Target the Baltimore lineup against Jack Perkins, whose 6.68 ERA is the softest arm on the field.
Baltimore's better offense meets an A's starter allowing hits and walks at an alarming clip.
- Perkins carries a 6.68 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over 90.1 innings.
- Baltimore scores 4.54 runs/game (11th) versus Oakland's 4.36 (19th).
- Baz owns a steadier 4.10 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
Vegas / Market
No game odds, total, spread, or moneyline are available in the brief, so there is no line to price against or fade. Without a posted number, any implied team total or de-vigged edge would be pure guesswork. Treat all betting angles as unpriced tonight.
Pitching Matchup
Baz clearly holds the edge, pairing a 3.10 BB/9 with an 8.04 K/9 for reliable strike-throwing, even with a hittable 9.11 H/9. Perkins misses more bats at 10.39 K/9 but the wildness shows in a 3.80 BB/9 and a bloated ERA. This is a control-and-results advantage for the visitor's arm.
Offense Comparison
Baltimore brings more thump, ranking 9th at 1.21 HR/game, though the whiff risk is real given a 5th-ranked 9.22 K/game against a high-strikeout arm. Oakland is more contact-oriented, 13th in AVG at 0.246 and 9th in K/game, but the top of their order lacks the same stack ceiling. The Orioles are the more appealing stack against Perkins' hittable profile.
Weather & Park
Weather not yet available for this game.
Weather is not available for this game, so no wind or temperature read applies at outdoor Sutter Health Park.
DFS Angles
Stack the Orioles against Perkins, whose 6.68 ERA and 1.48 WHIP make the top-five bats live, especially given Baltimore's power edge. A mini-stack of Alonso, Henderson, and Basallo offers strong salary value.
Baz is the safer pitcher play given his 4.10 ERA and cleaner walk rate, while Perkins is a fade despite his strikeout upside. Perkins' pricing and 6.68 ERA make him a risky tournament-only dart.
- Pete Alonso 14.9 proj · $6,400 · 2.3x
- Gunnar Henderson 14.4 proj · $5,900 · 2.4x
- Samuel Basallo 13.5 proj · $4,800 · 2.8x
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand 12.5 proj · $5,300 · 2.4x
- Jackson Holliday 12.4 proj · $4,600 · 2.7x
- Zack Gelof 11.8 proj · $5,700 · 2.1x
- Lawrence Butler 11.4 proj · $4,600 · 2.5x
- Jeff McNeil 11.3 proj · $4,000 · 2.8x
- Henry Bolte 10.2 proj · $4,700 · 2.2x
- Donovan Walton 10.1 proj · $3,600 · 2.8x
Players to Watch
- Pete Alonso - lean over on total bases - projects 1.65 hits and 0.45 HR at $6400.
- Samuel Basallo - lean over on RBI - 0.90 projected RBI at a cheap $4800.
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand - lean over on RBI - team-high 1.20 projected RBI.
- Jeff McNeil - lean over on hits - 1.35 projected hits at $4000.
- Gunnar Henderson - 2.44x value at $5900 anchors the stack.
- Jackson Holliday - leadoff bat at $4600 with 2.70x upside.
- Zack Gelof - top A's projection at 11.8 fpts.
- Lawrence Butler - middle-order power source at $4600.
Form & Head-to-Head
Season series: BAL 2 – ATH 2
The season series is even at BAL 2, ATH 2.
Today's MLB Slate
BOS @ NYY
LAD @ DET
CWS @ MIN
PIT @ STL
CIN @ CHC
SEA @ TOR
MIA @ WAS
ARI @ SF
KC @ CLE
HOU @ NYM
SD @ TB
COL @ ATL
BOS @ NYY
TEX @ MIL
BAL @ ATH
ARI @ SF
PHI @ LAA
