Strategy and Stats for 09/25/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 2:10 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with a thrilling 15-game slate that promises to captivate and challenge daily fantasy enthusiasts. Among the matchups, the spotlight shines brightest on the St. Louis Cardinals’ visit to Coors Field, where they face off against the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.0, this game is anticipated to be a veritable feast of fantasy points, making players from this game particularly enticing for rosters. As we delve into today’s games, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, whose recent performances and matchups position them as key assets in your quest for fantasy glory. Stay tuned as we break down each game, providing you with the insights needed to craft winning lineups.

Top First Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Bryce Harper ($5700), Phillies – Projected 13.5 pts

Despite the Philadelphia Phillies ranking low at #28 in MLB for generating fantasy points, Bryce Harper continues to be a pivotal player. Over his last ten games, Harper has averaged 8.3 DraftKings points per game, a slight dip from his previous ten-game average of 10.89. This reduction is mirrored in his hitting metrics, with a significant decrease in doubles and total bases. However, facing None of the CHC, who ranks #380 in hits allowed per game, Harper’s matchup looks favorable. His projected DFS value score stands at 2.4, categorizing him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Paul Goldschmidt ($5100), Cardinals – Projected 13.2 pts

Paul Goldschmidt’s recent performance might raise some eyebrows among DFS enthusiasts. With an average of only 5.2 DraftKings points over his last ten games, down from 7.67 in the previous set, Goldschmidt has seen a stark decline in his hitting, especially with no home runs or doubles in the recent stretch. However, his matchup against Austin Gomber of the Rockies, who allows 9.62 hits per game, might offer a rebound opportunity. With a DFS value score of 2.6, Goldschmidt emerges as a strong value play, especially considering his lower DraftKings salary of $5100.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Ketel Marte ($6100), Arizona Diamondbacks – Projected 12.4 pts

Ketel Marte’s recent performance has been a beacon of consistency and power, making him a pivotal player in today’s DFS lineup. Over the last ten games, Marte has significantly improved, boasting a 169.8% increase in DraftKings points per game compared to his previous ten games. His ability to secure hits, walks, and notably home runs, where he’s seen a 354.5% increase, underscores his potential for high fantasy output. Despite Arizona’s middle-of-the-pack rank in generating fantasy points, Marte’s individual prowess, especially against a pitcher with a high hits allowed ranking, positions him as a 2.0 core value player in today’s DFS contests.

Ozzie Albies ($4800), Atlanta Braves – Projected 11.6 pts

Ozzie Albies presents a more nuanced choice for DFS players today. His recent performances show a downturn, with a -32.0% drop in DraftKings points and a -48.7% decrease in runs per game. However, his consistent ability to contribute across various stat categories, including doubles where he’s up 172.7%, cannot be overlooked. Facing a pitcher like David Peterson, who ranks low in hits allowed, might give Albies a chance to recalibrate and offer better value. With a DraftKings salary of $4800 and a DFS value score of 2.4, Albies stands as a core value pick, potentially rewarding for those willing to bet on his rebound.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Nolan Arenado ($4900), Cardinals – Projected 11.9 pts

Nolan Arenado, playing for the St. Louis Cardinals, has shown a noticeable improvement in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 6.9 DraftKings points, up from 5.78 in the previous ten games, marking a 19.4% increase. His matchup against Austin Gomber, who has been generous in allowing hits, positions Arenado as a potentially lucrative pick. Despite the Cardinals’ low rank in generating fantasy points, Arenado’s recent uptick in hits and singles per game suggests he could exploit Gomber’s weaknesses effectively. His DFS value score stands at 2.4, categorizing him as a core value player for today’s slate.

None ($4100), Rays – Projected 11.7 pts

The player known as None from the Tampa Bay Rays is also worth considering, with a DraftKings salary of $4100. Over the last ten games, None has averaged 5.7 points, a significant improvement from 4.33 in the prior set, showing a 31.6% increase. Facing a pitcher from Detroit who ranks #320 in hits allowed per game could provide None with ample opportunities to score. Notably, his total bases per game have surged by 156.4%, highlighting his potential for extra-base hits. With a DFS value score of 2.9, he stands out as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis: Shortstops to Watch

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6500), Royals – Projected 12.9 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has shown a significant uptick in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 12.0 DraftKings points, a sharp increase from his previous 5.44. This surge is highlighted by a 46.1% increase in hits per game and a staggering 309.1% increase in walks per game. Facing a Washington team that ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Witt Jr.’s recent form and his ability to capitalize on weaker pitching make him a compelling pick. Despite Kansas City’s middle-of-the-pack rank in generating fantasy points, Witt Jr.’s individual performance and a 2.0 DFS value score suggest he’s a solid core value for today’s slate.

Trea Turner ($5900), Phillies – Projected 12.7 pts

Trea Turner, while not as explosive in his recent performances, still maintains a consistent output with an average of 10.3 DraftKings points in his last ten games. His hits per game have increased by 57.3%, although his power numbers have seen a decline, particularly in home runs and total bases. Facing the Cubs, who are also not stringent in hits allowed, Turner’s ability to get on base could play a crucial role. However, his lack of walks recently could be a concern. With a 2.2 DFS value score, Turner represents a core value play, offering steady, if not spectacular, fantasy potential.

Catcher Analysis: DFS Impact and Value

Ivan Herrera ($4800), Cardinals – Projected 11.4 pts

Ivan Herrera, the young catcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, shows a promising outlook in today’s game against Austin Gomber of the Colorado Rockies. Despite St. Louis’s low ranking in generating fantasy points, Herrera’s recent performance suggests a potential for high impact. Over the last ten games, Herrera has averaged 8.2 DraftKings points, a slight dip from his previous 10-game average of 10.0 points. However, his consistency in getting on base, highlighted by a 13.6% increase in walks, positions him as a viable option. Facing Gomber, who ranks 233rd in hits allowed per game, Herrera could exploit this matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $4800 and a projected point total of 11.4, Herrera’s DFS value score stands at 2.4, categorizing him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Cal Raleigh ($8200), Mariners – Projected 11.1 pts

Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, though more expensive, faces a challenging matchup against Yusei Kikuchi of the Houston Astros. Raleigh’s performance has seen a decline in the recent ten-game stretch, averaging 8.5 DraftKings points compared to 11.67 in the previous set of games. Notably, his hits and total bases have decreased by 17.3% and 27.0%, respectively, which are concerning trends for fantasy managers. Despite these declines, Raleigh has improved his walk rate by a significant 42.9%, indicating a potential for scoring opportunities if he can capitalize on them. However, given his high DraftKings salary of $8200 and a projected point total of 11.1, his DFS value score is only 1.4. This positions Raleigh as a risky option with bad value in today’s fantasy lineup.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Corbin Carroll ($5500), Diamondbacks – Projected 14.3 pts

Corbin Carroll has been a beacon of consistency for the Diamondbacks, and his recent performances suggest a promising outlook for today’s game. Over the last ten games, Carroll has seen a significant improvement in his fantasy output, with an average of 9.8 DraftKings points per game, a 29.6% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His ability to get on base, highlighted by a 36.4% increase in walks, complements his scoring potential. Facing a pitcher from the Giants who ranks #131 in hits allowed per game, Carroll’s matchup is favorable, reflected in his DFS value score of 2.6. This positions him as a strong value pick in today’s slate.

Byron Buxton ($4800), Twins – Projected 13.9 pts

Byron Buxton, despite a recent dip in form, presents an intriguing option against Edward Cabrera of the Marlins, who has a high rank of #517 for hits allowed per game. Buxton’s performance has seen a downturn with a -34.7% decrease in DraftKings points over the last ten games compared to the ten before that. However, his ability to hit singles has dramatically increased by 718.2%, suggesting potential for recovery. With a DFS value score of 2.9, Buxton stands out as a strong value pick, especially considering his lower DraftKings salary of $4800. His matchup and potential for high returns make him a viable candidate for today’s fantasy lineups.