Archived Week 2 breakdown. The odds, projections and picks below are the pregame numbers as published in 2026, not a live board. See this week's breakdowns

Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · Nissan Stadium, Tennessee Final

Philadelphia Eagles

1-0 · 11-7 last season

Final24

At PHI -6.5 Total 43.5 TEN covered · Over

Tennessee Titans

0-1 · 3-14 last season

Final20

Line movement open Sep 15 TEN spread +7 +6.5 0.5 Total 39.5 43.5 4.0

The angle, before kickoff Lean · 5/10

DeVonta Smith into TEN's 27th-ranked WR defense is the smash of a 39.5 total.

SideBET AWAY -7PHI implied 23.2 to 16.2 is a 7-point margin at the number.

TotalBET UNDER 39.5TEN #30 offense and PHI #7 QB defense cap scoring.

Best bet

DeVonta Smith over 4.5 receptions against Tennessee's 27th-ranked WR defense.

Quick hits

PHI -7, total 39.5, implied PHI 23.2 / TEN 16.2.
Low-scoring: TEN offense ranks #30 in points, 39.5 is a modest line.
DeVonta Smith vs TEN #27 vs WR (34.7 fpa) is the game's clear edge.
PHI leads and runs Barkley late; TEN trails and throws at 61%.
Titans facing PHI #7 QB and #1 TE defenses caps their upside.

Key matchups

DeVonta Smith vs TEN #27 vs WR: 34.7 fpa, softest spot, smash.
Dallas Goedert vs TEN #24 vs TE: 14.9 fpa, favorable projection 10.0.
Jalen Hurts vs TEN #22 vs QB: 18.2 fpa, favorable, proj 18.9.
Cam Ward vs PHI #7 vs QB: 15.9 fpa, tough, proj 12.4.
Gunnar Helm vs PHI #1 vs TE: 8.2 fpa, toughest spot, fade.
Saquon Barkley vs TEN #11 vs RB: 21.9 fpa, neutral, proj 15.0.

PHI skill positions vs TEN defense

#22/32

18.2 fpa

Good

#12/32

21.5 fpa

Bad

#30/32

38.4 fpa

Elite

#21/32

13.1 fpa

Good

TEN skill positions vs PHI defense

#15/32

16.6 fpa

Average

#15/32

22.0 fpa

Average

#5/32

27.5 fpa

Avoid

#1/32

7.4 fpa

Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

PHI slow at 60 plays, 52% pass; TEN 58 plays, 61% pass trailing.
Eagles favored by 7 script leans Barkley run and clock control.
Points skew Philly: 23.2 implied vs 16.2, PHI 1.8 pass TD to TEN 0.9.

Projected points (market implied)

PHI25.0

TEN18.5

Offense profile

PHIRank of 32TEN

22.3 #19 Pts / G 16.6 #30

215.6 #20 Pass yds / G 192.8 #27

115.2 #17 Rush yds / G 94.1 #29

60.4 #21 Plays / G 57.9 #29

52% Pass rate 60%

1.8 Pass TD / G 0.9

0.8 Rush TD / G 0.6

2.2 Sacks taken / G 2.9

0.5 INT thrown / G 0.5

Defense profile

PHIRank of 32TEN

19.6 #8 Pts allowed / G 27.8 #28

207.8 #10 Pass yds allowed 248.6 #26

122.4 #19 Rush yds allowed 111.1 #10

2.4 Sacks / G 2.5

0.7 INT / G 0.3

1.0 Pass TD allowed 1.7

1.1 Rush TD allowed 1.2

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-21, 21 games per team.

Weather

At kickoff · 2026-09-20 12:00 local Low impact

Conditions

Light rain shower

Temp

75°F

feels 78°

Wind

7 mph NNE

gusts 7 mph

Rain

51%

0.02 in

Humidity

81%

Rain chance 51%: watch for showers at kickoff

WeatherAPI hourly forecast · Grass surface

Cloudy, 70F, wind 7 mph, rain 17%: no weather factor.
Passing and kicking unaffected; total driven by matchups not conditions.

DFS

Stack Hurts with Smith and Goedert against soft TEN pass funnels.
Goedert $4800 at 2.09x is the value versus #24 TE defense.
Fade Gunnar Helm into PHI #1 TE defense at 8.2 fpa.
Contrarian: Barkley $7000 chalk into #11 RB defense, pivot to Smith ceiling 23.3.

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

DeVonta Smith - receptions 4.5 (o+140) - lean over - #27 WR matchup, proj 10.6.
Dallas Goedert - receiving yards 38.5 (o-110) - lean over - #24 TE, proj 10.0.
Cam Ward - passing yards 188.5 (o-113) - lean under - PHI #7 QB defense, proj 12.4.
Gunnar Helm - receiving yards 22.5 (o-110) - lean under - PHI #1 TE defense.

All PHI and TEN props with AI grades

Injuries

PHI 8 listed

Out Cole Payton QB Coach'S Decision Severe
Out Elijah Moore WR Coach'S Decision Severe
Out Johnny Wilson WR Knee Severe
Out Tanner McKee QB Coach'S Decision Severe
Out Andre' Sam FS Foot Minimal
Out Jonathan Greenard OLB Unknown Minimal
Out Micah Morris G Unknown Minimal
Out Tucker Large FS Unknown Minimal

TEN 8 listed

Out Jaren Kanak TE Unknown Severe
Out Kylen Granson TE Coach'S Decision Severe
Out Atonio Mafi G Unknown Minimal
Out Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson OT Unknown Minimal
Out Cordale Flott CB Quadriceps Minimal
Out Jackie Marshall DT Unknown Minimal
Out James Williams LB Elbow Minimal
Out Jaylen Harrell DE Unknown Minimal

Full NFL injury report

Trends & head-to-head

PHI 1-0, beat WAS 24-22; TEN 0-1, lost 10-23 to NYJ.
H2H: PHI blew out TEN 35-10 in 2022.
Line static: spread PHI -7 and total 39.5 unchanged since open.

PHI last 5

W 24-20 @ TENW 24-22 vs WASL 19-23 vs SFL 17-24 vs WASW 13-12 @ BUF

TEN last 5

L 20-24 vs PHIL 10-23 vs NYJL 7-41 @ JAXL 26-34 vs NOW 26-9 vs KC

Head-to-head

Sep 20, 2026 PHI 24 at TEN 20
Dec 4, 2022 TEN 10 at PHI 35

Watch list

Jalen Carter questionable (wrist) - PHI pass rush impacts TEN passing game.
Cooper DeJean and Mukuba questionable - secondary depth could open TEN receivers.
Andre James questionable (center) - TEN interior line facing PHI front.

Week 2 slate

Swipe for all 16 games this week.

DET @ BUF