Los Angeles Dodgers

80-54

Detroit Tigers

62-71

6:40 PM ET Comerica Park SportsNet LA

Back the Dodgers on the road behind the better arm and deeper lineup at -186.

Los Angeles pairs the sharper starter with a top-four offense against a middling Detroit attack.

SideBET AWAY ML at LAD -186.

TotalBET UNDER 7.5 given the wind in from left and two high-strikeout arms.

Strong7/10

Confidence

LAD offense ranks 4/30 in runs at 4.93 per game.
Skubal's 3.38 ERA and 1.12 WHIP top Anderson's 4.09 and 1.29.
De-vigged totals give LAD 4.2 runs versus Detroit's 3.3.

Best Bet Los Angeles moneyline at -186 is the highest-conviction play.

Total7.5

LAD Win65%

DET Win37%

Implied LAD4.2

Implied DET3.3

Vegas / Market

Total

7.5

Run line

DET 1.5

LAD ML

-186 65%

DET ML

+172 37%

LAD4.2

DET3.3

The de-vigged team totals of 4.2 for LAD and 3.3 for DET line up with a Dodgers side lean, and -186 is a fair reflection of that gap rather than a soft number. The combined 7.5 total sits close to the 7.5 implied by those splits, so there is little total edge to press. The side is the cleaner market read here.

Pitching Matchup

LAD

Tarik Skubal

1-2 · 24.0 IP

ERA

3.38

WHIP

1.12

K/9

11.3

BB/9

2.6

DET

Drew Anderson

4-5 · 81.1 IP

ERA

4.09

WHIP

1.29

K/9

10.1

BB/9

3.3

Skubal brings the cleaner profile with an 11.25 K/9 against just 2.62 walks per nine, so he misses bats without gifting free passes. Anderson also whiffs hitters at a 10.10 K/9 clip but his 3.33 BB/9 and 8.32 H/9 leave more traffic. Clear edge to Skubal on command and run prevention.

Offense Comparison

LADRank of 30DET

4.9 #4 Runs / G 4.5 #17

0.258 #2 AVG 0.240 #21

1.25 #8 HR / G 1.17 #13

7.87 #25 K / G 8.53 #11

The Dodgers lineup is a premier contact group, ranking 2/30 in average and just 25/30 in strikeouts, making it tough for Anderson to punch through cleanly. Detroit sits 21/30 in average and 11/30 in strikeouts, a weaker match against Skubal's swing-and-miss stuff. Los Angeles carries the far stronger stack appeal top to bottom.

Weather & Park

At first pitch · 6:40 PM ET

5 mph in from LF · favors pitchers

Conditions

Partly Cloudy

Temp

76°

Rain

Humidity

36%

moderate

Now: 66° · 9 mph L to R cross · Sunny

Comerica is outdoor with a 4 mph wind blowing in from left field, a listed negative for run scoring, and just a 2% rain chance at 76F. That points slightly toward suppressed power.

DFS Angles

Stack the Dodgers against Anderson, whose 3.33 BB/9 and 8.32 H/9 fit a contact-heavy top-four ranked offense even with the wind knocking down flies.

Target Skubal as the premium arm given his 3.38 ERA and 11.25 K/9, and treat Anderson as a fade against a loaded LAD lineup.

LAD top bats

Shohei Ohtani 14.4 proj · $6,500 · 2.2x
Freddie Freeman 12.0 proj · $5,500 · 2.2x
Mookie Betts 10.9 proj · $3,900 · 2.8x
Kyle Tucker 10.7 proj · $3,700 · 2.9x
Tommy Edman 10.2 proj · $3,600 · 2.8x

DET top bats

Gleyber Torres 8.8 proj · $4,200 · 2.1x
Kevin McGonigle 8.4 proj · $4,900 · 1.7x
Dillon Dingler 7.9 proj · $5,100 · 1.6x
Spencer Torkelson 7.7 proj · $3,800 · 2.0x
Eduardo Valencia 6.9 proj · $4,600 · 1.5x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Mookie Betts - over on hits - 1.50 projected hits at strong $3900 value (2.79x).
Freddie Freeman - over on hits - team-best 1.65 projected hits versus Anderson.
Shohei Ohtani - RBI lean - team-high 14.4 fpts leading the order.
Spencer Torkelson - HR lean - 0.24 projected HR is Detroit's top power mark.

On watch