Mon Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET · ESPN · Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Primetime Upcoming · Sat 8:15 PM
Washington Commanders
1-3 · 1-3 last season
Implied21.5
At SF -7.5 Total 50.5 Live line · WAS +330 · SF -420
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 · 5-0 last season
Implied29.0
Line movement open Oct 13 SF spread -7.5 -7.5 no move Total 50.5 50.5 no move FanDuel

WAS @ SF: the angle lands Sat 8:15 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
WAS Jayden Daniels QB 17.0 $6,000 SF #10 of 32 16.1 Neutral
WAS Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB 10.7 $5,100 SF #23 of 32 24.2 Favorable
WAS Terry McLaurin WR 10.3 $5,100 SF #12 of 32 30.7 Neutral
WAS Chig Okonkwo TE 7.4 $3,300 SF #13 of 32 11.8 Neutral
SF Christian McCaffrey RB 20.9 $7,900 WAS #17 of 32 21.3 Neutral
SF Brock Purdy QB 19.0 $6,800 WAS #31 of 32 23.3 Smash
SF Mike Evans WR 14.4 $6,500 WAS #32 of 32 39.3 Smash
SF George Kittle TE 14.4 $5,200 WAS #30 of 32 19.4 Smash
WAS skill positions vs SF defense
QB
#10/32
16.1 fpa
Bad
RB
#23/32
24.2 fpa
Good
WR
#12/32
30.7 fpa
Bad
TE
#13/32
11.8 fpa
Bad
SF skill positions vs WAS defense
QB
#31/32
23.3 fpa
Elite
RB
#17/32
21.3 fpa
Average
WR
#32/32
39.3 fpa
Elite
TE
#30/32
19.4 fpa
Elite

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
WAS21.5
SF29.0
Offense profile
WASRank of 32SF
23.0 #17 Pts / G 30.8 #3
197.0 #25 Pass yds / G 239.2 #15
139.6 #6 Rush yds / G 128.6 #8
64.0 #10 Plays / G 56.8 #30
52% Pass rate 51%
1.6 Pass TD / G 2.6
0.8 Rush TD / G 1.2
2.0 Sacks taken / G 0.6
0.2 INT thrown / G 0.4
Defense profile
WASRank of 32SF
29.8 #30 Pts allowed / G 18.6 #3
268.8 #29 Pass yds allowed 211.4 #8
95.4 #8 Rush yds allowed 97.6 #10
1.8 Sacks / G 2.2
0.6 INT / G 0.6
2.8 Pass TD allowed 1.0
0.6 Rush TD allowed 0.6

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 5 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Levi's Stadium, San Francisco)

DFS

WAS projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Jayden Daniels 17.0 10.6 / 24.6 $6,000 2.83x $7,900 #10
RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10.7 5.0 / 17.3 $5,100 2.09x $6,000 #23
WR Terry McLaurin 10.3 4.0 / 18.1 $5,100 2.02x $6,000 #12
WR Antonio Williams 9.9 3.9 / 16.4 $4,100 2.42x $5,200 #12
RB Rachaad White 7.8 3.3 / 12.9 $4,600 1.70x $5,300 #23
TE Chig Okonkwo 7.4 2.8 / 13.5 $3,300 2.23x $4,900 #13
RB Austin Ekeler 5.1 1.8 / 10.1 $4,200 1.22x $5,000 #23
SF projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Christian McCaffrey 20.9 12.8 / 31.1 $7,900 2.65x $8,600 #17
QB Brock Purdy 19.0 12.5 / 29.3 $6,800 2.79x $8,200 #31
WR Mike Evans 14.4 6.5 / 24.6 $6,500 2.21x $7,400 #32
TE George Kittle 14.4 7.3 / 25.7 $5,200 2.76x $6,700 #30
WR Deebo Samuel Sr. out 12.8 5.6 / 20.3 $5,500 2.33x $6,600 #32
RB Kaelon Black 3.5 1.2 / 8.5 $4,400 0.80x $4,800 #17
WR Jordan Watkins 2.8 0.0 / 8.2 $3,000 0.95x $5,400 #32

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Christian McCaffrey RB SF Rush yds 60.5 65.6 -112 DraftKings #8
Christian McCaffrey RB SF Receptions 4.5 4.4 -118 FanDuel #29
Christian McCaffrey RB SF Rec yds 38.5 31.4 -114 FanDuel #29
Brock Purdy QB SF Pass TD 2.5 2.1 +150 BetRivers #30
Brock Purdy QB SF Pass yds 246.5 191.3 -112 DraftKings #29
Brock Purdy QB SF Rush yds 17.5 20.5 -110 BetRivers #8
Jayden Daniels QB WAS Pass TD 1.5 0.8 +133 BetRivers #3
Jayden Daniels QB WAS Pass yds 202.5 115.1 -112 DraftKings #8
Jayden Daniels QB WAS Rush yds 36.5 50.9 -109 DraftKings #10
Mike Evans WR SF Receptions 5.5 4.0 -123 BetOnline #29
Mike Evans WR SF Rec yds 73.5 54.0 -113 DraftKings #29
George Kittle TE SF Receptions 5.5 4.2 +105 Bovada #29
George Kittle TE SF Rec yds 64.5 53.6 -113 DraftKings #29
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS Rush yds 39.5 56.8 -110 DraftKings #10

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All WAS and SF props with AI grades

Injuries

WAS 8 listed
  • Out Marcus Mariota QB Unknown Severe
  • Out Stefon Diggs WR Unknown Severe
  • IR Jaylin Lane WR Ankle Severe
  • IR Jeremy McNichols RB Quadriceps Severe
  • Out Charles Omenihu DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Nick Cross FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Percy Butler FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Tyler Owens FS Unknown Minimal
SF 8 listed
  • Out Deebo Samuel WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Isaac Guerendo RB Pectoral Severe
  • Out Ricky Pearsall WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Andrew Farmer DE Back Minimal
  • Out Garret Wallow LB Unknown Minimal
  • Out James Thompson Jr. DT Ankle Minimal
  • Out Kyle Juszczyk FB Knee Minimal
  • Out Marques Sigle FS Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 6 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
SEA @ DEN
Thu 8:15 PM ET
SEA -2.5
O/U 40.5
Ready
HOU @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
BAL @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -4.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CAR @ PHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PHI -1.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -7.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
PIT @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LA
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -12.5
O/U 51.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BUF @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BUF -5.5
O/U 53.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LAC @ KC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC -8.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ GB
Sun 8:20 PM ET
GB -1.5
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
WAS @ SF
Mon 8:15 PM ET
SF -7.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Oct 14, 9:31 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.