Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET · NBC · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City Primetime Upcoming · Fri 8:20 PM

Indianapolis Colts

0-1 · 6-10 last season

Implied20.5

At KC -6.5 Total 47.5 Live line · IND +270 · KC -335

Kansas City Chiefs

1-0 · 7-9 last season

Implied27.0

Line movement open Sep 15 KC spread -6.5 -6.5 no move Total 47.5 47.5 no move FanDuel

IND @ KC: the angle lands Fri 8:20 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
KC	Kenneth Walker III	RB	17.5	$6,500	IND #25 of 32	25.1	Favorable
KC	Patrick Mahomes	QB	16.8	$5,500	IND #27 of 32	20.7	Smash
KC	Rashee Rice	WR	15.4	$6,500	IND #31 of 32	38.1	Smash
KC	Travis Kelce	TE	11.2	$4,000	IND #23 of 32	14.8	Favorable

IND skill positions vs KC defense

#3/32

14.3 fpa

Avoid

#3/32

18.0 fpa

Avoid

#4/32

25.5 fpa

Avoid

#12/32

12.5 fpa

Bad

KC skill positions vs IND defense

#27/32

20.7 fpa

Elite

#25/32

25.1 fpa

Elite

#31/32

38.1 fpa

Elite

#23/32

14.8 fpa

Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

IND20.5

KC27.0

Offense profile

INDRank of 32KC

26.7 #8 Pts / G 22.2 #18

229.4 #16 Pass yds / G 232.2 #15

111.3 #21 Rush yds / G 113.3 #19

58.4 #27 Plays / G 63.3 #11

57% Pass rate 56%

1.5 Pass TD / G 1.4

1.6 Rush TD / G 0.9

1.8 Sacks taken / G 2.8

0.9 INT thrown / G 0.8

Defense profile

INDRank of 32KC

26.1 #26 Pts allowed / G 18.2 #3

277.6 #32 Pass yds allowed 200.0 #6

108.6 #9 Rush yds allowed 102.9 #5

2.4 Sacks / G 2.1

0.7 INT / G 0.7

1.3 Pass TD allowed 1.0

1.2 Rush TD allowed 0.8

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-15, 20 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City)

DFS

KC projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
RB	Kenneth Walker III	17.5	10.4 / 28.8	$6,500	2.69x	$7,500	#25
QB	Patrick Mahomes	16.8	10.8 / 26.6	$5,500	3.05x	$7,900	#27
WR	Rashee Rice	15.4	8.3 / 28.5	$6,500	2.37x	$7,600	#31
TE	Travis Kelce	11.2	5.2 / 21.6	$4,000	2.79x	$5,500	#23
WR	Xavier Worthy	9.2	3.3 / 16.4	$4,500	2.05x	$6,200	#31
RB	Emmett Johnson	4.6	1.9 / 11.3	$4,500	1.02x	$4,400	#25
WR	Tyquan Thornton	3.9	0.0 / 10.6	$3,500	1.11x	$5,000	#31