Strategy and Stats for 09/23/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

As the clocks strike 6:40 PM EST today, the excitement builds across the MLB landscape with a thrilling quartet of games, but all eyes might just be on the late showdown at Chase Field, where the San Francisco Giants clash with the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:40 PM EST. In a game with a hefty Over/Under of 9.0, fantasy managers should brace for a barrage of hits and runs, making it a fertile ground for those looking to score big in daily fantasy. Top projected players across all positions are set to take center stage, promising a night of high stakes and even higher scores. Stay tuned as we break down each matchup, offering insights and tips to help you craft your winning fantasy lineup.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Bryce Harper ($5400), Phillies – Projected 12.7 pts

Bryce Harper has been a consistent performer for the Phillies, and his recent stats suggest he’s in a good position to deliver value in today’s matchup. Over his last ten games, Harper has averaged 8.1 DraftKings points per game, showing a slight improvement from his previous ten-game stretch. His matchup against Nate Pearson, who ranks #79 in hits allowed per game, positions Harper favorably. Despite a slight decrease in hits and power numbers recently, his ability to draw walks and score runs has increased, indicating his knack for finding ways to contribute. With a DFS Value Score of 2.4, Harper represents a core value pick today.

Christian Walker ($4900), Diamondbacks – Projected 12.1 pts

Christian Walker presents an intriguing option at first base today. Despite a dip in his last ten games, where he averaged 5.5 DraftKings points per game, Walker’s overall potential in DFS remains solid. His performance metrics show a significant increase in singles and runs scored, although his power stats have seen a decline. Facing a pitcher from the Giants who has a higher ranking in hits allowed per game could offer Walker more opportunities to capitalize. With a DFS Value Score of 2.5, he stands out as a strong value pick for today’s slate.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Top Second Basemen Analysis

Ketel Marte ($6000), Diamondbacks – Projected 13.1 pts

Ketel Marte has been on a notable upswing in his recent performances, making him a compelling pick for today’s fantasy lineup. Over the last ten games, Marte has nearly doubled his DraftKings points per game from 6.44 to an impressive 12.8, showcasing a significant improvement in his hitting, particularly with a 127.3% increase in home runs per game. His ability to secure bases, with a 80.6% increase in total bases per game, combined with a 203.0% increase in walks per game, highlights his growing discipline and strategic acumen at the plate. Facing a pitcher with a high rate of hits allowed, Marte’s current form suggests he could exploit this matchup effectively. His DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as a core value player in today’s fantasy drafts.

Jose Altuve ($5000), Astros – Projected 9.6 pts

Jose Altuve, despite a slight dip in his recent performance metrics, still holds potential value for DFS players looking for a budget-friendly option. Altuve’s DraftKings points have seen a decrease from 10.56 to 8.7 over the last ten games. Notably, his hits per game have decreased by 42.3%, and his doubles per game have sharply declined by 77.3%. However, he has maintained a steady rate of home runs, showing an 81.8% increase, which could play a pivotal role in his fantasy output against a pitcher like Bryce Miller, who is prone to allowing hits. Altuve’s DFS value score is 1.9, marking him as a player with less favorable value, yet his lower salary could justify a strategic play in larger field tournaments where salary savings are crucial.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Matt Chapman ($4500), Giants – Projected 10.6 pts

Matt Chapman, currently playing third base for the San Francisco Giants, has shown a mix of ups and downs in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Chapman has averaged 8.4 DraftKings points per game, a slight decrease from his previous ten-game average of 9.89. This dip in performance is reflected in his hitting, with a significant drop in singles per game from 0.78 to 0.1. However, he has improved in home runs, jumping from 0.22 to 0.4 per game, and walks, from 0.11 to 0.3 per game. Facing Eduardo Rodriguez of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who ranks 60th in hits allowed per game, Chapman’s matchup looks favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $4500 and a projected point total of 10.6, his DFS value score stands at 2.4, making him a core value pick for today’s slate.

Eugenio Suarez ($4700), Diamondbacks – Projected 9.6 pts

Eugenio Suarez of the Arizona Diamondbacks has experienced a notable decline in his fantasy output, with his average DraftKings points dropping from 17.22 to 7.5 over the last ten games. This reduction is evident across several categories, including a stark decrease in doubles and home runs, as well as a complete drop in walks. Despite these challenges, Suarez maintains a decent hit rate, averaging 1.3 hits per game in his recent performances. His upcoming game does not feature a specific opposing pitcher from the Giants, which might offer a less predictable outcome. With a DraftKings salary set at $4700 and a projected point total of 9.6, Suarez holds a DFS value score of 2.0. He remains a core option, particularly for those looking to capitalize on potential rebounds in his hitting stats.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Trea Turner ($5700), Phillies – Projected 11.9 pts

Trea Turner, playing at SS for the Phillies, has shown a consistent performance in recent games, averaging 10.5 daily fantasy points over his last ten games. Despite a slight decrease in performance compared to his previous ten games, Turner’s ability to hit singles has significantly improved, with a remarkable 79.1% increase. However, his power metrics, including home runs and total bases, have seen a decline. Facing Nate Pearson of the CHC, who ranks #79 in hits allowed per game, Turner’s matchup looks favorable. His DraftKings salary stands at $5700, with a projected point total of 11.9, giving him a DFS value score of 2.1, categorizing him as a core value player for the upcoming slate.

Tyler Fitzgerald ($4400), Giants – Projected 11.2 pts

Tyler Fitzgerald of the Giants, though experiencing a downturn in his recent performances with a 41.5% drop in DraftKings points per game over the last ten games, still holds potential against Eduardo Rodriguez of the ARI. Rodriguez’s tendency to allow 9.96 hits per game could play into Fitzgerald’s favor. Despite the recent struggles, Fitzgerald’s projected points stand at 11.2 for a DraftKings salary of $4400. His DFS value score is 2.5, making him a strong value pick. This suggests that Fitzgerald might be an under-the-radar option who could provide significant returns on investment in daily fantasy lineups.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Cal Raleigh ($4300), Mariners – Projected 10.8 pts

Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners shows a mixed bag of recent performances but holds a promising outlook for today’s game. Over his last 10 games, Raleigh has seen a significant dip in production, averaging only 7.5 DraftKings points compared to 12.11 in the previous set of 10 games, marking a -38.1% change. His hitting has also declined, with hits per game falling by -42.6%. However, Raleigh’s walk rate has impressively increased by 78.6%, indicating a potential for higher on-base percentages which could translate into scoring opportunities. Facing Hunter Brown, who ranks #118 in hits allowed per game, Raleigh’s matchup could favor his chances to bounce back. With a DraftKings salary of $4300 and a projected point total of 10.8, Raleigh is deemed a 2.5 on the DFS value score, placing him as a strong value pick for today’s slate.

J.T. Realmuto ($4200), Phillies – Projected 9.4 pts

J.T. Realmuto of the Philadelphia Phillies has been experiencing a downturn in his recent performances. His DraftKings points have decreased by -22.2% in the last 10 games, scoring an average of 5.7 points compared to 7.33 in the earlier games. His hits and walks have also seen declines of -20.0% and -54.5%, respectively. Despite these struggles, Realmuto’s doubles per game have increased by 36.4%, showing some areas of improvement. Facing Nate Pearson of the CHC, who allows 9.14 hits per game and ranks #79, Realmuto might find some opportunities to exploit. With a DraftKings salary of $4200 and a projected point total of 9.4, Realmuto holds a DFS value score of 2.2, categorizing him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Corbin Carroll ($5300), Diamondbacks – Projected 15.5 pts

Corbin Carroll has been a consistent performer for the Diamondbacks, averaging 10.4 DraftKings points over his last ten games. Despite a slight dip in hitting metrics such as singles and doubles compared to his previous ten games, Carroll’s ability to draw walks has impressively increased by 112.1%. Facing a pitcher from the Giants who ranks #157 in hits allowed per game, Carroll’s matchup looks favorable. With a projected DFS value score of 2.9, he stands out as a strong value pick in today’s fantasy lineup.

Kyle Schwarber ($5900), Phillies – Projected 13.3 pts

Kyle Schwarber, on the other hand, has seen a significant drop in his performance metrics, with a 67.5% decrease in DraftKings points per game over his last ten games compared to the ten before that. His power hitting has notably declined, with a drastic reduction in home runs and total bases. Despite facing Nate Pearson of the Cubs, who has a relatively high rate of hits allowed per game, Schwarber’s recent form suggests caution. His DFS value score of 2.3 positions him as a core value pick, potentially useful but with some risk involved.