Sun Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET · Fox · Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany Neutral site Indoor Upcoming · Fri 9:30 AM
New England Patriots
5-4 · 5-4 last season
Implied24.0
Neutral site DET -2.5 Total 50.5 Live line · NE +128 · DET -152
Detroit Lions
6-2 · 6-2 last season
Implied26.5
Line movement open Nov 10 DET spread -2.5 -2.5 no move Total 51.5 50.5 1.0 FanDuel

NE @ DET: the angle lands Fri 9:30 AM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
NE Drake Maye QB 19.8 $6,800 DET #31 of 32 21.0 Smash
NE DeMario Douglas WR 14.2 $4,800 DET #23 of 32 34.0 Favorable
NE Corey Kiner RB 10.6 $4,700 DET #2 of 32 17.9 Tough
NE Hunter Henry TE 9.7 $4,500 DET #32 of 32 20.6 Smash
DET Jahmyr Gibbs RB 24.3 $9,700 NE #4 of 32 18.2 Tough
DET Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 21.2 $7,900 NE #31 of 32 39.7 Smash
DET Jared Goff QB 18.8 $6,300 NE #21 of 32 19.0 Favorable
DET Sam LaPorta TE 12.0 $4,600 NE #10 of 32 12.2 Neutral
NE skill positions vs DET defense
QB
#31/32
21.0 fpa
Elite
RB
#2/32
17.9 fpa
Avoid
WR
#23/32
34.0 fpa
Good
TE
#32/32
20.6 fpa
Elite
DET skill positions vs NE defense
QB
#21/32
19.0 fpa
Good
RB
#4/32
18.2 fpa
Avoid
WR
#31/32
39.7 fpa
Elite
TE
#10/32
12.2 fpa
Bad

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
NE24.0
DET26.5
Offense profile
NERank of 32DET
23.4 #14 Pts / G 27.8 #5
261.0 #9 Pass yds / G 267.4 #6
119.9 #10 Rush yds / G 127.8 #8
61.9 #19 Plays / G 65.4 #7
52% Pass rate 54%
2.0 Pass TD / G 1.9
0.8 Rush TD / G 1.2
2.2 Sacks taken / G 2.4
1.2 INT thrown / G 0.2
Defense profile
NERank of 32DET
23.0 #15 Pts allowed / G 23.6 #17
250.7 #26 Pass yds allowed 283.1 #32
96.7 #9 Rush yds allowed 94.1 #8
2.8 Sacks / G 3.4
0.6 INT / G 0.8
1.6 Pass TD allowed 2.2
0.9 Rush TD allowed 0.8

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 9 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. Allianz Arena is a covered venue.

DFS

NE projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Drake Maye 19.8 20.0 / 20.0 $6,800 2.91x $8,000 #31
WR DeMario Douglas 14.2 13.3 / 13.3 $4,800 2.96x $5,800 #23
WR Mack Hollins 11.1 11.7 / 11.7 $4,100 2.70x $5,500 #23
RB Corey Kiner 10.6 11.2 / 11.2 $4,700 2.25x $5,900 #2
TE Hunter Henry 9.7 10.2 / 10.2 $4,500 2.16x $5,200 #32
TE Eli Raridon 7.3 7.0 / 7.0 $3,300 2.21x $4,600 #32
WR Efton Chism III 5.8 5.6 / 5.6 $3,800 1.54x $5,300 #23
DET projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Jahmyr Gibbs 24.3 24.2 / 24.2 $9,700 2.50x $10,300 #4
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 21.2 19.7 / 19.7 $7,900 2.68x $8,500 #31
QB Jared Goff 18.8 18.4 / 18.4 $6,300 2.98x $7,500 #21
WR Jameson Williams 12.2 11.6 / 11.6 $5,900 2.06x $6,600 #31
TE Sam LaPorta 12.0 11.5 / 11.5 $4,600 2.60x $5,600 #10
WR Isaac TeSlaa 4.8 4.4 / 4.4 $3,000 1.59x $4,500 #31
RB Sione Vaki 3.0 3.2 / 3.2 $4,200 0.72x $4,700 #4

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Rush yds 97.5 92.1 -114 DraftKings #9
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Receptions 4.5 3.7 +120 DraftKings #26
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Rec yds 30.5 31.0 -112 DraftKings #26
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET Receptions 7.5 7.9 +117 DraftKings #26
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET Rec yds 77.5 84.8 -112 DraftKings #26
Drake Maye QB NE Pass TD 1.5 1.8 -128 FanDuel #31
Drake Maye QB NE Pass yds 260.5 227.8 -113 DraftKings #32
Drake Maye QB NE Rush yds 26.5 21.9 -109 DraftKings #8
Jared Goff QB DET Pass TD 1.5 1.8 -170 DraftKings #18
Jared Goff QB DET Pass yds 267.5 251.6 -110 Fanatics #26
Jared Goff QB DET Rush yds 0.5 2.4 +104 FanDuel #9
Jameson Williams WR DET Receptions 3.5 3.1 -125 BetMGM #26
Jameson Williams WR DET Rec yds 56.5 52.4 -112 DraftKings #26
Sam LaPorta TE DET Receptions 4.5 4.5 +124 FanDuel #26

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All NE and DET props with AI grades

Injuries

NE 8 listed
  • Out A.J. Brown WR Knee Severe
  • Out Myles Montgomery RB Unknown Severe
  • Out TreVeyon Henderson RB Unknown Severe
  • Out Rhamondre Stevenson RB Unknown Moderate
  • Out Charles Woods CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Harold Landry III OLB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Quest. Ben Brown C Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Brenden Schooler FS Hamstring Minimal
DET 8 listed
  • IR Isiah Pacheco RB Back Severe
  • IR Tom Kennedy WR Knee Severe
  • Playing Jacob Saylors RB Unknown Severe
  • Out Cade Mays C Unknown Minimal
  • Out D.J. Reed CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out D.J. Wonnum DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Giovanni Manu OT Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Roger McCreary CB Foot Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 10 slate

All 14 games this week.
WAS @ NYG
Thu 8:15 PM ET
NYG -1.5
O/U 41.5
Ready
NE @ DET
Sun 9:30 AM ET
DET -2.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BUF @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -4.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
JAX @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -3.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -3.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ ARI
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -9.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SEA @ LV
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SF @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -4.5
O/U 55.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
PIT @ CIN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
LAC @ BAL
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 38.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Nov 11, 10:19 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.