Strategy and Stats for 09/10/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

As the clock strikes 6:40 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with 15 thrilling games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Spotlighting the day’s action, the Miami Marlins gear up to face the Pittsburgh Pirates at the scenic PNC Park, where an Over/Under of 9.0 hints at a potential offensive feast. This game not only sets the stage for fantasy enthusiasts but also serves as a benchmark for evaluating top-tier talent across all positions. From power hitters to ace pitchers, today’s slate brims with opportunities for fantasy points galore. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each matchup, dissecting player stats and strategic plays that could dictate the outcomes of your fantasy selections.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Freddie Freeman ($5200), Dodgers – Projected 14.3 pts

Freddie Freeman has been on a tear recently, averaging 10.5 DraftKings points over his last 10 games, a significant improvement from his previous 10-game stretch where he averaged only 5.0 points. This upswing in performance is highlighted by a 110.0% increase in DraftKings points and an 88.5% increase in total bases per game. Facing Kyle Hendricks, who ranks #136.0 in hits allowed per game, Freeman’s matchup looks promising. His DFS value score of 2.8 indicates strong value at a $5200 salary on DraftKings.

Matt Olson ($5100), Braves – Projected 12.5 pts

Matt Olson, on the other hand, has seen a downturn in his recent performances, with his DraftKings points dropping by 49.7% to an average of 5.2 points per game over the last 10 games. His total bases per game have also decreased sharply by 57.1%. Despite these struggles, Olson’s DFS value score sits at 2.5, categorizing him as having strong value. This might be a riskier pick, but given his lower salary of $5100 on DraftKings, he could potentially provide good value if he returns to his earlier form.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Gleyber Torres ($3900), Yankees – Projected 10.6 pts

Gleyber Torres has shown a slight dip in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 8.7 DraftKings points, a decrease from his previous 10-game average of 10.11 points. Despite this, his ability to hit consistently has improved, with a notable increase in singles per game from 0.89 to 1.3. However, his power metrics have declined, evidenced by a drop in home runs per game from 0.22 to zero. Facing Brady Singer of the KC, who ranks #383 in hits allowed per game, Torres might find opportunities to capitalize. His DFS value score stands at 2.7, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Bryson Stott ($4200), Phillies – Projected 10.0 pts

Bryson Stott has been on an upward trajectory, with a significant increase in his DraftKings points per game, jumping from 5.44 to 9.0 in his last ten outings. This improvement is supported by a substantial rise in doubles per game and total bases, which have increased by 172.7% and 80.3%, respectively. Although his walk rate has slightly decreased, his overall performance against Cole Sulser of the TB—who ranks #646 in hits allowed per game—suggests potential for continued success. Stott’s DFS value score is 2.4, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Ramirez ($6200), Cleveland – Projected 14.5 pts

Jose Ramirez continues to be a pivotal player for Cleveland, especially considering their struggle to rack up fantasy points, ranking #46 in the MLB. Over his last ten games, Ramirez has posted an average of 7.6 DraftKings points per game. Despite a slight dip in performance compared to his previous ten games, where he averaged 9.11 points, his consistency in hitting and ability to generate runs remains evident. With a DraftKings salary of $6200 and a projected point total of 14.5, Ramirez offers a 2.3 DFS value score. He faces a pitcher from the CWS, a team that’s not been stingy with hits, potentially setting the stage for Ramirez to exceed expectations.

Royce Lewis ($5000), Minnesota – Projected 12.7 pts

Royce Lewis of the Twins shows promising signs of improvement and adaptation in the major leagues. With Minnesota ranked #51 in generating fantasy points, every player’s performance is crucial. Lewis has shown a positive trend in his last ten games, scoring an average of 4.5 DraftKings points, a noticeable improvement from 3.67 in his earlier games. His ability to secure hits and total bases has seen a significant rise, which is crucial for his fantasy output. At a DraftKings salary of $5000 and a projected point total of 12.7, Lewis is marked with a 2.5 DFS value score. Facing Reid Detmers of the LAA, who has a higher rate of hits allowed, could be an advantageous matchup for Lewis.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6600), Royals – Projected 14.0 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has shown a dip in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 6.9 DraftKings points compared to 11.89 in the previous ten-game stretch. This decline is reflected across multiple metrics, including a significant drop in hits, doubles, and total bases. Despite this, his projected points for the upcoming slate stand at 14.0, giving him a DFS value score of 2.1. This positions Witt as a core value pick, potentially offering steady, if not spectacular, returns for his $6600 salary.

Gunnar Henderson ($6400), Orioles – Projected 13.7 pts

In contrast to Witt, Gunnar Henderson has surged in his recent performances, more than doubling his DraftKings points per game from 4.44 to 12.2. His hits and total bases have seen substantial increases, showcasing his potential to exploit matchups, especially against pitchers like Brayan Bello who has a high rate of hits allowed. With a projected point total of 13.7 and a DFS value score of 2.1, Henderson also fits into the core value category. His recent upswing and lower salary than Witt make him an intriguing option for DFS players looking to capitalize on current form.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

David Fry ($3700), Cleveland – Projected 13.4 pts

David Fry, playing for Cleveland, shows a promising uptrend in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Fry has slightly improved his fantasy output, averaging 4.5 DraftKings points compared to 4.44 in the previous set of games. His consistency in hitting, with a notable increase in singles and doubles, contributes positively to his fantasy value. Notably, his walks per game have surged by 172.7%, indicating improved plate discipline. Facing a pitcher from the CWS, who ranks #441 in hits allowed per game, Fry’s matchup looks favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $3700 and a projected point tally of 13.4, he offers an 3.6 DFS value score, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate.

Ryan Jeffers ($4300), Minnesota – Projected 11.8 pts

Ryan Jeffers of the Twins faces a challenging period, with a significant drop in his fantasy performance over the recent games. His DraftKings points have plummeted by 63.0%, and similarly, his FanDuel points have decreased by 65.6%. This downturn is reflected across most statistical categories, including a stark 100% decrease in home runs per game. Despite these struggles, Jeffers’ matchup against Reid Detmers of the LAA—who allows 8.88 hits per game—might provide him with an opportunity to bounce back. With a DraftKings salary of $4300 and a projected point output of 11.8, Jeffers holds a 2.7 DFS value score, making him a strong value option for today’s games.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Mookie Betts ($6300), Dodgers – Projected 14.2 pts

Mookie Betts has been on a tear lately, averaging 14.4 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant increase from his previous set of games. Facing Kyle Hendricks, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, Betts’s potential for high fantasy scoring is further amplified. His recent performance metrics show a substantial improvement in home runs per game and total bases, indicating his power-hitting capabilities are peaking at the right time. With a DraftKings salary of $6300 and a DFS value score of 2.3, Betts stands out as a core value pick in today’s lineup.

Jarren Duran ($6000), Red Sox – Projected 13.9 pts

Jarren Duran, on the other hand, has seen a dip in his performance, with a decrease in almost all statistical categories over his last ten games compared to the ten before that. Despite this slump, Duran’s matchup against a Baltimore pitcher who ranks #167 in hits allowed per game could provide him a chance to bounce back. His speed and ability to hit for average might help him exploit this favorable pitching matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $6000 and a DFS value score of 2.3, Duran is also a core value player today, especially for those looking to take a chance on a potential rebound.