Archived Week 2 breakdown. The odds, projections and picks below are the pregame numbers as published in 2026, not a live board. See this week's breakdowns

Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · MetLife Stadium, New York Final

Green Bay Packers

0-1 · 8-9 last season

Final20

At NYJ -2.5 Total 37.5 GB covered · Under

New York Jets

1-0 · 4-13 last season

Final17

Line movement open Sep 15 NYJ spread +3.5 -2.5 6.0 Total 44.5 37.5 7.0

The angle, before kickoff Lean · 4/10

Jacobs out flips MarShawn Lloyd into the #28 RB matchup at $5300.

SidePASSimplied margin 3.5 equals the spread, no edge and Jacobs out.

TotalPASSimplied total 44.5 sits exactly on the line.

Best bet

MarShawn Lloyd over 50.5 rushing yards, lead back with Jacobs out into the #28 run defense.

Quick hits

GB -3.5, total 44.5, implied GB 24.0 - NYJ 20.5.
Moderate scoring, GB offense #16 versus Jets defense allowing #29 in points.
Lloyd versus NYJ #28 RB defense is the decisive edge with Jacobs out.
GB script leads, balanced pass rate near 52%, Jets lean run behind.
Jacobs out and Fitzpatrick questionable reshape both backfields and secondary.

Key matchups

MarShawn Lloyd vs NYJ RB: #28 of 32, 26.1 fpa, smash spot with Jacobs out.
Garrett Wilson vs GB WR: #22 of 32, 31.9 fpa, favorable target hog.
Tucker Kraft vs NYJ TE: #20 of 32, 14.1 fpa, favorable at $4900.
Jordan Love vs NYJ QB: #24 of 32, 18.9 fpa, favorable but modest 17.3 projection.
Breece Hall vs GB RB: #15 of 32, 22.8 fpa, neutral grind spot.
Christian Watson vs NYJ WR: #14 of 32, 30.1 fpa, neutral despite #6200 price.

GB skill positions vs NYJ defense

#21/32

18.1 fpa

Good

#25/32

24.5 fpa

Elite

#15/32

29.7 fpa

Average

#14/32

12.3 fpa

Bad

NYJ skill positions vs GB defense

#14/32

16.6 fpa

Bad

#20/32

22.8 fpa

Good

#22/32

33.2 fpa

Good

#8/32

11.5 fpa

Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Both teams pass 52%, GB 61 plays and NYJ 60, moderate pace.
GB favored by 3.5 should stay balanced, Jets chase and lean run behind.
Points from GB 24.0 implied, Jets 20.5, GB allows 1.5 pass TD keeps NYJ capped.

Projected points (market implied)

GB17.5

NYJ20.0

Offense profile

GBRank of 32NYJ

22.6 #16 Pts / G 17.5 #29

234.5 #14 Pass yds / G 173.2 #32

114.0 #18 Rush yds / G 119.6 #13

60.4 #20 Plays / G 60.9 #19

53% Pass rate 53%

1.7 Pass TD / G 0.8

0.9 Rush TD / G 0.6

1.9 Sacks taken / G 3.5

0.4 INT thrown / G 0.8

Defense profile

GBRank of 32NYJ

23.1 #18 Pts allowed / G 27.6 #27

214.0 #13 Pass yds allowed 218.2 #15

120.6 #18 Rush yds allowed 130.9 #26

2.0 Sacks / G 1.6

0.5 INT / G 0.0

1.5 Pass TD allowed 2.1

1.1 Rush TD allowed 1.0

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-21, 21 games per team.

Weather

At kickoff · 2026-09-20 13:00 local Moderate impact

Conditions

Light rain

Temp

67°F

feels 64°

Wind

13 mph S

gusts 23 mph

Rain

72%

0.04 in

Humidity

86%

Wind 12 mph: minor, mostly on long kicks
Rain chance 72%: watch for showers at kickoff

WeatherAPI hourly forecast · Grass surface

Wind 12 mph gusting 20, rain chance 34%, 66F, minor impact on long kicks.
Passing largely unaffected, slight ding to deep balls and field goals.

DFS

Stack Love with Kraft, both favorable, $5900 and $4900 cheap correlation.
Value Geno Smith $4800 at 3.10x if NYJ script forces volume.
Fade Christian Watson $6200 at 1.75x, neutral matchup, pricey.
Contrarian MarShawn Lloyd $5300, low-owned lead back into #28 RB defense.

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

MarShawn Lloyd - rushing yards 50.5 - over (+150) - lead back vs #28 RB defense.
Garrett Wilson - receiving yards 68.5 - over (+130) - #22 WR matchup, 11.1 projection.
Breece Hall - rushing yards 64.5 - over (+135) - 13.5 projection tops all backs.
Geno Smith - passing yards 207.5 - lean over (+175) - chase script boosts volume.

All GB and NYJ props with AI grades

Injuries

GB 8 listed

Out Josh Jacobs RB Personal Severe
Out Benjamin St-Juste CB Hamstring Minimal
Out Javon Hargrave DE Concussion/Knee Minimal
Out Johnathan Baldwin FS Unknown Minimal
Out Jordon Riley DT Unknown Minimal
Out Travis Glover OT Unknown Minimal
Out Warren Brinson DE Unknown Minimal
Quest. Bo Melton WR Neck Minimal

NYJ 8 listed

Out Kene Nwangwu RB Unknown Severe
Out Blake Grupe K Coach'S Decision Moderate
Out D'Angelo Ponds CB Coach'S Decision Minimal
Out Joseph Ossai OLB Unknown Minimal
Out Minkah Fitzpatrick FS Unknown Minimal
Out Tre Brown CB Undisclosed Minimal
Out Trevin Wallace ILB Unknown Minimal
Quest. Mason Taylor TE Thumb Minimal

Full NFL injury report

Trends & head-to-head

GB lost 5 straight including 22-39 at MIN in Week 1.
NYJ 1-0 after 23-10 win at TEN but 1-5 prior.
Spread and total flat at 3.5 and 44.5 since open, no market lean.

GB last 5

W 20-17 @ NYJL 22-39 @ MINL 27-31 @ CHIL 3-16 @ MINL 24-41 vs BAL

NYJ last 5

L 17-20 vs GBW 23-10 @ TENL 8-35 @ BUFL 10-42 vs NEL 6-29 @ NO

Head-to-head

Sep 20, 2026 GB 20 at NYJ 17
Oct 16, 2022 NYJ 27 at GB 10

Watch list

MarShawn Lloyd workload confirmation, Jacobs out makes him the lead back.
Minkah Fitzpatrick groin status, affects GB passing and Wilson coverage.
Kene Nwangwu and Braelon Allen tags, could shrink Lloyd upside if backfield splits.

Week 2 slate

Swipe for all 16 games this week.

DET @ BUF