Strategy and Stats for 09/13/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 6:40 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with 15 thrilling games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Among these, the spotlight shines brightest on the Chicago Cubs’ visit to Coors Field, where they face off against the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.5, fantasy managers are buzzing, anticipating a high-scoring affair perfect for stacking hitters. This game not only offers a treasure trove of fantasy points but also sets the stage for evaluating top-tier talent across all positions. As we delve deeper into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the players who not only shine statistically but also fit seamlessly into the fabric of your fantasy lineups, ensuring your team’s dominance in this exciting slate.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Bryce Harper ($5500), Phillies – Projected 12.9 pts

Bryce Harper, playing at 1B for the Phillies, shows a promising outlook in today’s matchup. Despite Philadelphia’s low rank in generating fantasy points, Harper has maintained a solid performance with an average of 7.9 DraftKings points over his last ten games. He’s up against Jose Quintana of the NYM, who has been relatively generous in allowing hits, ranking #415 with 8.24 hits allowed per game. Harper’s recent uptick in singles and consistent hitting could be key factors today. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a core value pick in today’s fantasy lineup.

Freddie Freeman ($5300), Dodgers – Projected 11.8 pts

Freddie Freeman of the Dodgers comes into today’s game with a slightly lower average of 6.5 DraftKings points in his recent performances. Despite Los Angeles’s ranking at #60 for fantasy point generation, Freeman’s matchup against an unspecified pitcher from ATL—who allows an average of 8.29 hits per game—might turn in his favor. Notably, Freeman has shown significant improvement in walks and runs scored, which could play a crucial role in boosting his fantasy output. With a DFS value score of 2.2, Freeman is another core value player worth considering for today’s DFS contests.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Ketel Marte ($6000), Diamondbacks – Projected 12.5 pts

Ketel Marte’s recent performance has shown a dip compared to his previous games, with a significant decrease in most statistical categories. Over the last 10 games, Marte has averaged 6.2 DraftKings points, a sharp decline from 11.78 in the prior set of games. His hits per game have halved, and his power metrics like home runs and total bases have seen a substantial drop. Despite these struggles, Marte’s upcoming matchup against Freddy Peralta, who has been generous in allowing hits, might offer him a chance to bounce back. His DraftKings salary stands at $6000, with a projected point total of 12.5, giving him a 2.1 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value play in today’s fantasy lineup.

Marcus Semien ($4900), Rangers – Projected 10.9 pts

Marcus Semien, on the other hand, has been on an upward trajectory. His last 10 games have seen a remarkable improvement, with a 119.3% increase in DraftKings points per game compared to the previous 10 games. His hits have more than doubled, and his runs scored have skyrocketed by 354.5%. Facing Emerson Hancock, who has a high rate of hits allowed per game, Semien is poised to exploit this matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $4900 and a projected point total of 10.9, Semien offers a 2.2 DFS value score, making him another solid core value pick for today’s games.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Royce Lewis ($5000), Twins – Projected 12.8 pts

Royce Lewis of the Minnesota Twins shows a promising uptrend in his performance, making him a noteworthy pick for today’s DFS contests. Over his last ten games, Lewis has seen a 30.0% increase in DraftKings points per game, jumping from 4.0 to 5.2. Similarly, his FanDuel points have risen by 30.0%, indicating a consistent improvement across platforms. His total bases per game have surged by 53.8%, which is significant for accumulating DFS points. Despite a slight decrease in singles and runs, his overall enhancements in doubles and walks, where he went from zero to 0.2 per game, suggest a growing adaptability at the plate. Facing a pitcher from Cincinnati who ranks #320 in hits allowed per game, Lewis’s matchup is favorable, reflected in his DFS value score of 2.6. This positions him as a strong value pick in today’s games.

Isaac Paredes ($4900), Cubs – Projected 12.2 pts

Isaac Paredes of the Chicago Cubs, although facing a slightly tougher matchup against Austin Gomber of the Rockies, still holds substantial value for DFS players. Paredes has demonstrated a steady performance with a slight 2.5% increase in DraftKings points and a 6.9% increase in FanDuel points over his last ten games. His consistency is further evidenced by his hits per game, which have marginally increased. However, a notable area of concern is the -100.0% drop in home runs per game and a -26.2% decrease in total bases, which could impact his scoring potential. Despite these fluctuations, his increased walk rate, up by 7.1%, helps maintain his on-base percentage, crucial for DFS scoring. With a DFS value score of 2.5, Paredes is categorized as a strong value play, making him a viable option for today’s fantasy lineups.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Spotlight on Shortstops

Trea Turner ($5900), Phillies – Projected 12.8 pts

Trea Turner has been a beacon of consistency for the Phillies, especially in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Turner has significantly improved, averaging 10.6 DraftKings points per game, a stark increase from 5.44 in the previous set of ten games. This uptick is reflected in his total bases per game which have more than doubled from 1.11 to 2.3. Facing Jose Quintana of the NYM, who ranks #415 in hits allowed per game, Turner’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6400), Royals – Projected 12.7 pts

Bobby Witt Jr.’s recent form shows a slight decline compared to his earlier performances. His DraftKings points per game have dipped from 9.22 to 6.5 in the latest ten-game stretch. Despite this, Witt Jr. maintains a solid hit rate and has seen an increase in singles per game. Facing an unspecified pitcher from Pittsburgh, ranked #551 in hits allowed per game, could present an opportunity for Witt Jr. to bounce back. However, his current DFS value score is 2.0, making him another core value player who might just outperform expectations in today’s games.

Top Catchers to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Adley Rutschman ($5400), Orioles – Projected 11.4 pts

Adley Rutschman of the Baltimore Orioles shows a promising uptick in his performance, making him a noteworthy pick for today’s DFS lineup. Over his last ten games, Rutschman has seen a 29.2% increase in DraftKings points per game, now averaging 4.6 points. His consistency at the plate is evident with improvements across hits, singles, and total bases, marking a 19.4%, 25.0%, and 15.4% increase respectively. Additionally, his ability to earn walks and score runs has seen a significant boost, particularly with an 81.8% increase in runs per game. Facing a Detroit team that ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Rutschman’s matchup is favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.1, categorizing him as a core value pick with potential upside in today’s game.

William Contreras ($5000), Brewers – Projected 11.1 pts

William Contreras of the Milwaukee Brewers, despite a recent dip in his performance metrics, still holds potential value in today’s DFS contests. Contreras has experienced a -48.9% drop in DraftKings points per game over his last ten outings, now averaging 5.4 points. His hits and total bases have also seen declines of -30.0% and -45.0% respectively. However, it’s important to note his matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez of Arizona, who has a high rate of hits allowed per game. This could provide Contreras with opportunities to bounce back. With a DFS value score of 2.2, he is positioned as a core value player who might just outperform expectations given the favorable pitching matchup.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Lineup

Kyle Tucker ($5600), Astros – Projected 17.2 pts

Kyle Tucker’s recent performance shows a significant dip in fantasy output, with a decrease of -46.3% in DraftKings points per game compared to his previous ten games. However, his ability to hit singles has seen a remarkable increase of 172.7%. Facing a pitcher from the LAA with a high rate of hits allowed could be the turning point Tucker needs. Despite the recent struggles, his projected DFS value score of 3.1 categorizes him as an elite value pick for today’s games, especially considering his potential upside in total bases and runs.

Yordan Alvarez ($5900), Astros – Projected 16.1 pts

Yordan Alvarez presents a more stable option in the outfield, with a slight improvement in his recent DraftKings points per game. His consistency is evident with a modest increase of 1.6% in fantasy points and a 21.2% increase in home runs per game. Although there’s been a decline in singles and walks, Alvarez’s ability to contribute significantly in doubles and maintain a steady rate of total bases offers strong value. With a DFS value score of 2.7, he stands out as a strong value pick against an LAA pitcher prone to allowing hits.