St. Louis Cardinals

71-72

Colorado Rockies

55-87

3:10 PM ET Coors Field Rockies.TV Day GameWeekend

Back St. Louis on the moneyline at -134 with Kyle Leahy holding the clear pitching edge.

Leahy's proven command and STL's higher implied total point to the road side despite Coors.

SideBET AWAY ML at STL -134.

TotalBET UNDER 11.0 given the wind blowing in.

Lean6/10

Confidence

Leahy carries a 3.13 ERA versus Adams over just 13.2 IP.
Adams walks 4.09 per nine, inviting traffic at Coors.
STL implied for 5.7 runs, tops the 5.3 mark.

Best Bet St. Louis moneyline at -134 is the highest-conviction play behind Leahy's edge.

Total11.0

STL Win57%

COL Win47%

Implied STL5.7

Implied COL5.3

Vegas / Market

Total

11.0

Run line

COL 1.5

STL ML

-134 57%

COL ML

+114 47%

STL5.7

COL5.3

The de-vigged team totals give STL 5.7 and COL 5.3, so the market already leans road side, matching the -134 price. That number feels fair rather than soft, offering little edge for a heavier lay. The total of 11.0 is aggressive given the wind knocking down the park.

Pitching Matchup

STL

Kyle Leahy

10-4 · 129.1 IP

ERA

3.13

WHIP

1.31

K/9

8.2

BB/9

2.7

COL

Mason Adams

0-0 · 13.2 IP

ERA

3.95

WHIP

1.61

K/9

11.6

BB/9

4.1

Leahy brings the more reliable profile, a 3.13 ERA and 2.65 BB/9 across 129.1 innings, showing repeatable command over a full workload. Adams flashes big swing-and-miss with an 11.59 K/9 but only 13.2 innings of sample and a shaky 4.09 BB/9 and 1.61 WHIP. The edge clearly belongs to Leahy on command and body of work.

Offense Comparison

STLRank of 30COL

4.5 #11 Runs / G 4.7 #6

0.243 #17 AVG 0.254 #4

1.07 #21 HR / G 1.10 #19

7.90 #25 K / G 8.66 #8

Colorado's lineup ranks 4th in AVG and 6th in runs per game, a contact-leaning group led by Goodman and McCarthy that can pester Leahy's strike-throwing approach. St. Louis strikes out often, 25th at 7.90 per game, which plays into Adams' whiff stuff, but the Cards can capitalize on his walks. Neither side is a heavy power stack, both sitting mid-pack in HR rate.

Weather & Park

At first pitch · 3:10 PM ET

9 mph in from LF · favors pitchers

Conditions

Sunny

Temp

88°

Rain

Humidity

26%

dry, denser air

Now: 73° · 2 mph out to LF · Overcast

Coors Field is outdoor and hot at 88F, but an 8 mph wind blowing in from left field is flagged as a negative run-scoring factor, tempering the usual altitude boost.

DFS Angles

Lean a light Colorado stack of McCarthy, Moniak and Goodman against Adams-free Leahy only in tournaments, since the wind and Leahy's command cap upside for both sides.

Leahy is the pitcher to target given his 3.13 ERA and matchup edge; fade Adams whose 4.09 BB/9 and Coors setting invite a blowup.

STL top bats