Sun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom Neutral site Division Upcoming · Fri 9:30 AM

Houston Texans

1-4 · 1-4 last season

Implied20.0

Neutral site JAX -2.5 Total 42.5 Live line · HOU +122 · JAX -144

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-1 · 4-1 last season

Implied22.5

Line movement open Oct 13 JAX spread -2.5 -2.5 no move Total 42.5 42.5 no move FanDuel

HOU @ JAX: the angle lands Fri 9:30 AM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
HOU	Nico Collins	WR	17.8	$7,200	JAX #24 of 32	35.5	Favorable
HOU	C.J. Stroud	QB	16.6	$5,600	JAX #12 of 32	16.3	Neutral
HOU	David Montgomery	RB	12.0	$5,900	JAX #1 of 32	17.4	Tough
HOU	Dalton Schultz	TE	9.3	$3,900	JAX #9 of 32	11.6	Neutral
JAX	Trevor Lawrence	QB	18.6	$5,900	HOU #8 of 32	15.6	Neutral
JAX	Parker Washington	WR	14.0	$6,400	HOU #23 of 32	35.1	Favorable
JAX	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	12.2	$5,600	HOU #3 of 32	18.6	Tough
JAX	Brenton Strange	TE	8.7	$4,000	HOU #8 of 32	10.6	Neutral

HOU skill positions vs JAX defense

#12/32

16.3 fpa

Bad

#1/32

17.4 fpa

Avoid

#24/32

35.5 fpa

Good

#9/32

11.6 fpa

Bad

JAX skill positions vs HOU defense

#8/32

15.6 fpa

Avoid

#3/32

18.6 fpa

Avoid

#23/32

35.1 fpa

Good

#8/32

10.6 fpa

Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

HOU20.0

JAX22.5

Offense profile

HOURank of 32JAX

22.0 #19 Pts / G 24.6 #12

280.6 #5 Pass yds / G 234.8 #18

79.0 #31 Rush yds / G 114.2 #15

63.4 #12 Plays / G 58.6 #27

61% Pass rate 51%

1.2 Pass TD / G 2.0

1.0 Rush TD / G 0.8

2.8 Sacks taken / G 2.0

0.0 INT thrown / G 0.6

Defense profile

HOURank of 32JAX

22.4 #16 Pts allowed / G 14.0 #2

262.8 #27 Pass yds allowed 277.2 #30

78.4 #3 Rush yds allowed 63.8 #1

3.6 Sacks / G 2.2

0.4 INT / G 1.2

1.2 Pass TD allowed 0.8

1.0 Rush TD allowed 0.6

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 5 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom)

DFS

HOU projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
WR	Nico Collins	17.8	8.6 / 29.4	$7,200	2.47x	$7,700	#24
QB	C.J. Stroud	16.6	10.4 / 24.6	$5,600	2.97x	$7,200	#12
RB	David Montgomery doubtful	12.0	6.0 / 19.6	$5,900	2.03x	$6,500	#1
TE	Dalton Schultz	9.3	3.9 / 15.5	$3,900	2.39x	$5,200	#9
RB	Woody Marks	8.1	3.7 / 14.1	$5,400	1.50x	$6,300	#1
WR	Kayshon Boutte	6.0	1.4 / 12.0	$3,700	1.62x	$5,000	#24
WR	Jaylin Noel	5.1	1.4 / 11.3	$3,200	1.58x	$5,400	#24

JAX projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Trevor Lawrence	18.6	11.6 / 26.8	$5,900	3.16x	$7,900	#8
WR	Parker Washington	14.0	6.2 / 23.9	$6,400	2.19x	$7,400	#23
RB	Bhayshul Tuten	12.2	6.3 / 19.4	$5,600	2.17x	$6,600	#3
WR	Jakobi Meyers	10.2	3.9 / 18.1	$4,700	2.17x	$5,600	#23
TE	Brenton Strange	8.7	3.5 / 16.2	$4,000	2.18x	$5,400	#8
WR	Brian Thomas Jr.	7.0	1.9 / 14.2	$3,700	1.90x	$5,300	#23
RB	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	6.7	2.3 / 13.3	$4,600	1.46x	$5,100	#3

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

Player	Market	Line	Proj	Over	Book	Opp rank
Trevor Lawrence QB JAX	Pass TD	1.5	2.0	+140	BetRivers	#9
Trevor Lawrence QB JAX	Pass yds	225.5	238.0	-111	DraftKings	#27
Trevor Lawrence QB JAX	Rush yds	13.5	12.0	-110	DraftKings	#3
Nico Collins WR HOU	Receptions	5.5	5.2	-134	DraftKings	#30
Nico Collins WR HOU	Rec yds	72.5	67.6	-112	DraftKings	#30
C.J. Stroud QB HOU	Pass TD	1.5	1.0	+125	BetRivers	#2
C.J. Stroud QB HOU	Pass yds	252.5	239.9	-112	DraftKings	#30
C.J. Stroud QB HOU	Rush yds	9.5	12.1	-110	BetMGM	#1
Parker Washington WR JAX	Receptions	4.5	3.6	-113	DraftKings	#26
Parker Washington WR JAX	Rec yds	63.5	58.4	-111	DraftKings	#26
Bhayshul Tuten RB JAX	Rush yds	64.5	66.6	-110	DraftKings	#3
Bhayshul Tuten RB JAX	Receptions	1.5	1.7	-106	FanDuel	#26
Bhayshul Tuten RB JAX	Rec yds	7.5	14.9	-110	BetOnline	#26
Jakobi Meyers WR JAX	Receptions	2.5	3.2	+135	BetMGM	#26