Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Cleveland Browns
0-1 · 5-11 last season
Implied16.5
At TB -8.5 Total 41.5 Live line · CLE +350 · TB -450
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-1 · 6-10 last season
Implied25.0
Line movement open Sep 15 TB spread -8.5 -8.5 no move Total 41.5 41.5 no move FanDuel

CLE @ TB: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
CLE Deshaun Watson QB 13.9 $4,500 TB #28 of 32 20.8 Smash
CLE Quinshon Judkins RB 10.6 $5,400 TB #17 of 32 23.2 Neutral
CLE Harold Fannin Jr. TE 10.1 $4,100 TB #32 of 32 18.7 Smash
CLE KC Concepcion WR 9.4 $4,100 TB #6 of 32 28.5 Tough
TB Baker Mayfield QB 16.4 $5,600 CLE #10 of 32 16.2 Neutral
TB Bucky Irving RB 14.1 $6,100 CLE #13 of 32 22.3 Neutral
TB Emeka Egbuka WR 12.5 $6,400 CLE #14 of 32 30.1 Neutral
TB Cade Otton TE 8.6 $3,400 CLE #15 of 32 12.9 Neutral
CLE skill positions vs TB defense
QB
#28/32
20.8 fpa
Elite
RB
#17/32
23.2 fpa
Average
WR
#6/32
28.5 fpa
Avoid
TE
#32/32
18.7 fpa
Elite
TB skill positions vs CLE defense
QB
#10/32
16.2 fpa
Bad
RB
#13/32
22.3 fpa
Bad
WR
#14/32
30.1 fpa
Bad
TE
#15/32
12.9 fpa
Average

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
CLE16.5
TB25.0
Offense profile
CLERank of 32TB
16.0 #31 Pts / G 22.8 #15
178.1 #31 Pass yds / G 224.8 #18
98.2 #28 Rush yds / G 110.4 #22
58.5 #24 Plays / G 62.0 #17
55% Pass rate 54%
0.9 Pass TD / G 1.3
0.6 Rush TD / G 0.9
3.2 Sacks taken / G 2.3
1.0 INT thrown / G 0.7
Defense profile
CLERank of 32TB
22.2 #11 Pts allowed / G 25.3 #24
195.6 #5 Pass yds allowed 255.1 #29
125.9 #21 Rush yds allowed 102.3 #4
3.0 Sacks / G 2.1
0.7 INT / G 0.9
1.5 Pass TD allowed 1.8
0.8 Rush TD allowed 0.9

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-16, 20 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay)

DFS

CLE projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Deshaun Watson 13.9 8.4 / 22.1 $4,500 3.08x $6,600 #28
RB Quinshon Judkins 10.6 6.8 / 20.9 $5,400 1.96x $6,000 #17
TE Harold Fannin Jr. 10.1 5.1 / 20.5 $4,100 2.46x $5,500 #32
WR KC Concepcion 9.4 4.0 / 18.7 $4,100 2.30x $5,300 #6
WR Jerry Jeudy 7.2 2.4 / 15.6 $3,900 1.85x $5,300 #6
WR Denzel Boston 6.1 1.9 / 14.7 $4,200 1.45x $4,700 #6
RB Dylan Sampson ir 5.4 2.6 / 13.9 $4,400 1.22x $5,000 #17
TB projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Baker Mayfield 16.4 11.2 / 27.9 $5,600 2.92x $7,600 #10
RB Bucky Irving 14.1 7.9 / 24.6 $6,100 2.31x $7,900 #13
WR Emeka Egbuka 12.5 5.4 / 23.1 $6,400 1.96x $6,500 #14
WR Chris Godwin Jr. 11.1 5.4 / 23.4 $5,600 1.98x $5,800 #14
RB Kenny Gainwell 10.7 6.5 / 21.7 $5,100 2.09x $5,200 #13
TE Cade Otton 8.6 3.4 / 18.2 $3,400 2.54x $4,800 #15
WR Ted Hurst III 5.9 1.1 / 14.5 $3,200 1.85x $4,900 #14

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Baker Mayfield QB TB Pass yds 215.5 215.8 -110 Fanatics #5
KC Concepcion WR CLE Rush yds 5.5 16.1 -170 Fanatics #4
Cade Otton TE TB Rec yds 30.5 40.3 -135 Fanatics #5

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All CLE and TB props with AI grades

Injuries

CLE 8 listed
  • Out Joe Royer TE Personal Severe
  • Out Damarri Mathis CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Daniel Thomas FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Edefuan Ulofoshio LB Biceps Minimal
  • Out Elijah Chatman DT Quadriceps Minimal
  • Out Kendrick Green G Unknown Minimal
  • Out Noah Igbinoghene CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Parker Brailsford C Thumb Minimal
TB 8 listed
  • Out David Sills WR Undisclosed Severe
  • Out Jalen McMillan WR Knee Severe
  • Out Sean Tucker RB Hamstring Severe
  • Out Justin Skule OT Oblique Minimal
  • Out Mohamed Kamara OLB Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Jacob Parrish CB Back Minimal
  • IR Deshawn McKnight DT Hamstring Minimal
  • IR Josh Hayes CB Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 2 slate

Swipe for all 16 games this week.
Updated Sep 16, 9:35 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.