential at a lower cost.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Gunnar Henderson ($6600), Orioles – Projected 15.6 pts

Gunnar Henderson, playing for the Orioles, has shown a significant dip in his performance over the last ten games, averaging just 3.9 DraftKings points compared to 11.33 in the previous set of games. Despite this downturn, his upcoming matchup against Chris Flexen of the CWS, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, presents a potential rebound opportunity. Henderson’s current DraftKings salary stands at $6600, with a DFS value score of 2.4. This positions him as a core value pick, potentially offering solid returns if he can capitalize on Flexen’s vulnerabilities.

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6800), Royals – Projected 15.5 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. of the Royals, despite a slight decrease in his recent performance metrics, continues to be a strong contender in DFS lineups. Over the last ten games, he has averaged 10.5 DraftKings points, a slight decrease from his previous 12.78. However, facing Gavin Williams of the CLE—who has a higher rank in hits allowed per game—Witt Jr. has a chance to exploit this matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $6800 and a DFS value score of 2.3, he remains a core value player whose recent dip might mislead some DFS players, potentially making him a less contested but valuable pick.

Catcher Analysis: DFS Impact Players

Adley Rutschman ($5900), Orioles – Projected 13.6 pts

Adley Rutschman, despite a recent dip in performance, continues to be a pivotal player in daily fantasy sports. Over his last ten games, Rutschman has seen a decrease in production across several key metrics compared to the previous ten-game stretch, with DraftKings points per game dropping by 37.7% to 3.6 and FanDuel points by 36.5% to 4.59. His hits, doubles, and total bases have also seen significant reductions. However, facing Chris Flexen of the CWS, who ranks #129 in hits allowed per game, might offer Rutschman a chance to bounce back. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a core value pick for the upcoming slate.

Austin Wells ($4300), Yankees – Projected 11.5 pts

Austin Wells of the Yankees presents a strong case for inclusion in DFS lineups, especially considering his recent uptick in performance. Over the last ten games, Wells has averaged 8.2 DraftKings points per game, a 5.4% increase from his previous ten games. Notably, his home runs per game have surged by 172.7%, and his runs per game have impressively increased by 354.5%. Facing an unspecified pitcher from the Texas Rangers, who allows 16.2 hits per game, Wells could exploit this matchup to further enhance his stats. With a DFS value score of 2.7, he offers strong value at a relatively low cost.

Top Outfielders to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Aaron Judge ($7000), Yankees – Projected 16.6 pts

Aaron Judge, the powerhouse outfielder for the Yankees, has shown some fluctuation in his performance recently. Over the last ten games, he’s averaged 10.3 DraftKings points, a noticeable dip from his previous 14.33 points per game. This decline is reflected across several metrics, including a significant drop in hits per game from 1.56 to 0.8. Despite these struggles, Judge’s ability to draw walks has improved, and he remains a critical run contributor. Facing the Texas Rangers, who rank 22nd in hits allowed per game, Judge’s matchup looks favorable. His projected DFS value score of 2.4 places him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Yordan Alvarez ($5800), Astros – Projected 16.0 pts

Yordan Alvarez of the Astros presents a compelling case for inclusion in DFS lineups, especially considering his recent uptick in singles and maintained power hitting with an average of 0.5 home runs per game in his last ten outings. Although his overall performance has seen a slight decline from 13.33 to 12.0 DraftKings points per game, Alvarez’s ability to consistently get on base and score runs keeps him relevant. Facing the Cincinnati Reds, who are notably generous in allowing hits, Alvarez’s situation looks promising. His DraftKings salary of $5800 combined with a projected point total of 16.0 gives him a DFS value score of 2.8, marking him as a strong value play today.