Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Indoor Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Chicago Bears
3-2 · 3-2 last season
Implied26.2
At
CHI -3 Total 49.5 Live line · CHI -166 · ATL +140
Atlanta Falcons
2-3 · 2-3 last season
Implied23.2
Line movement open Oct 13
ATL spread
+3 +3
no move
Total
49.5 49.5
no move
FanDuel
CHI @ ATL: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI |
D'Andre Swift | RB | 18.6 | $6,700 | ATL #14 of 32 | 20.9 | Neutral |
| CHI |
Tyson Bagent | QB | 17.5 | $4,700 | ATL #23 of 32 | 19.4 | Favorable |
| CHI |
Luther Burden III | WR | 14.0 | $5,400 | ATL #29 of 32 | 38.5 | Smash |
| CHI |
Colston Loveland | TE | 8.5 | $4,300 | ATL #17 of 32 | 13.0 | Neutral |
| ATL |
Bijan Robinson | RB | 21.4 | $8,700 | CHI #5 of 32 | 19.4 | Tough |
| ATL |
Drake London | WR | 15.7 | $7,000 | CHI #20 of 32 | 34.0 | Favorable |
| ATL |
Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 14.0 | $5,000 | CHI #18 of 32 | 18.1 | Neutral |
| ATL |
Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | 5.0 | $3,700 | CHI #5 of 32 | 9.5 | Tough |
CHI skill positions vs ATL defenseQB
#23/32
19.4 fpa
RB
#14/32
20.9 fpa
WR
#29/32
38.5 fpa
TE
#17/32
13.0 fpa
ATL skill positions vs CHI defenseQB
#18/32
18.1 fpa
RB
#5/32
19.4 fpa
WR
#20/32
34.0 fpa
TE
#5/32
9.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
CHI26.2
ATL23.2
Offense profile
CHIRank of 32ATL
23.8
#14
Pts / G
23.8
#13
235.4
#17
Pass yds / G
208.8
#22
173.2
#1
Rush yds / G
166.8
#2
73.2
#1
Plays / G
62.0
#15
48%
Pass rate
45%
0.8
Pass TD / G
0.8
2.0
Rush TD / G
1.6
2.2
Sacks taken / G
2.2
1.0
INT thrown / G
1.4
Defense profile
CHIRank of 32ATL
19.2
#5
Pts allowed / G
24.4
#21
228.6
#13
Pass yds allowed
261.4
#26
96.0
#9
Rush yds allowed
80.2
#4
2.4
Sacks / G
2.2
0.6
INT / G
0.2
1.2
Pass TD allowed
1.8
1.0
Rush TD allowed
0.6
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 5 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Mercedes-Benz Stadium is a covered venue.
DFS
CHI projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | D'Andre Swift | 18.6 | 10.6 / 28.8 | $6,700 | 2.78x | $6,600 | #14 |
| QB | Tyson Bagent | 17.5 | 10.0 / 25.0 | $4,700 | 3.73x | $6,400 | #23 |
| WR | Luther Burden III | 14.0 | 6.3 / 23.1 | $5,400 | 2.59x | $5,800 | #29 |
| WR | Kalif Raymond | 10.0 | 3.9 / 16.9 | $3,900 | 2.57x | $5,000 | #29 |
| WR | Rome Odunze | 9.3 | 3.3 / 17.1 | $4,900 | 1.91x | $5,900 | #29 |
| TE | Colston Loveland | 8.5 | 3.6 / 16.5 | $4,300 | 1.98x | $5,300 | #17 |
| TE | Cole Kmet | 3.8 | 0.0 / 9.9 | $2,500 | 1.52x | $4,800 | #17 |
ATL projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Bijan Robinson | 21.4 | 13.7 / 31.8 | $8,700 | 2.46x | $9,300 | #5 |
| WR | Drake London | 15.7 | 7.2 / 26.9 | $7,000 | 2.24x | $7,600 | #20 |
| QB | Michael Penix Jr. questionable | 14.0 | 8.0 / 21.0 | $5,000 | 2.81x | $6,900 | #18 |
| RB | Brian Robinson Jr. | 8.0 | 3.6 / 14.8 | $4,700 | 1.71x | $5,400 | #5 |
| TE | Kyle Pitts Sr. | 5.0 | 1.2 / 11.4 | $3,700 | 1.34x | $5,300 | #5 |
| WR | Jahan Dotson | 4.9 | 0.0 / 11.5 | $3,500 | 1.41x | $5,700 | #20 |
| TE | Austin Hooper | 3.8 | 0.0 / 10.5 | $2,500 | 1.52x | $4,600 | #5 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson RB ATL | Rush yds | 89.5 | 97.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #9 |
| Bijan Robinson RB ATL | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | +102 | FanDuel | #13 |
| Bijan Robinson RB ATL | Rec yds | 29.5 | 25.6 | -109 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Drake London WR ATL | Receptions | 6.5 | 5.2 | +124 | FanDuel | #13 |
| Drake London WR ATL | Rec yds | 90.5 | 93.2 | -112 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Luther Burden III WR CHI | Receptions | 4.5 | 5.7 | +130 | BetRivers | #27 |
| Luther Burden III WR CHI | Rec yds | 49.5 | 65.4 | -112 | DraftKings | #27 |
| Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.0 | +100 | FanDuel | #9 |
| Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL | Pass yds | 239.5 | 239.3 | -112 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Kalif Raymond WR CHI | Receptions | 2.5 | 4.6 | +110 | Bovada | #27 |
| Kalif Raymond WR CHI | Rec yds | 22.5 | 43.2 | -109 | DraftKings | #27 |
| Rome Odunze WR CHI | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.7 | -170 | DraftKings | #27 |
| Rome Odunze WR CHI | Rec yds | 41.5 | 58.9 | -114 | DraftKings | #27 |
| Colston Loveland TE CHI | Receptions | 3.5 | 4.6 | +110 | DraftKings | #27 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All CHI and ATL props with AI gradesInjuries
CHI 8 listed- Out Caleb Williams QB Hamstring Severe
- Out Kyle Monangai RB Unknown Severe
- Out Anthony Johnson Jr. FS Unknown Minimal
- Out Dallis Flowers CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Keyshaun Elliott LB Unknown Minimal
- Out Ruben Hyppolite II LB Shoulder Minimal
- Quest. Dayo Odeyingbo DE Quadriceps Minimal
- Quest. T.J. Edwards LB Hamstring Minimal
ATL 8 listed- IR Beaux Collins WR Undisclosed Severe
- IR Trey Sermon RB Unknown Severe
- Quest. Michael Penix Jr. QB Rib Moderate
- Out A.J. Terrell CB Groin Minimal
- Out Anterio Thompson DT Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Za'Darius Smith DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. C.J. Henderson CB Groin Minimal
- IR Cameron Williams OT Ankle Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
CHI last 5L 7-31 @ GBW 23-12 vs NYJW 27-7 vs PHIL 3-9 vs MINW 59-37 @ CAR
ATL last 5L 23-30 vs BALW 45-24 @ NOW 35-14 @ GBL 3-34 vs CARL 13-20 @ PIT
Head-to-head
- Dec 31, 2023 ATL 17 at CHI 37
- Nov 20, 2022 CHI 24 at ATL 27
Week 6 slate
Swipe for all 14 games this week.
SEA @ DEN
Thu 8:15 PM ET
SEA -2.5
O/U 40.5
Ready
HOU @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BAL @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ PHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PHI -1.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -7.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
PIT @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LA
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -12.5
O/U 51.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BUF @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BUF -5.5
O/U 53.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LAC @ KC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC -8.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ GB
Sun 8:20 PM ET
GB -1.5
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
WAS @ SF
Mon 8:15 PM ET
SF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM