Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta Indoor Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
6-2 · 6-2 last season
Implied24.5
At KC -3.5 Total 45.5 Live line · KC -180 · ATL +152
Atlanta Falcons
3-6 · 3-6 last season
Implied21.0
Line movement open Nov 10 ATL spread +3.5 +3.5 no move Total 45.5 45.5 no move FanDuel

KC @ ATL: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
KC Kenneth Walker III RB 19.1 $9,200 ATL #28 of 32 26.5 Smash
KC Patrick Mahomes QB 19.0 $6,000 ATL #16 of 32 17.6 Neutral
KC Rashee Rice WR 12.7 $6,100 ATL #21 of 32 33.5 Favorable
KC Travis Kelce TE 12.2 $4,700 ATL #8 of 32 11.9 Neutral
ATL Bijan Robinson RB 19.9 $8,200 KC #8 of 32 19.9 Neutral
ATL Michael Penix Jr. QB 15.6 $4,900 KC #4 of 32 14.3 Tough
ATL Drake London WR 13.9 $6,600 KC #4 of 32 26.4 Tough
ATL Kyle Pitts Sr. TE 9.8 $3,800 KC #16 of 32 13.6 Neutral
KC skill positions vs ATL defense
QB
#16/32
17.6 fpa
Average
RB
#28/32
26.5 fpa
Elite
WR
#21/32
33.5 fpa
Good
TE
#8/32
11.9 fpa
Avoid
ATL skill positions vs KC defense
QB
#4/32
14.3 fpa
Avoid
RB
#8/32
19.9 fpa
Avoid
WR
#4/32
26.4 fpa
Avoid
TE
#16/32
13.6 fpa
Average

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
KC24.5
ATL21.0
Offense profile
KCRank of 32ATL
25.2 #10 Pts / G 20.9 #23
257.4 #11 Pass yds / G 196.8 #25
137.8 #5 Rush yds / G 137.2 #6
61.4 #21 Plays / G 58.9 #26
55% Pass rate 50%
1.8 Pass TD / G 1.2
1.2 Rush TD / G 1.0
1.4 Sacks taken / G 1.8
0.5 INT thrown / G 1.3
Defense profile
KCRank of 32ATL
17.9 #3 Pts allowed / G 24.8 #20
220.8 #7 Pass yds allowed 244.8 #22
97.5 #10 Rush yds allowed 118.8 #17
1.8 Sacks / G 2.2
0.8 INT / G 0.3
0.9 Pass TD allowed 1.6
0.6 Rush TD allowed 1.1

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 9 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. Mercedes-Benz Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

KC projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Kenneth Walker III 19.1 19.3 / 19.3 $9,200 2.08x $9,800 #28
QB Patrick Mahomes questionable 19.0 18.4 / 18.4 $6,000 3.17x $7,800 #16
WR Rashee Rice 12.7 13.0 / 13.0 $6,100 2.08x $6,900 #21
TE Travis Kelce 12.2 11.3 / 11.3 $4,700 2.59x $5,500 #8
WR Xavier Worthy questionable 10.3 10.3 / 10.3 $4,300 2.40x $5,700 #21
RB Emmett Johnson 5.3 5.5 / 5.5 $4,700 1.13x $5,100 #28
TE Noah Gray 4.9 5.2 / 5.2 $2,700 1.82x $4,300 #8
ATL projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Bijan Robinson 19.9 21.3 / 21.3 $8,200 2.43x $8,800 #8
QB Michael Penix Jr. 15.6 14.6 / 14.6 $4,900 3.18x $6,900 #4
WR Drake London 13.9 14.5 / 14.5 $6,600 2.11x $7,700 #4
TE Kyle Pitts Sr. 9.8 9.1 / 9.1 $3,800 2.57x $5,100 #16
WR Jahan Dotson 6.7 6.1 / 6.1 $3,600 1.85x $5,100 #4
WR Olamide Zaccheaus 3.7 3.5 / 3.5 $3,000 1.24x $4,800 #4
RB Khalil Herbert 3.3 3.2 / 3.2 $4,200 0.78x $4,900 #8

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Rush yds 85.5 92.9 -113 DraftKings #10
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Receptions 3.5 3.3 +132 BetOnline #7
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Rec yds 28.5 26.4 -109 DraftKings #7
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Rush yds 84.5 78.8 -110 DraftKings #17
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Receptions 3.5 2.3 +145 Fanatics #20
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Rec yds 21.5 15.5 -111 DraftKings #20
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Pass TD 1.5 1.7 -114 FanDuel #18
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Pass yds 240.5 253.4 -110 Fanatics #22
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Rush yds 10.5 10.6 +105 Fanatics #17
Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL Pass TD 1.5 1.5 +137 DraftKings #2
Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL Pass yds 214.5 217.7 -110 DraftKings #7
Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL Rush yds 6.5 9.8 -114 FanDuel #10
Drake London WR ATL Receptions 5.5 4.8 -118 FanDuel #7
Drake London WR ATL Rec yds 71.5 75.3 -111 DraftKings #7

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All KC and ATL props with AI grades

Injuries

KC 8 listed
  • Out Jeff Caldwell WR Knee Severe
  • Quest. Patrick Mahomes QB Elbow Moderate
  • Out Mansoor Delane CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Peter Woods DT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Tyreke Smith DE Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Jaylon Moore OT Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Travis Kelce TE Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Xavier Worthy WR Hamstring Minimal
ATL 8 listed
  • Out Andy Dalton QB Unknown Severe
  • IR Brian Robinson RB Hamstring Severe
  • IR Trey Sermon RB Unknown Severe
  • Playing Zachariah Branch WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Anterio Thompson DT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Jalon Walker OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Olamide Zaccheaus WR Shoulder Minimal
  • IR Cameron Williams OT Ankle Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 10 slate

All 14 games this week.
WAS @ NYG
Thu 8:15 PM ET
NYG -1.5
O/U 41.5
Ready
NE @ DET
Sun 9:30 AM ET
DET -2.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BUF @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -4.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
JAX @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -3.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -3.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ ARI
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -9.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SEA @ LV
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SF @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -4.5
O/U 55.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
PIT @ CIN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
LAC @ BAL
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 38.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Nov 11, 10:19 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.