Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2 · 3-2 last season
Implied21.0
At PIT -2.5 Total 39.5 Live line · PIT -142 · TB +120
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-4 · 1-4 last season
Implied18.5
Line movement open Oct 13 TB spread +2.5 +2.5 no move Total 39.5 39.5 no move FanDuel

PIT @ TB: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
PIT Jaylen Warren RB 16.9 $7,000 TB #4 of 32 18.9 Tough
PIT Aaron Rodgers QB 14.9 $5,500 TB #21 of 32 18.5 Favorable
PIT DK Metcalf WR 12.6 $5,700 TB #14 of 32 30.9 Neutral
PIT Pat Freiermuth TE 7.9 $4,400 TB #24 of 32 15.8 Favorable
TB Jalon Daniels QB 17.1 $4,800 PIT #13 of 32 16.7 Neutral
TB Emeka Egbuka WR 11.6 $5,200 PIT #17 of 32 31.8 Neutral
TB Bucky Irving RB 11.4 $6,200 PIT #16 of 32 21.1 Neutral
TB Cade Otton TE 8.6 $3,300 PIT #23 of 32 15.5 Favorable
PIT skill positions vs TB defense
QB
#21/32
18.5 fpa
Good
RB
#4/32
18.9 fpa
Avoid
WR
#14/32
30.9 fpa
Bad
TE
#24/32
15.8 fpa
Good
TB skill positions vs PIT defense
QB
#13/32
16.7 fpa
Bad
RB
#16/32
21.1 fpa
Average
WR
#17/32
31.8 fpa
Average
TE
#23/32
15.5 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
PIT21.0
TB18.5
Offense profile
PITRank of 32TB
22.2 #18 Pts / G 20.0 #25
247.2 #13 Pass yds / G 190.4 #26
101.2 #19 Rush yds / G 133.0 #7
61.6 #18 Plays / G 60.8 #21
63% Pass rate 53%
2.0 Pass TD / G 0.8
0.2 Rush TD / G 1.0
2.8 Sacks taken / G 3.4
0.8 INT thrown / G 1.0
Defense profile
PITRank of 32TB
21.8 #11 Pts allowed / G 22.4 #18
234.2 #17 Pass yds allowed 235.4 #18
103.4 #13 Rush yds allowed 72.8 #2
2.2 Sacks / G 1.2
0.8 INT / G 1.0
1.0 Pass TD allowed 1.4
0.8 Rush TD allowed 0.4

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 5 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay)

DFS

PIT projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Jaylen Warren 16.9 10.2 / 26.1 $7,000 2.42x $7,300 #4
QB Aaron Rodgers 14.9 9.7 / 23.6 $5,500 2.71x $7,300 #21
WR DK Metcalf 12.6 5.8 / 22.2 $5,700 2.21x $6,800 #14
WR Roman Wilson out 9.2 3.9 / 17.7 $4,400 2.10x $5,800 #14
TE Pat Freiermuth 7.9 3.4 / 15.2 $4,400 1.80x $5,000 #24
WR Germie Bernard 6.8 2.1 / 12.2 $4,000 1.70x $5,100 #14
TE Darnell Washington 6.7 1.8 / 12.3 $2,900 2.30x $4,700 #24
TB projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Jalon Daniels 17.1 10.5 / 24.9 $4,800 3.57x $6,700 #13
WR Emeka Egbuka 11.6 5.1 / 20.9 $5,200 2.23x $6,200 #17
RB Bucky Irving 11.4 6.8 / 19.0 $6,200 1.85x $7,500 #16
WR Chris Godwin Jr. 9.7 4.5 / 17.1 $4,400 2.21x $5,400 #17
TE Cade Otton 8.6 3.9 / 15.2 $3,300 2.60x $5,000 #23
RB Kenny Gainwell 6.3 2.8 / 12.4 $4,400 1.43x $5,000 #16
WR Ted Hurst III 6.0 1.2 / 12.8 $3,000 1.99x $5,000 #17

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Injuries

PIT 8 listed
  • Out Ben Skowronek WR Calf Severe
  • Out Cole Burgess WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Rico Dowdle RB Toe Severe
  • Out Roman Wilson WR Finger Severe
  • Out Donte Kent CB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Jack Driscoll OT Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Jamel Dean CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Logan Lee DT Unknown Minimal
TB 8 listed
  • Out Baker Mayfield QB Unknown Severe
  • IR David Sills WR Hamstring Severe
  • IR Jalen McMillan WR Knee Severe
  • Out Antoine Winfield Jr. FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Benjamin Morrison CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Mohamed Kamara OLB Knee Minimal
  • Out SirVocea Dennis LB Unknown Minimal
  • IR Josh Hayes CB Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 6 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
Updated Oct 14, 9:31 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.