Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET · NBC · Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati DivisionPrimetime Upcoming · Fri 8:20 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-2 · 6-2 last season
Implied23.0
At CIN -3.5 Total 49.5 Live line · PIT +154 · CIN -184
Cincinnati Bengals
6-2 · 6-2 last season
Implied26.5
Line movement open Nov 10 CIN spread -3.5 -3.5 no move Total 49.5 49.5 no move FanDuel

PIT @ CIN: the angle lands Fri 8:20 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
PIT Aaron Rodgers QB 16.1 $5,200 CIN #23 of 32 19.5 Favorable
PIT Jaylen Warren RB 14.4 $6,700 CIN #24 of 32 24.4 Favorable
PIT Germie Bernard WR 10.7 $4,900 CIN #8 of 32 29.5 Neutral
PIT Pat Freiermuth TE 7.6 $3,700 CIN #29 of 32 17.3 Smash
CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR 20.5 $8,100 PIT #16 of 32 30.8 Neutral
CIN Joe Burrow QB 20.3 $7,200 PIT #8 of 32 15.9 Neutral
CIN Chase Brown RB 16.0 $6,400 PIT #5 of 32 19.3 Tough
CIN Mike Gesicki TE 7.0 $3,900 PIT #25 of 32 15.3 Favorable
PIT skill positions vs CIN defense
QB
#23/32
19.5 fpa
Good
RB
#24/32
24.4 fpa
Good
WR
#8/32
29.5 fpa
Avoid
TE
#29/32
17.3 fpa
Elite
CIN skill positions vs PIT defense
QB
#8/32
15.9 fpa
Avoid
RB
#5/32
19.3 fpa
Avoid
WR
#16/32
30.8 fpa
Average
TE
#25/32
15.3 fpa
Elite

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
PIT23.0
CIN26.5
Offense profile
PITRank of 32CIN
22.5 #17 Pts / G 30.0 #2
234.1 #17 Pass yds / G 298.9 #1
117.9 #12 Rush yds / G 85.6 #30
63.2 #11 Plays / G 61.0 #22
60% Pass rate 63%
1.6 Pass TD / G 2.9
0.5 Rush TD / G 0.6
2.9 Sacks taken / G 1.9
0.8 INT thrown / G 0.8
Defense profile
PITRank of 32CIN
18.0 #4 Pts allowed / G 21.9 #14
242.4 #21 Pass yds allowed 248.8 #23
83.9 #3 Rush yds allowed 126.6 #25
3.2 Sacks / G 2.9
0.9 INT / G 0.6
0.9 Pass TD allowed 1.1
0.5 Rush TD allowed 1.0

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 9 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati)

DFS

PIT projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Aaron Rodgers 16.1 15.4 / 15.4 $5,200 3.10x $7,300 #23
RB Jaylen Warren 14.4 15.3 / 15.3 $6,700 2.15x $7,500 #24
WR Germie Bernard 10.7 9.8 / 9.8 $4,900 2.18x $5,400 #8
WR DK Metcalf 10.5 9.8 / 9.8 $5,400 1.94x $6,700 #8
RB Rico Dowdle 9.6 9.8 / 9.8 $5,200 1.85x $5,700 #24
WR Michael Pittman Jr. ir 8.3 8.2 / 8.2 $4,400 1.88x $5,000 #8
TE Pat Freiermuth 7.6 7.6 / 7.6 $3,700 2.04x $5,200 #29
CIN projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
WR Ja'Marr Chase 20.5 21.1 / 21.1 $8,100 2.53x $9,100 #16
QB Joe Burrow 20.3 21.2 / 21.2 $7,200 2.81x $8,600 #8
WR Tee Higgins 16.4 16.5 / 16.5 $7,400 2.22x $7,500 #16
RB Chase Brown 16.0 15.8 / 15.8 $6,400 2.50x $6,900 #5
TE Mike Gesicki 7.0 7.4 / 7.4 $3,900 1.80x $5,300 #25
RB Samaje Perine 6.5 6.0 / 6.0 $4,400 1.48x $5,400 #5
WR Dohnte Meyers 6.4 5.9 / 5.9 $3,400 1.87x $5,100 #16

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN Receptions 8.5 6.6 +115 BetRivers #22
Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN Rec yds 92.5 80.0 -112 DraftKings #22
Joe Burrow QB CIN Pass TD 2.5 2.2 +155 BetOnline #2
Joe Burrow QB CIN Pass yds 290.5 227.9 -111 DraftKings #21
Joe Burrow QB CIN Rush yds 6.5 7.4 -109 DraftKings #3
Tee Higgins WR CIN Receptions 5.5 4.7 -120 FanDuel #22
Tee Higgins WR CIN Rec yds 77.5 73.8 -110 DraftKings #22
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Pass TD 1.5 1.7 +100 BetMGM #6
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Pass yds 240.5 242.7 -112 DraftKings #23
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Rush yds 0.5 3.0 -105 DraftKings #25
Chase Brown RB CIN Rush yds 43.5 61.3 -112 DraftKings #3
Chase Brown RB CIN Receptions 4.5 6.0 +115 BetMGM #22
Chase Brown RB CIN Rec yds 26.5 32.0 -110 Fanatics #22
Jaylen Warren RB PIT Rush yds 61.5 65.9 -110 DraftKings #25

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All PIT and CIN props with AI grades

Injuries

PIT 8 listed
  • Out Cole Burgess WR Unknown Severe
  • IR Roman Wilson WR Finger Severe
  • Playing Ben Skowronek WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Brandin Echols CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Doneiko Slaughter DB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Donte Kent CB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Jack Driscoll OT Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Logan Lee DT Unknown Minimal
CIN 8 listed
  • IR Andrei Iosivas WR Unknown Severe
  • IR Erick All Jr. TE Unknown Severe
  • IR Tanner Hudson TE Pectoral Severe
  • Playing Mitchell Tinsley WR Coach'S Decision Severe
  • Out Kyle Dugger FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Russ Yeast FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Joe Giles-Harris LB Unknown Minimal
  • IR Brian Parker II C Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 10 slate

All 14 games this week.
WAS @ NYG
Thu 8:15 PM ET
NYG -1.5
O/U 41.5
Ready
NE @ DET
Sun 9:30 AM ET
DET -2.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BUF @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -4.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
JAX @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -3.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -3.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ ARI
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -9.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SEA @ LV
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SF @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -4.5
O/U 55.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
PIT @ CIN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
LAC @ BAL
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 38.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Nov 11, 10:19 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.