Archived Week 2 breakdown.
The odds, projections and picks below are the pregame numbers as published in 2026, not a live board.
See this week's breakdowns
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · ESPN · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Primetime Indoor Live
New York Giants
1-0 · 5-11 last season
Implied20.5
At
LA -6.5 Total 47.5 Closed · NYG +245 · LA -300
Los Angeles Rams
0-1 · 12-7 last season
Implied27.0
Line movement open Sep 15
LA spread
-7.5 -6.5
1.0
Total
48.5 47.5
1.0
FanDuel
The angle
Pass · 2/10
Rams -7.5 with implied 27.5, but the projected margin sits exactly on the number.
SidePASSprojected margin 7.5 lands exactly on the spread with no move.
TotalPASSimplied total 47.5 sits exactly on the line.
Best bet
Kyren Williams over 62.5 rushing yards, NYG ranks #26 vs RB and #30 in rush yards allowed.
Quick hits
- LA -7.5, total 47.5, implied LA 27.5 and NYG 20.0.
- Balanced-to-high scoring, LA offense #1 at 29.4 points vs NYG defense #22.
- Kyren Williams vs NYG #26 vs RB is the decisive edge, SMASH.
- Rams lead and lean pass at 56%, Giants lean run at #4 rush to stay close.
- Puka Nacua questionable (hip) is the swing factor for the LA passing game.
Key matchups
- Malik Nabers vs LA #29 vs WR (37.2 fpa): SMASH, softest spot on the board.
- Kyren Williams vs NYG #26 vs RB (26.0 fpa): SMASH, NYG also #30 rush yards allowed.
- Puka Nacua vs NYG #23 vs WR (32.1 fpa): FAVORABLE, if the hip clears.
- Stafford vs NYG #20 vs QB (17.9 fpa): FAVORABLE, projects 17.7.
- Isaiah Likely vs LA #7 vs TE (11.6 fpa): TOUGH, avoid spot.
- Colby Parkinson vs NYG #3 vs TE (10.5 fpa): TOUGH, only 6.2 projected.
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG |
Jaxson Dart | QB | 19.3 | $5,800 | LA #18 of 32 | 17.9 | Neutral |
| NYG |
Cam Skattebo | RB | 14.2 | $5,900 | LA #18 of 32 | 22.1 | Neutral |
| NYG |
Malik Nabers | WR | 13.9 | $6,500 | LA #29 of 32 | 37.2 | Smash |
| NYG |
Isaiah Likely | TE | 11.6 | $4,500 | LA #9 of 32 | 11.6 | Neutral |
| LA |
Matthew Stafford | QB | 17.4 | $6,000 | NYG #19 of 32 | 17.9 | Neutral |
| LA |
Kyren Williams | RB | 17.2 | $6,400 | NYG #28 of 32 | 26.0 | Smash |
| LA |
Davante Adams | WR | 15.5 | $5,900 | NYG #19 of 32 | 32.1 | Neutral |
| LA |
Terrance Ferguson | TE | 8.4 | $2,700 | NYG #4 of 32 | 10.5 | Tough |
NYG skill positions vs LA defenseQB
#18/32
17.9 fpa
RB
#18/32
22.1 fpa
WR
#29/32
37.2 fpa
TE
#9/32
11.6 fpa
LA skill positions vs NYG defenseQB
#19/32
17.9 fpa
RB
#28/32
26.0 fpa
WR
#19/32
32.1 fpa
TE
#4/32
10.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
- LA pace fast at 65 plays #3, 56% pass; NYG 64 plays #7 but 49% pass.
- Rams favored by 7.5 script toward passing, Giants trail and lean run to control clock.
- Points from LA implied 27.5 on 2.6 pass TD; NYG 20.0 leans on 138 rush yards #4.
Projected points (market implied)
NYG20.5
LA27.0
Offense profile
NYGRank of 32LA
22.9
#14
Pts / G
29.4
#1
207.4
#23
Pass yds / G
277.6
#1
137.6
#4
Rush yds / G
126.0
#8
64.1
#6
Plays / G
64.9
#3
49%
Pass rate
56%
1.3
Pass TD / G
2.6
1.4
Rush TD / G
0.9
2.8
Sacks taken / G
1.3
0.6
INT thrown / G
0.5
Defense profile
NYGRank of 32LA
24.9
#21
Pts allowed / G
22.3
#13
218.2
#14
Pass yds allowed
247.3
#24
136.5
#30
Rush yds allowed
113.3
#12
2.1
Sacks / G
2.3
0.6
INT / G
1.1
1.5
Pass TD allowed
1.8
1.1
Rush TD allowed
0.6
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-21, 21 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. SoFi Stadium is a covered venue.
- Indoor: no weather factor.
DFS
- Stack Stafford with Nacua and Adams if Puka clears vs NYG #23 vs WR.
- Value Isaiah Likely $4500 at 2.53x, ceiling 24.1 if game flows to the Giants.
- Fade Colby Parkinson $3100 into NYG #3 vs TE, only 6.2 projected.
- Contrarian Cam Skattebo $5900, 24.5 ceiling if NYG trails and dumps him passes.
NYG projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jaxson Dart | 19.3 | 12.7 / 29.8 | $5,800 | 3.32x | $7,400 | #18 |
| RB | Cam Skattebo | 14.2 | 8.0 / 24.6 | $5,900 | 2.41x | $6,400 | #18 |
| WR | Malik Nabers | 13.9 | 7.3 / 27.1 | $6,500 | 2.14x | $7,500 | #29 |
| TE | Isaiah Likely | 11.6 | 6.0 / 24.3 | $4,500 | 2.59x | $5,500 | #9 |
| RB | Devin Singletary | 6.0 | 3.2 / 14.1 | $4,100 | 1.46x | $5,300 | #18 |
| WR | Malachi Fields | 5.8 | 1.8 / 14.7 | $4,100 | 1.41x | $5,300 | #29 |
| WR | Darnell Mooney | 4.6 | 0.0 / 11.7 | $3,800 | 1.22x | $4,900 | #29 |
LA projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Matthew Stafford | 17.4 | 10.9 / 28.2 | $6,000 | 2.89x | $7,700 | #19 |
| RB | Kyren Williams | 17.2 | 9.4 / 28.3 | $6,400 | 2.68x | $7,800 | #28 |
| WR | Davante Adams | 15.5 | 5.5 / 24.9 | $5,900 | 2.62x | $7,700 | #19 |
| RB | Blake Corum | 9.0 | 4.2 / 17.5 | $4,900 | 1.84x | $5,800 | #28 |
| TE | Terrance Ferguson | 8.4 | 0.0 / 13.4 | $2,700 | 3.11x | $4,400 | #4 |
| TE | Colby Parkinson | 7.6 | 2.0 / 16.7 | $3,100 | 2.45x | $5,000 | #4 |
| WR | Konata Mumpfield | 4.5 | 0.0 / 8.4 | $3,000 | 1.48x | $4,400 | #19 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
- Kyren Williams - rushing yards 62.5 - LEAN OVER - NYG #26 vs RB and #30 rush yards allowed.
- Malik Nabers - receiving yards 64.5 - LEAN OVER - LA #29 vs WR, elite softness.
- Puka Nacua - receiving yards 84.5 - LEAN UNDER - hip questionable clouds volume.
- Stafford - passing yards 241.5 - LEAN OVER - projects 17.7 vs NYG #20 vs QB.
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.3 | +190 | DraftKings | #25 |
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Pass yds | 213.5 | 175.3 | +175 | Bovada | #24 |
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Rush yds | 35.5 | 37.8 | +165 | Bovada | #12 |
| Matthew Stafford QB LA | Pass TD | 1.5 | 2.1 | -178 | FanDuel | #16 |
| Matthew Stafford QB LA | Pass yds | 239.5 | 220.7 | +170 | Bovada | #14 |
| Matthew Stafford QB LA | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0.9 | +172 | FanDuel | #30 |
| Kyren Williams RB LA | Rush yds | 63.5 | 72.7 | +145 | Bovada | #30 |
| Kyren Williams RB LA | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.4 | +110 | BetRivers | #14 |
| Kyren Williams RB LA | Rec yds | 17.5 | 19.4 | -108 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Davante Adams WR LA | Receptions | 5.5 | 4.3 | +114 | BetRivers | #14 |
| Davante Adams WR LA | Rec yds | 63.5 | 56.1 | +130 | Bovada | #14 |
| Cam Skattebo RB NYG | Rush yds | 52.5 | 50.6 | +150 | Bovada | #12 |
| Cam Skattebo RB NYG | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.3 | -125 | FanDuel | #24 |
| Cam Skattebo RB NYG | Rec yds | 11.5 | 20.4 | -107 | DraftKings | #24 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All NYG and LA props with AI gradesInjuries
NYG 8 listed- IR Calvin Austin III WR Knee Severe
- Out Daniel Faalele G Unknown Minimal
- Out Jarrick Bernard-Converse CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Thaddeus Dixon CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Deonte Banks CB Calf Minimal
- Quest. Micah McFadden LB Unknown Minimal
- IR Korie Black CB Undisclosed Minimal
- IR Paulson Adebo CB Knee Minimal
LA 8 listed- IR Matthew Caldwell QB Undisclosed Severe
- Out Daniel Rickert DE Knee Minimal
- Out Eddie Walls III LB Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Kamren Kinchens FS Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Jordan Whittington WR Quadriceps Minimal
- Quest. Puka Nacua WR Hip Minimal
- IR Justin Dedich G Undisclosed Minimal
- IR Keagen Trost OT Hamstring Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
- NYG 1-0 after 28-20 over DAL; LA 0-1 off a 7-27 loss to SF.
- H2H: LA won last two, 26-25 in 2023 and 38-11 in 2021.
- Total dropped 48.5 to 47.5; spread held at LA -7.5.
NYG last 5W 28-20 vs DALW 34-17 vs DALW 34-10 @ LVL 13-16 vs MINL 21-29 vs WAS
LA last 5L 7-27 vs SFL 27-31 @ SEAW 20-17 @ CHIW 34-31 @ CARW 37-20 vs ARI
Head-to-head
- Dec 31, 2023 LA 26 at NYG 25
- Oct 17, 2021 LA 38 at NYG 11
Watch list
- Puka Nacua hip status; his active designation swings LA passing volume and totals.
- Andrew Thomas questionable at OT; affects NYG pass protection and Dart floor.
- NYG secondary banged up (Banks, Newsome, Bernard-Converse); watch for late scratches boosting LA WRs.
- Any late total move off 47.5 signals sharp lean before kickoff.
Week 2 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
DET @ BUF
Thu 8:15 PM ET
BUF -20.5
O/U 58.5
Final
CAR @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -30.5
O/U 37.5
Final
CIN @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -13.5
O/U 31.5
Final
CLE @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB -9.5
O/U 38.5
Final
GB @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -2.5
O/U 37.5
Final
MIN @ CHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 24.5
Final
NO @ BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -11.5
O/U 39.5
Final
PHI @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PHI -6.5
O/U 43.5
Final
PIT @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -7.5
O/U 28.5
Final
JAX @ DEN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -7.5
O/U 35.5
Final
LV @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LAC -5.5
O/U 40.5
Final
MIA @ SF
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -29.5
O/U 41.5
Final
SEA @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -18.5
O/U 37.5
Final
WAS @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DAL -16.5
O/U 53.5
Final
IND @ KC
Sun 8:20 PM ET
KC -6.5
O/U 45.5
Final
NYG @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -6.5
O/U 47.5
Kicked off