Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM

New Orleans Saints

0-1 · 6-10 last season

Implied19.5

At BAL -8.5 Total 47.5 Live line · NO +330 · BAL -420

Baltimore Ravens

1-0 · 8-8 last season

Implied28.0

Line movement open Sep 15 BAL spread -8.5 -8.5 no move Total 47.5 47.5 no move FanDuel

NO @ BAL: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
NO	Tyler Shough	QB	16.3	$5,300	BAL #15 of 32	17.0	Neutral
NO	Chris Olave	WR	15.2	$7,200	BAL #26 of 32	34.2	Smash
NO	Travis Etienne Jr.	RB	14.8	$6,000	BAL #18 of 32	23.6	Neutral
NO	Juwan Johnson	TE	9.1	$3,900	BAL #5 of 32	10.9	Tough
BAL	Lamar Jackson	QB	19.3	$7,300	NO #4 of 32	14.4	Tough
BAL	Zay Flowers	WR	16.5	$6,700	NO #7 of 32	28.6	Tough
BAL	Derrick Henry	RB	15.8	$7,200	NO #24 of 32	24.8	Favorable
BAL	Mark Andrews	TE	10.9	$4,400	NO #9 of 32	11.8	Neutral

NO skill positions vs BAL defense

#15/32

17.0 fpa

Average

#18/32

23.6 fpa

Average

#26/32

34.2 fpa

Elite

#5/32

10.9 fpa

Avoid

BAL skill positions vs NO defense

#4/32

14.4 fpa

Avoid

#24/32

24.8 fpa

Good

#7/32

28.6 fpa

Avoid

#9/32

11.8 fpa

Bad

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

NO19.5

BAL28.0

Offense profile

NORank of 32BAL

18.9 #28 Pts / G 24.0 #13

251.1 #6 Pass yds / G 198.2 #25

91.6 #31 Rush yds / G 161.3 #1

64.1 #6 Plays / G 58.4 #26

58% Pass rate 45%

1.2 Pass TD / G 1.1

0.6 Rush TD / G 1.5

3.1 Sacks taken / G 2.6

0.9 INT thrown / G 0.7

Defense profile

NORank of 32BAL

23.0 #16 Pts allowed / G 22.7 #15

194.9 #4 Pass yds allowed 247.4 #24

124.5 #20 Rush yds allowed 105.8 #8

2.4 Sacks / G 1.8

0.6 INT / G 0.7

1.4 Pass TD allowed 1.2

0.9 Rush TD allowed 1.1

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-16, 20 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore)

DFS

NO projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Tyler Shough	16.3	10.9 / 26.6	$5,300	3.07x	$7,000	#15
WR	Chris Olave	15.2	8.0 / 28.4	$7,200	2.11x	$7,900	#26
RB	Travis Etienne Jr.	14.8	9.1 / 26.3	$6,000	2.47x	$6,900	#18
TE	Juwan Johnson	9.1	4.5 / 20.1	$3,900	2.33x	$5,600	#5
WR	Devaughn Vele	8.1	2.9 / 17.2	$4,200	1.92x	$5,500	#26
RB	Kendre Miller	6.0	2.8 / 13.7	$4,500	1.32x	$5,200	#18
TE	Noah Fant	4.4	0.0 / 12.8	$3,400	1.29x	$4,700	#5

BAL projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Lamar Jackson	19.3	13.5 / 31.7	$7,300	2.64x	$8,800	#4
WR	Zay Flowers questionable	16.5	8.5 / 30.1	$6,700	2.46x	$7,600	#7
RB	Derrick Henry	15.8	8.8 / 28.2	$7,200	2.19x	$8,700	#24
TE	Mark Andrews	10.9	4.9 / 23.1	$4,400	2.48x	$5,200	#9
WR	Rashod Bateman	7.0	1.4 / 15.2	$4,400	1.58x	$5,000	#7
RB	Justice Hill	6.5	2.6 / 15.5	$4,200	1.55x	$4,500	#24
WR	Ja'Kobi Lane doubtful	6.2	0.0 / 15.0	$3,900	1.60x	$4,500	#7

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

Player	Market	Line	Proj	Over	Book	Opp rank
Lamar Jackson QB BAL	Pass TD	1.5	1.6	-108	FanDuel	#13
Lamar Jackson QB BAL	Pass yds	228.5	237.7	-113	DraftKings	#4
Lamar Jackson QB BAL	Rush yds	40.5	29.7	-109	DraftKings	#20
Tyler Shough QB NO	Pass TD	1.5	1.1	+162	FanDuel	#5
Tyler Shough QB NO	Pass yds	236.5	226.1	-113	DraftKings	#24
Derrick Henry RB BAL	Rush yds	88.5	78.9	-112	DraftKings	#20
Chris Olave WR NO	Receptions	5.5	5.2	-118	FanDuel	#24
Chris Olave WR NO	Rec yds	69.5	65.9	-112	DraftKings	#24
Devaughn Vele WR NO	Receptions	3.5	3.2	-114	DraftKings	#24
Devaughn Vele WR NO	Rec yds	39.5	36.5	-113	DraftKings	#24