Archived Week 2 breakdown. The odds, projections and picks below are the pregame numbers as published in 2026, not a live board. See this week's breakdowns
Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · CBS · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Division Indoor Final
Las Vegas Raiders
1-0 · 4-13 last season
Final26
At LAC -5.5 Total 40.5 LV covered · Under
Los Angeles Chargers
0-1 · 9-9 last season
Final14
Line movement open Sep 15 LAC spread -6.5 -5.5 1.0 Total 43.5 40.5 3.0
The angle, before kickoff Pass · 3/10

LAC -6.5 with a 25.0 implied total feasts on the NFL's worst offense (LV #32 in points).

SidePASSmodel margin of 6.5 equals the spread of 6.5, no edge.
TotalPASSprojected total sits right on the 43.5 line.
Best bet
Herbert at $6000 (3.21x) is the top DFS value with a 19.2 projection and a leading game script.
Quick hits
  • LAC -6.5, total 43.5, implied LV 18.5 / LAC 25.0.
  • Low-scoring lean: LV offense ranks #32 in points and #32 in rush yards.
  • Herbert vs LV #15 QB defense, with LV soft #20 versus WR.
  • LAC leads and controls; LV #32 in plays trails and throws behind.
  • McConkey (ribs) questionable swings the LAC passing ceiling.

Key matchups

  • McConkey vs LV #20 WR: 31.0 fpa, FAVORABLE, but ribs questionable.
  • Herbert vs LV #15 QB: 17.0 fpa, NEUTRAL, top home projection at 19.2.
  • Cousins vs LAC #2 QB: 14.1 fpa, TOUGH, worst matchup on the board.
  • Tucker vs LAC #5 WR: 28.4 fpa, TOUGH, only 6.4 projected.
  • Jeanty vs LAC #7 RB: 19.1 fpa, TOUGH, projection capped at 15.2.
  • Njoku vs LV #2 TE: 9.0 fpa, TOUGH, just 5.0 projected.
LV skill positions vs LAC defense
QB
#7/32
15.3 fpa
Avoid
RB
#2/32
17.8 fpa
Avoid
WR
#20/32
32.4 fpa
Good
TE
#15/32
12.4 fpa
Average
LAC skill positions vs LV defense
QB
#10/32
15.8 fpa
Bad
RB
#9/32
21.3 fpa
Bad
WR
#8/32
28.7 fpa
Avoid
TE
#3/32
10.3 fpa
Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

  • LAC plays fast (#8 in plays); LV grinds slow at #32 in plays.
  • LAC favored by 6.5 stays balanced; LV #32 offense forced to pass and chase.
  • Points skew LAC: 25.0 implied versus LV's 18.5, red-zone edge to Herbert.
Projected points (market implied)
LV17.5
LAC23.0
Offense profile
LVRank of 32LAC
15.6 #32 Pts / G 19.6 #26
187.6 #30 Pass yds / G 219.8 #19
81.2 #32 Rush yds / G 121.7 #11
55.8 #32 Plays / G 63.9 #8
56% Pass rate 55%
1.5 Pass TD / G 1.3
0.2 Rush TD / G 0.7
3.5 Sacks taken / G 3.7
1.1 INT thrown / G 0.9
Defense profile
LVRank of 32LAC
25.1 #23 Pts allowed / G 21.0 #9
208.6 #11 Pass yds allowed 204.4 #7
120.4 #17 Rush yds allowed 108.0 #9
2.3 Sacks / G 2.7
0.6 INT / G 1.0
1.2 Pass TD allowed 1.1
1.4 Rush TD allowed 0.9

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-21, 21 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. SoFi Stadium is a covered venue.
  • Indoor: no weather factor.

DFS

  • Stack Herbert with Johnston or Harris; McConkey ribs adds target volume if he sits.
  • Value: Herbert $6000 at 3.21x is the slate's cleanest points-per-dollar.
  • Fade Tucker $4500 (1.43x) into LAC's #5 WR defense.
  • Contrarian: Tre' Harris $4000 (1.79x) if McConkey is inactive.

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

  • Herbert - passing yards 226.5 - lean over - 19.2 proj versus average #15 defense.
  • Quentin Johnston - receptions 3.5 - lean over - volume climbs if McConkey sits.
  • Jeanty - rushing yards 64.5 - lean under - LAC #7 RB defense, TOUGH.
  • Njoku - receiving yards 25.5 - lean under - LV #2 TE defense, 9.0 fpa.
All LV and LAC props with AI grades

Injuries

LV 8 listed
  • Out Aidan O'Connell QB Personal Severe
  • Out Brock Bowers TE Knee Severe
  • Out Chris Collier RB Undisclosed Severe
  • Out Corey Rucker WR Undisclosed Severe
  • Out Brennan Jackson OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Bryce Cabeldue G Unknown Minimal
  • Out Dalton Johnson FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Darien Porter CB Unknown Minimal
LAC 8 listed
  • Out Alex Harkey G Unknown Minimal
  • Out Deane Leonard CB Abdomen Minimal
  • Out Elijah Molden FS Unknown Minimal
  • Out Isaiah World OT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Isas Waxter CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Logan Taylor G Unknown Minimal
  • Out Trey Pipkins III T Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Charlie Kolar TE Forearm Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Watch list

  • McConkey (ribs) status: questionable WR1 reshapes LAC targets to Harris and Johnston.
  • Brock Bowers (knee) questionable: his absence guts LV's receiving upside.
  • Line check: any move off -6.5 or 43.5 confirms sharp direction.

Week 2 slate

Swipe for all 16 games this week.
DET @ BUF
Thu 8:15 PM ET
BUF -20.5
O/U 58.5
Final
CAR @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -30.5
O/U 37.5
Final
CIN @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -13.5
O/U 31.5
Final
CLE @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB -9.5
O/U 38.5
Final
GB @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -2.5
O/U 37.5
Final
MIN @ CHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 24.5
Final
NO @ BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -11.5
O/U 39.5
Final
PHI @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PHI -6.5
O/U 43.5
Final
PIT @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -7.5
O/U 28.5
Final
JAX @ DEN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -7.5
O/U 35.5
Final
LV @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LAC -5.5
O/U 40.5
Final
MIA @ SF
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -29.5
O/U 41.5
Final
SEA @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -18.5
O/U 37.5
Final
WAS @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DAL -16.5
O/U 53.5
Final
IND @ KC
Sun 8:20 PM ET
KC -6.5
O/U 45.5
Final
NYG @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -6.5
O/U 47.5
Kicked off
Updated Sep 19, 9:59 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.