Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Fox · Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Houston Texans
3-5 · 3-5 last season
Implied22.5
At HOU -4.5 Total 40.5 Live line · HOU -240 · CLE +198
Cleveland Browns
5-4 · 5-4 last season
Implied18.0
Line movement open Nov 10 CLE spread +4.5 +4.5 no move Total 39.5 40.5 1.0 FanDuel

HOU @ CLE: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
HOU C.J. Stroud QB 17.3 $5,900 CLE #3 of 32 13.6 Tough
HOU Woody Marks RB 17.1 $5,700 CLE #27 of 32 26.2 Smash
HOU Nico Collins WR 13.2 $6,900 CLE #3 of 32 26.4 Tough
HOU Dalton Schultz TE 8.5 $3,400 CLE #20 of 32 14.4 Favorable
CLE Deshaun Watson QB 14.9 $5,100 HOU #15 of 32 17.4 Neutral
CLE Denzel Boston WR 10.2 $5,200 HOU #22 of 32 33.6 Favorable
CLE Harold Fannin Jr. TE 9.4 $4,900 HOU #6 of 32 11.1 Tough
CLE Quinshon Judkins RB 8.8 $5,500 HOU #18 of 32 23.0 Neutral
HOU skill positions vs CLE defense
QB
#3/32
13.6 fpa
Avoid
RB
#27/32
26.2 fpa
Elite
WR
#3/32
26.4 fpa
Avoid
TE
#20/32
14.4 fpa
Good
CLE skill positions vs HOU defense
QB
#15/32
17.4 fpa
Average
RB
#18/32
23.0 fpa
Average
WR
#22/32
33.6 fpa
Good
TE
#6/32
11.1 fpa
Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
HOU22.5
CLE18.0
Offense profile
HOURank of 32CLE
26.1 #9 Pts / G 17.9 #29
282.9 #3 Pass yds / G 233.9 #18
87.1 #29 Rush yds / G 97.3 #25
62.0 #16 Plays / G 61.6 #20
59% Pass rate 55%
2.0 Pass TD / G 1.0
0.8 Rush TD / G 0.7
2.0 Sacks taken / G 4.2
0.2 INT thrown / G 0.3
Defense profile
HOURank of 32CLE
24.0 #18 Pts allowed / G 21.8 #13
261.1 #30 Pass yds allowed 220.4 #6
103.0 #13 Rush yds allowed 130.6 #27
3.6 Sacks / G 2.9
0.5 INT / G 0.7
1.5 Pass TD allowed 1.3
1.1 Rush TD allowed 0.9

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 9 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland)

DFS

HOU projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB C.J. Stroud 17.3 17.0 / 17.0 $5,900 2.94x $7,500 #3
RB Woody Marks 17.1 16.9 / 16.9 $5,700 2.99x $6,200 #27
WR Nico Collins 13.2 12.6 / 12.6 $6,900 1.91x $7,500 #3
TE Dalton Schultz 8.5 8.5 / 8.5 $3,400 2.50x $5,000 #20
WR Tank Dell 7.6 7.8 / 7.8 $3,900 1.94x $5,800 #3
WR Xavier Hutchinson 7.6 7.2 / 7.2 $4,000 1.91x $5,500 #3
WR Kayshon Boutte 4.5 4.2 / 4.2 $3,800 1.19x $5,300 #3
CLE projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Deshaun Watson 14.9 14.8 / 14.8 $5,100 2.93x $6,800 #15
WR Denzel Boston 10.2 9.8 / 9.8 $5,200 1.97x $5,500 #22
WR KC Concepcion Jr. 10.1 10.7 / 10.7 $4,800 2.09x $5,700 #22
TE Harold Fannin Jr. 9.4 9.4 / 9.4 $4,900 1.91x $5,700 #6
RB Quinshon Judkins 8.8 8.9 / 8.9 $5,500 1.61x $6,300 #18
RB Dylan Sampson 8.3 7.8 / 7.8 $5,000 1.66x $5,200 #18
WR Jerry Jeudy 5.0 4.8 / 4.8 $3,000 1.67x $4,900 #22

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
C.J. Stroud QB HOU Pass TD 1.5 1.5 +113 BetOnline #8
C.J. Stroud QB HOU Pass yds 241.5 216.8 -110 Fanatics #6
C.J. Stroud QB HOU Rush yds 8.5 9.6 -106 DraftKings #27
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Pass TD 0.5 0.8 -217 DraftKings #16
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Pass yds 205.5 207.6 -113 DraftKings #30
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Rush yds 28.5 24.9 -110 DraftKings #13
Nico Collins WR HOU Receptions 4.5 3.9 +118 DraftKings #6
Nico Collins WR HOU Rec yds 55.5 53.6 -109 DraftKings #6
Denzel Boston WR CLE Receptions 3.5 3.2 +115 Bovada #30
Denzel Boston WR CLE Rec yds 45.5 50.6 -112 DraftKings #30
KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE Receptions 4.5 4.0 +113 DraftKings #30
KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE Rec yds 47.5 47.5 -112 DraftKings #30
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE Receptions 3.5 3.2 -137 BetRivers #30
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE Rec yds 36.5 39.5 -115 DraftKings #30

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All HOU and CLE props with AI grades

Injuries

HOU 8 listed
  • Out David Montgomery RB Groin Severe
  • Out Graham Mertz QB Unknown Severe
  • IR British Brooks RB Hamstring Severe
  • Out Braden Smith OT Unknown Minimal
  • Out E.J. Speed LB Quadriceps Minimal
  • Out Reed Blankenship FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Solomon Byrd DE Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Blake Fisher T Unknown Minimal
CLE 8 listed
  • Out Joe Royer TE Personal Severe
  • IR Raheim Sanders RB Hip Severe
  • Out Damarri Mathis CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Edefuan Ulofoshio LB Biceps Minimal
  • Out Elijah Chatman DT Quadriceps Minimal
  • Out Maliek Collins DT Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Daniel Thomas FS Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Elgton Jenkins C Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 10 slate

All 14 games this week.
WAS @ NYG
Thu 8:15 PM ET
NYG -1.5
O/U 41.5
Ready
NE @ DET
Sun 9:30 AM ET
DET -2.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BUF @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -4.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
JAX @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -3.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -3.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ ARI
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -9.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SEA @ LV
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
SF @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -4.5
O/U 55.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
PIT @ CIN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
LAC @ BAL
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 38.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Nov 11, 10:19 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.