Strategy and Stats for 09/06/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 2:20 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with an exhilarating 15-game slate, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Fantasy aficionados, gear up for a day filled with pivotal plays and top-tier talent across all positions. The spotlight intensifies tonight at 10:10 PM EST when the Cleveland Guardians clash with the Los Angeles Dodgers at the iconic Dodger Stadium. With an Over/Under set at a robust 9.0, this game is anticipated to be a treasure trove for hitters, offering plentiful scoring opportunities for fantasy lineups. This marquee matchup not only sets the stage for high-scoring fantasy outputs but also serves as a perfect segue into our in-depth analysis of today’s games, where we decode the secrets to drafting winning fantasy teams.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB DFS Slate

Bryce Harper ($5400), Phillies – Projected 14.1 pts

Bryce Harper, playing at 1B for the Phillies, has shown a notable uptick in performance in his recent games. Over the last ten games, Harper has averaged 6.6 DraftKings points per game, a significant increase from 5.56 in the previous set of ten games. This improvement is highlighted by a 34.8% increase in hits per game and a staggering 172.7% increase in walks per game. Facing Edward Cabrera, who has a high rate of 8.29 hits allowed per game, Harper’s potential for high fantasy points is further amplified. With a DraftKings salary of $5400 and a projected point total of 14.1, Harper’s DFS value score stands at 2.6, making him a strong value pick for today’s slate.

Matt Olson ($5000), Braves – Projected 11.5 pts

Matt Olson of the Braves has been on a tear in his recent performances, averaging 11.9 DraftKings points over the last ten games, a dramatic rise from just 4.67 in the prior ten. This surge is driven by a 172.7% increase in hits per game and a monumental 303% increase in total bases per game. Olson’s matchup against Kevin Gausman, who allows 8.37 hits per game, positions him well to exploit these weaknesses and rack up fantasy points. Despite his impressive stats, Olson’s DFS value score is 2.3 based on a $5000 DraftKings salary and a projected point total of 11.5, categorizing him as a core value for today’s games.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Gleyber Torres ($6400), Yankees – Projected 12.0 pts

Gleyber Torres has shown a notable uptick in his performance in the recent games, averaging 10.6 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant improvement from 5.78 in the previous ten. This 83.4% increase is a testament to his current form. Despite his recent surge, his projected DFS value score stands at 1.9, placing him in a risky category, especially given his high salary. However, facing the CHC, which ranks #238 in hits allowed per game, could provide him an opportunity to exploit their weaker defense. Fantasy managers should weigh his recent performance spike against his overall season consistency and high cost.

Marcus Semien ($4900), Rangers – Projected 11.7 pts

Marcus Semien, on the other hand, has seen a downturn in his recent outings, with his DraftKings points dropping by 40% to 4.4 per game in his last ten appearances compared to the previous set of games. His performance metrics across the board have declined, including a significant 45.9% decrease in hits per game. Despite this slump, his matchup against the LAA, who rank #130 in hits allowed per game, might offer some redemption. With a DFS value score of 2.4, Semien presents as a core value play, potentially rewarding for those looking for a lower-cost option with a reasonable upside.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rafael Devers ($6000), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.2 pts

Despite the Boston Red Sox’s low ranking in generating fantasy points, Rafael Devers stands out with an average of 3.3 daily fantasy points in his last ten games. Facing Davis Martin, who has been generous in allowing hits, Devers’s matchup looks favorable. His recent performance dip compared to the previous ten games is notable, with significant drops in hits, total bases, and runs. However, his projected points and a DFS value score of 2.4 suggest he remains a core value pick for today’s games.

Jose Ramirez ($6400), Cleveland Indians – Projected 12.2 pts

Jose Ramirez of the Cleveland Indians shows a promising uptick in his recent performances, particularly in hits and total bases, boasting an impressive 8.2 daily fantasy points on average over his last ten games. Although his performance has slightly declined from the previous set of games, his ability to capitalize against Landon Knack, who ranks low in hits allowed per game, should not be underestimated. Despite this, his DFS value score sits at 1.9, positioning him as a risky play given his high salary.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6600), Royals – Projected 13.0 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has shown some fluctuation in his performance over the last 20 games, with a noticeable decline in his recent outings. Despite this, his DraftKings points per game dropped from 11.33 to 9.7, a decrease of 14.4%. His hitting metrics also saw a decline, particularly in singles and doubles, which could be concerning for fantasy managers. However, his home run rate has seen a significant increase, which adds some value. Facing a pitcher from the Twins who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Witt Jr. could capitalize on this matchup. His DFS value score stands at 2.0, placing him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Gunnar Henderson ($6500), Orioles – Projected 12.8 pts

Gunnar Henderson, on the other hand, presents a slightly steadier option, though his recent performance also shows a decline in DraftKings points from 9.78 to 8.7. His ability to maintain a consistent hit rate is a positive, but a drop in power hitting, with home runs decreasing by 39.4%, might be a concern against Shane Baz of Tampa Bay, who has a high ranking for limiting hits. Despite these challenges, Henderson’s overall performance keeps him as a viable option in fantasy lineups. His DFS value score is also marked at 2.0, making him another core value player for today’s slate.

Catcher Insights: Daily Fantasy Analysis

Adley Rutschman ($5700), Orioles – Projected 11.6 pts

Adley Rutschman has shown a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 4.4 DraftKings points, a 32.1% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His matchup against Shane Baz, who ranks #472 in hits allowed per game, positions him favorably for today’s slate. Despite Baltimore’s low rank in fantasy point generation, Rutschman’s recent improvements, especially in singles per game (up by 59.1%), suggest potential. However, his overall DFS value score of 2.0 places him as a core value pick, indicating cautious optimism for his inclusion in DFS lineups.

William Contreras ($5100), Brewers – Projected 11.2 pts

William Contreras of the Brewers, facing Ryan Feltner, who allows a substantial 10.09 hits per game, seems poised to capitalize. Contreras has maintained a robust average of 8.9 DraftKings points in his last ten games, barely fluctuating from his prior performance. His ability to draw walks has impressively increased by 104.5%, enhancing his on-base potential. Despite a slight dip in total bases and hits, his consistent power hitting, marked by an increase in home runs per game, underscores his threat at the plate. With a DFS value score of 2.2, Contreras represents a core value play, suggesting a solid, if not spectacular, choice for today’s games.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jarren Duran ($6200), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.5 pts

Jarren Duran of the Boston Red Sox shows a mixed bag of recent performances but holds a promising outlook for today’s game. Over his last ten games, Duran has averaged 9.6 DraftKings points per game, a slight dip from his previous ten-game average of 13.22. Despite this decrease, Duran’s ability to hit consistently, with a 6.6% increase in hits per game recently, positions him as a viable pick. Facing Davis Martin, who ranks #351 in hits allowed per game, Duran’s matchup is favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, categorizing him as a core value player in today’s DFS contests.

Tyler O’Neill ($5100), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.5 pts

Tyler O’Neill, also from the Boston Red Sox, presents an intriguing option for DFS players today. O’Neill has shown significant improvement in his recent performances, with his DraftKings points per game increasing by 33.8% to 6.1 in his last ten games. This uptick is supported by a 79.1% increase in total bases per game, indicating his potential for high-scoring plays. Like Duran, O’Neill faces the same pitcher, Davis Martin, providing him a favorable matchup against a pitcher struggling to limit hits. With a DFS value score of 2.8, O’Neill stands out as a strong value pick for today’s games.