Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium, New York Division Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Buffalo Bills
7-1 · 7-1 last season
Implied29.0
At BUF -7.5 Total 50.5 Live line · BUF -460 · NYJ +360
New York Jets
2-7 · 2-7 last season
Implied21.5
Line movement open Nov 10 NYJ spread +7.5 +7.5 no move Total 50.5 50.5 no move FanDuel

BUF @ NYJ: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
BUF Josh Allen QB 21.9 $7,500 NYJ #29 of 32 20.4 Smash
BUF James Cook III RB 17.8 $7,400 NYJ #31 of 32 27.1 Smash
BUF DJ Moore WR 11.8 $5,800 NYJ #6 of 32 29.1 Tough
BUF Dalton Kincaid TE 10.6 $5,100 NYJ #27 of 32 17.1 Smash
NYJ Geno Smith QB 13.9 $4,800 BUF #6 of 32 15.9 Tough
NYJ Garrett Wilson WR 13.1 $6,500 BUF #11 of 32 30.2 Neutral
NYJ Breece Hall RB 12.9 $5,900 BUF #21 of 32 24.0 Favorable
NYJ Mason Taylor TE 5.8 $2,900 BUF #9 of 32 12.0 Neutral
BUF skill positions vs NYJ defense
QB
#29/32
20.4 fpa
Elite
RB
#31/32
27.1 fpa
Elite
WR
#6/32
29.1 fpa
Avoid
TE
#27/32
17.1 fpa
Elite
NYJ skill positions vs BUF defense
QB
#6/32
15.9 fpa
Avoid
RB
#21/32
24.0 fpa
Good
WR
#11/32
30.2 fpa
Bad
TE
#9/32
12.0 fpa
Bad

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
BUF29.0
NYJ21.5
Offense profile
BUFRank of 32NYJ
32.0 #1 Pts / G 20.2 #25
256.2 #12 Pass yds / G 231.1 #21
146.6 #2 Rush yds / G 105.2 #20
64.2 #9 Plays / G 58.9 #27
48% Pass rate 54%
1.5 Pass TD / G 1.3
2.1 Rush TD / G 0.6
2.1 Sacks taken / G 3.1
0.8 INT thrown / G 0.3
Defense profile
BUFRank of 32NYJ
23.4 #16 Pts allowed / G 24.8 #21
252.8 #27 Pass yds allowed 212.1 #5
91.6 #7 Rush yds allowed 128.0 #26
2.1 Sacks / G 2.4
0.8 INT / G 0.1
1.9 Pass TD allowed 1.8
0.9 Rush TD allowed 1.1

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 9 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (MetLife Stadium, New York)

DFS

BUF projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Josh Allen 21.9 22.7 / 22.7 $7,500 2.92x $9,500 #29
RB James Cook III 17.8 16.4 / 16.4 $7,400 2.40x $8,400 #31
WR DJ Moore 11.8 10.9 / 10.9 $5,800 2.04x $6,700 #6
TE Dalton Kincaid 10.6 10.1 / 10.1 $5,100 2.08x $5,600 #27
WR Khalil Shakir 10.2 10.5 / 10.5 $5,300 1.93x $5,900 #6
WR Keon Coleman 8.1 7.6 / 7.6 $4,600 1.76x $5,600 #6
RB Ty Johnson 5.5 5.2 / 5.2 $4,900 1.12x $5,500 #31
NYJ projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Geno Smith 13.9 14.8 / 14.8 $4,800 2.89x $6,600 #6
WR Garrett Wilson questionable 13.1 12.8 / 12.8 $6,500 2.02x $7,200 #11
RB Breece Hall 12.9 12.1 / 12.1 $5,900 2.18x $7,000 #21
WR Omar Cooper Jr. 9.9 9.1 / 9.1 $5,400 1.84x $6,200 #11
RB Braelon Allen 9.1 8.8 / 8.8 $5,400 1.69x $5,800 #21
WR Adonai Mitchell 7.8 8.2 / 8.2 $4,900 1.60x $5,500 #11
TE Mason Taylor 5.8 5.4 / 5.4 $2,900 2.01x $4,700 #9

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass TD 1.5 1.2 -130 BetOnline #23
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass yds 227.5 207.7 -113 DraftKings #5
Josh Allen QB BUF Rush yds 28.5 29.2 -115 DraftKings #26
James Cook III RB BUF Rush yds 91.5 89.1 -113 DraftKings #26
James Cook III RB BUF Receptions 1.5 1.3 -120 BetOnline #5
James Cook III RB BUF Rec yds 9.5 12.0 -105 DraftKings #5
Geno Smith QB NYJ Pass TD 1.5 1.2 +157 DraftKings #27
Geno Smith QB NYJ Pass yds 218.5 208.2 -113 DraftKings #27
Garrett Wilson WR NYJ Receptions 5.5 4.7 -102 DraftKings #27
Garrett Wilson WR NYJ Rec yds 61.5 57.8 -114 DraftKings #27
Breece Hall RB NYJ Rush yds 54.5 50.4 -110 Fanatics #7
Breece Hall RB NYJ Receptions 2.5 2.9 +118 BetOnline #27
Breece Hall RB NYJ Rec yds 16.5 28.8 -108 DraftKings #27
DJ Moore WR BUF Receptions 3.5 3.5 -119 BetOnline #5

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All BUF and NYJ props with AI grades

Injuries

BUF 8 listed
  • IR Joshua Palmer WR Unknown Severe
  • Playing Skyler Bell WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Jalon Kilgore FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Michael Danna OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Alec Anderson C Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Dion Dawkins T Ribs Minimal
  • Quest. Ed Oliver DT Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Greg Gaines DT Calf Minimal
NYJ 8 listed
  • Out Tim Patrick WR Coach'S Decision Severe
  • IR Chip Trayanum RB Neck Severe
  • Playing Garrett Wilson WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Jack Heflin DT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Joseph Ossai DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Nahshon Wright DB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Trevin Wallace LB Unknown Minimal
  • IR Anez Cooper G Shoulder Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 10 slate

All 14 games this week.
Updated Nov 11, 10:19 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.