New York Yankees

79-60

Los Angeles Angels

53-86

9:38 PM ET Angel Stadium YES

Back Cam Schlittler and the Yankees on the road, with the run environment tilting under 7.0.

An elite arm at 2.09 ERA meets a bottom-tier Angels offense in a run-suppressing wind.

SideBET AWAY ML at -166.

TotalBET UNDER 7.0.

Strong7/10

Confidence

Schlittler owns a 2.09 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over 163.2 innings.
Angels rank 25th in runs and 27th in HR/game.
Wind 9 mph in from center flags as negative for scoring.

Best Bet Under 7.0 is the highest-conviction play, backed by Schlittler's dominance, two high-strikeout lineups, and a wind blowing in.

Total7.0

NYY Win62%

LAA Win42%

Implied NYY3.8

Implied LAA3.2

Vegas / Market

Total

7.0

Run line

LAA 1.5

NYY ML

-166 62%

LAA ML

+140 42%

NYY3.8

LAA3.2

The de-vigged team totals sit at NYY 3.8 and LAA 3.2, and the 3.2 for a 25th-ranked offense facing this arm looks generous to the home side. NYY at -166 is priced as a solid but not overwhelming favorite, which aligns with my read rather than screaming value. The total of 7.0 is where the softness leans, given both the pitching gap and the wind.

Pitching Matchup

NYY

Cam Schlittler

12-6 · 163.2 IP

ERA

2.09

WHIP

0.97

K/9

11.1

BB/9

2.3

LAA

Reid Detmers

4-8 · 155.0 IP

ERA

3.54

WHIP

1.07

K/9

10.1

BB/9

2.6

Schlittler is the clear edge, pairing an 11.08 K/9 with a tidy 2.32 BB/9 and a 6.45 H/9 that shows swing-and-miss stuff plus command. Detmers is respectable at 3.54 ERA with a 10.10 K/9, but his numbers sit a full tier below across the board. This is a matchup where one starter can carry the under.

Offense Comparison

NYYRank of 30LAA

4.5 #13 Runs / G 4.1 #25

0.233 #28 AVG 0.235 #26

1.38 #2 HR / G 0.96 #27

9.19 #5 K / G 9.42 #3

Both lineups strike out heavily, with New York fifth-most and Los Angeles third-most in whiffs per game, playing right into two high-K arms. The Yankees carry real thump against Detmers, ranking second in HR/game despite a poor 28th team average, so their damage is boom-or-bust homer-driven stack appeal. The Angels lack that pop at 27th in HR/game, making sustained rallies against Schlittler a tough ask.

Weather & Park

At first pitch · 9:38 PM ET

9 mph in from CF · favors pitchers

Conditions

Sunny

Temp

76°

Rain

Humidity

40%

moderate

Now: 60° · 5 mph L to R cross · Clear

Angel Stadium is outdoor with sunny 76F skies, but the 9 mph wind blowing in from center field is flagged as a negative for run scoring. That knocks down some of the Yankees homer upside.

DFS Angles

Lean a light Yankees stack for their 2nd-ranked power, but temper exposure given the inbound center-field wind; Angels bats are hard to trust against Schlittler.

Target Cam Schlittler as a premium DFS anchor given his 11.08 K/9 versus a 3rd-highest-strikeout Angels lineup; Detmers is a riskier value play at best.

NYY top bats

Paul Goldschmidt 11.6 proj · $3,400 · 3.4x
Cody Bellinger 11.6 proj · $4,900 · 2.4x
Ben Rice 11.2 proj · $5,900 · 1.9x
Heliot Ramos 9.5 proj · $3,700 · 2.6x
Trent Grisham 9.1 proj · $4,400 · 2.1x

LAA top bats

Mike Trout 10.4 proj · $5,000 · 2.1x
Zach Neto 9.6 proj · $4,500 · 2.1x
Vaughn Grissom 7.9 proj · $3,800 · 2.1x
Christian Moore 7.5 proj · $2,500 · 3.0x
Wade Meckler 7.0 proj · $3,100 · 2.3x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Cam Schlittler - over strikeouts lean - 11.08 K/9 against a heavy-whiff Angels lineup.
Ben Rice - HR/power lean - 0.27 projected HR is the top Yankees mark.
Mike Trout - hits lean - team-best 1.28 projected hits despite tough matchup.
Reid Detmers - strikeout lean - 10.10 K/9 against a 5th-ranked whiff Yankees offense.

On watch